--- title: "Labor Day case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Labor Day ($56.86) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.48% from 18 items with odds, observed 59.05% over 230 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/labor-day rendered: 2026-11-11T20:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Labor Day](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/labor-day) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Labor Day A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/labor-day?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/labor-day?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/labor-day) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/labor-day?window=all) Price · $56.86 Advertised RTP · 89.48% · EV $50.88 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 59.05% · 230 openings, odds method Variance · 117.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 94.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 30 openings · below min 7 days · 170 openings · below min 30 days · 230 openings · below min since tracking started · 230 openings · below min -0.5% 206.3% 413.0% **Small sample.** 230 openings and 2.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/labor-day?window=24h) | 30 | 25.12% ±387.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/labor-day?window=7d) | 170 | 46.96% ±162.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/labor-day) | 230 | 59.05% ±139.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/labor-day?window=all) | 230 | 59.05% ±139.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 230 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [2024 BASS TRACKER® Classic XL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-bass-tracker-classic-xl) | 1 in 1,000 | $19.2K | 37.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [EOTECH EXPS3 Holographic Weapon Sight other](https://gambatracker.com/items/eotech-exps3-holographic-weapon-sight) | 1 in 200 | $915 | 9.0% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [Pelican Catch Mode 110 Premium Angler Kayak - 10.5 ft other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pelican-catch-mode-110-premium-angler-kayak-10-5-ft) | 1 in 250 | $879 | 6.9% | 3 | 0.9 | — | | [Pelican - Maxim 100X Recreational Kayak other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pelican-maxim-100x-recreational-kayak) | 1 in 200 | $650 | 6.4% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [Pelican Sentinel 80x other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pelican-sentinel-80x) | 1 in 200 | $480 | 4.7% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.87× | | [YETI Tundra 45 Cooler other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yeti-tundra-45-cooler) | 1 in 100 | $400 | 7.9% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.87× | | [Weber Original Kettle 22-Inch Charcoal Grill other](https://gambatracker.com/items/weber-original-kettle-22-inch-charcoal-grill) | 1 in 100 | $195 | 3.8% | 4 | 2.3 | 1.74× | | [Coleman Triton+ 2-Burner Propane Camping Stove other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coleman-triton-2-burner-propane-camping-stove) | 1 in 100 | $169 | 3.3% | 4 | 2.3 | 1.74× | | [Intex Seahawk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/intex-seahawk) | 1 in 100 | $150 | 2.9% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.43× | | [Pelican - Poseidon Paddle - 90.5in - Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pelican-poseidon-paddle-90-5in-blue) | 1 in 50 | $50.00 | 2.0% | 2 | 4.6 | 0.43× | | [YETI Rambler 30 oz Tumbler other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yeti-rambler-30-oz-tumbler) | 1 in 33 | $42.00 | 2.5% | 16 | 6.9 | 2.32× | | [Intex River Run Inflatable Floating Tube Water Raft other](https://gambatracker.com/items/intex-river-run-inflatable-floating-tube-water-raft) | 1 in 25 | $30.00 | 2.4% | 11 | 9.2 | 1.20× | | [YETI Rambler 12 oz. Colster Can Insulator other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yeti-rambler-12-oz-colster-can-insulator) | 1 in 20 | $25.00 | 2.5% | 12 | 11.5 | 1.04× | | [Traeger Grills Apple 100% All-Natural Wood Pellets, 20 lb. Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/traeger-grills-apple-100-all-natural-wood-pellets-20-lb-bag) | 1 in 20 | $22.00 | 2.2% | 11 | 11.5 | 0.96× | | [KINGSFORD Heavy Duty Deluxe Charcoal Chimney Starter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kingsford-heavy-duty-deluxe-charcoal-chimney-starter) | 1 in 20 | $16.50 | 1.6% | 6 | 11.5 | 0.52× | | [Kingsford Match Light Instant Charcoal Briquettes other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kingsford-match-light-instant-charcoal-briquettes) | 10.0% | $12.00 | 2.4% | 19 | 23.0 | 0.83× | | [American Flag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/american-flag) | 25.0% | $2.50 | 1.2% | 60 | 57.5 | 1.04× | | [USA Flag Car Decal Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/usa-flag-car-decal-sticker) | 35.0% | $1.00 | 0.7% | 78 | 80.5 | 0.97× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Pelican Catch Mode 110 Premium Angler Kayak - 10.5 ft other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pelican-catch-mode-110-premium-angler-kayak-10-5-ft) [Doxxed](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Doxxed) $56.86 $879 15.46x 2026-11-04 21:15 UTC [Pelican Catch Mode 110 Premium Angler Kayak - 10.5 ft other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pelican-catch-mode-110-premium-angler-kayak-10-5-ft) Hidden $56.86 $879 15.46x 2026-11-03 15:31 UTC [Pelican Catch Mode 110 Premium Angler Kayak - 10.5 ft other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pelican-catch-mode-110-premium-angler-kayak-10-5-ft) Hidden $56.86 $879 15.46x 2026-11-03 15:18 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=labor-day) [USA Flag Car Decal Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/usa-flag-car-decal-sticker) Hidden $56.86 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC [USA Flag Car Decal Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/usa-flag-car-decal-sticker) Hidden $56.86 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC [American Flag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/american-flag) Hidden $56.86 $2.50 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC [USA Flag Car Decal Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/usa-flag-car-decal-sticker) Hidden $56.86 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC [USA Flag Car Decal Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/usa-flag-car-decal-sticker) Hidden $56.86 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC [Intex River Run Inflatable Floating Tube Water Raft other](https://gambatracker.com/items/intex-river-run-inflatable-floating-tube-water-raft) [Pingvins](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Pingvins) $56.86 $30.00 0.53x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC [USA Flag Car Decal Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/usa-flag-car-decal-sticker) Hidden $56.86 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC [Intex River Run Inflatable Floating Tube Water Raft other](https://gambatracker.com/items/intex-river-run-inflatable-floating-tube-water-raft) Hidden $56.86 $30.00 0.53x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC [KINGSFORD Heavy Duty Deluxe Charcoal Chimney Starter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kingsford-heavy-duty-deluxe-charcoal-chimney-starter) Hidden $56.86 $16.50 0.29x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC [USA Flag Car Decal Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/usa-flag-car-decal-sticker) Hidden $56.86 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $56.86 | 89.48% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $879 (15.46x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.48 on average: an expected loss of $10.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt