--- title: "Labubu case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Labubu ($28.64) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.48% from 26 items with odds, observed 156.04% over 743 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/labubu rendered: 2026-11-13T05:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Labubu](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/labubu) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Labubu A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/labubu?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/labubu?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/labubu) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/labubu?window=all) Price · $28.64 Advertised RTP · 89.48% · EV $25.63 from 26 items Observed RTP, 30d · 156.04% · 743 openings, odds method Variance · 64.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 71 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 72 openings · below min 7 days · 157.77% ±68.03 535 openings 30 days · 156.04% ±57.73 743 openings since tracking started · 156.04% ±57.73 743 openings -0.5% 149.3% 299.0% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 89.48% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (98.31% – 213.77%, 743 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/labubu?window=24h) | 72 | 112.92% ±185.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/labubu?window=7d) | 535 | 157.77% ±68.0 | +2.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/labubu) | 743 | 156.04% ±57.7 | +2.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/labubu?window=all) | 743 | 156.04% ±57.7 | +2.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 743 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Labubu The Monsters x Vans Oldskool Monsters Forever Vinyl Plush Doll other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-x-vans-oldskool-monsters-forever-vinyl-plush-doll) | 1 in 2,000 | $9,493 | 18.5% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Labubu The Monsters Dress Be Latte Vinyl Plush Doll other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-dress-be-latte-vinyl-plush-doll) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,801 | 7.0% | 3 | 0.7 | — | | [Labubu The Blue Diamon Summer Party Vinyl Plush Doll Pendant other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-blue-diamon-summer-party-vinyl-plush-doll-pendant) | 1 in 500 | $934 | 7.3% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.35× | | [Labubu The Monsters ZIMOMO I Found You Vinyl Doll + Tote Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-zimomo-i-found-you-vinyl-doll-tote-bag) | 1 in 400 | $566 | 5.5% | 4 | 1.9 | 2.15× | | [Labubu The Monsters Big into Energy Series Vinyl Plush Pendant Sealed Case (6 Blind Box) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-big-into-energy-series-vinyl-plush-pendant-sealed-case-6-blind-box) | 1 in 400 | $503 | 4.9% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.62× | | [Labubu The Monsters Exciting Macaron Vinyl Face Sealed Case (6 Blind Boxes) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-exciting-macaron-vinyl-face-sealed-case-6-blind-boxes) | 1 in 333 | $390 | 4.6% | 4 | 2.2 | 1.79× | | [Labubu The Monsters Big into Energy Series ID (Secret Version) Vinyl Plush Pendant other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-big-into-energy-series-id-secret-version-vinyl-plush-pendant) | 1 in 400 | $360 | 3.5% | 4 | 1.9 | 2.15× | | [Labubu The Monsters How to Train Your Dragon Toothless (Regular Edition) Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-how-to-train-your-dragon-toothless-regular-edition-figure) | 1 in 133 | $198 | 5.8% | 7 | 5.6 | 1.26× | | [Labubu The Monsters Big into Energy Series Luck Vinyl Plush Pendant other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-big-into-energy-series-luck-vinyl-plush-pendant) | 1 in 133 | $128 | 3.8% | 5 | 5.6 | 0.90× | | [Labubu The Monsters x One Piece Series Monkey.D.Luffy Gear 5 (Secret Edition) Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-x-one-piece-series-monkey-d-luffy-gear-5-secret-edition-figure) | 1 in 200 | $125 | 2.4% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.08× | | [Pop Mart Labubu The Monsters Coca Cola Series Mysterious Guest Vinyl Face Blind Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-labubu-the-monsters-coca-cola-series-mysterious-guest-vinyl-face-blind-box) | 1 in 133 | $115 | 3.4% | 7 | 5.6 | 1.26× | | [Labubu Magic of Pumpkin Mokoko Vinyl Plush Pendant (Pop Land Exclusive) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-magic-of-pumpkin-mokoko-vinyl-plush-pendant-pop-land-exclusive) | 1 in 333 | $100 | 1.2% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× | | [Labubu Hide and Seek In Singapore Series Vinyl Plush Doll Pendant other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-hide-and-seek-in-singapore-series-vinyl-plush-doll-pendant) | 1 in 200 | $100 | 2.0% | 2 | 3.7 | 0.54× | | [Labubu The Monsters Flip With Me Vinyl Plush Doll other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-flip-with-me-vinyl-plush-doll) | 1 in 200 | $100 | 2.0% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.08× | | [Labubu Mokoko Close to Sweet Vinyl Plush Doll Pendant Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-mokoko-close-to-sweet-vinyl-plush-doll-pendant-keychain) | 1 in 200 | $100 | 2.0% | 1 | 3.7 | 0.27× | | [Labubu Warm The Monsters Fluffy Holiday Series Plush Gloves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-warm-the-monsters-fluffy-holiday-series-plush-gloves) | 1 in 133 | $100 | 2.9% | 8 | 5.6 | 1.44× | | [Labubu The Monsters Wacky Mart Series Earphone Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-wacky-mart-series-earphone-case) | 1 in 100 | $97.00 | 3.8% | 11 | 7.4 | 1.48× | | [Labubu The Monsters Wacky Mart Series Bubble Blue Tumbler other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-wacky-mart-series-bubble-blue-tumbler) | 1 in 100 | $76.00 | 3.0% | 2 | 7.4 | 0.27× | | [Labubu The Monsters Have a Seat DADA Vinyl Plush other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-have-a-seat-dada-vinyl-plush) | 1 in 100 | $73.00 | 2.8% | 7 | 7.4 | 0.94× | | [Labubu The Monsters Tasty Macarons Lychee Berry Vinyl Plush Pendant other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-tasty-macarons-lychee-berry-vinyl-plush-pendant) | 1 in 100 | $71.00 | 2.8% | 10 | 7.4 | 1.35× | | [Labubu The Monsters Big into Energy Series Loyalty Vinyl Plush Pendant other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-big-into-energy-series-loyalty-vinyl-plush-pendant) | 1 in 100 | $68.00 | 2.7% | 7 | 7.4 | 0.94× | | [Labubu The Monsters Tasty Macarons Green Grape Vinyl Plush Pendant other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-tasty-macarons-green-grape-vinyl-plush-pendant) | 1 in 100 | $67.00 | 2.6% | 7 | 7.4 | 0.94× | | [Labubu The Monsters Tasty Macarons Sea Salt Coconut Vinyl Plush Pendant other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-tasty-macarons-sea-salt-coconut-vinyl-plush-pendant) | 1 in 100 | $62.00 | 2.4% | 11 | 7.4 | 1.48× | | [Labubu The Monsters Coca Cola Series Surprise Shake Vinyl Plush Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-coca-cola-series-surprise-shake-vinyl-plush-figure) | 1 in 100 | $56.00 | 2.2% | 8 | 7.4 | 1.08× | | [LABUBU The Monsters Have a Seat Empty Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-have-a-seat-empty-box) | 25.3% | $1.00 | 1.0% | 198 | 188.0 | 1.05× | | [LABUBU THE MONSTERS - I FOUND YOU Vinyl Face Doll Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-i-found-you-vinyl-face-doll-sticker) | 60.0% | $0.05 | 0.1% | 422 | 445.8 | 0.95× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 13 Nov, 02:20 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Labubu The Monsters x Vans Oldskool Monsters Forever Vinyl Plush Doll other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-x-vans-oldskool-monsters-forever-vinyl-plush-doll) Hidden $28.64 $9,493 331.5x 2026-11-11 15:27 UTC [Labubu The Monsters Dress Be Latte Vinyl Plush Doll other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-dress-be-latte-vinyl-plush-doll) Hidden $28.64 $1,801 62.89x 2026-11-11 20:40 UTC [Labubu The Monsters Dress Be Latte Vinyl Plush Doll other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-dress-be-latte-vinyl-plush-doll) Hidden $28.64 $1,801 62.89x 2026-11-05 20:51 UTC [Labubu The Monsters Dress Be Latte Vinyl Plush Doll other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-dress-be-latte-vinyl-plush-doll) Hidden $28.64 $1,801 62.89x 2026-11-05 06:03 UTC [Labubu The Blue Diamon Summer Party Vinyl Plush Doll Pendant other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-blue-diamon-summer-party-vinyl-plush-doll-pendant) Hidden $28.64 $934 32.60x 2026-11-08 22:28 UTC [Labubu The Blue Diamon Summer Party Vinyl Plush Doll Pendant other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-blue-diamon-summer-party-vinyl-plush-doll-pendant) Hidden $28.64 $934 32.60x 2026-11-06 16:45 UTC [Labubu The Monsters ZIMOMO I Found You Vinyl Doll + Tote Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-zimomo-i-found-you-vinyl-doll-tote-bag) Hidden $28.64 $566 19.78x 2026-11-13 01:00 UTC [Labubu The Monsters ZIMOMO I Found You Vinyl Doll + Tote Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-zimomo-i-found-you-vinyl-doll-tote-bag) Hidden $28.64 $566 19.78x 2026-11-13 01:00 UTC [Labubu The Monsters ZIMOMO I Found You Vinyl Doll + Tote Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-zimomo-i-found-you-vinyl-doll-tote-bag) [izaivars](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/izaivars) $28.64 $566 19.78x 2026-11-12 07:46 UTC [Labubu The Monsters ZIMOMO I Found You Vinyl Doll + Tote Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-zimomo-i-found-you-vinyl-doll-tote-bag) Hidden $28.64 $566 19.78x 2026-11-09 06:10 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=labubu) [LABUBU THE MONSTERS - I FOUND YOU Vinyl Face Doll Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-i-found-you-vinyl-face-doll-sticker) Hidden $28.64 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-13 04:49 UTC [LABUBU THE MONSTERS - I FOUND YOU Vinyl Face Doll Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-i-found-you-vinyl-face-doll-sticker) Hidden $28.64 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-13 04:49 UTC [LABUBU THE MONSTERS - I FOUND YOU Vinyl Face Doll Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-i-found-you-vinyl-face-doll-sticker) Hidden $28.64 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-13 04:49 UTC [LABUBU THE MONSTERS - I FOUND YOU Vinyl Face Doll Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-i-found-you-vinyl-face-doll-sticker) Hidden $28.64 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-13 04:49 UTC [LABUBU THE MONSTERS - I FOUND YOU Vinyl Face Doll Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-i-found-you-vinyl-face-doll-sticker) Hidden $28.64 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-13 04:49 UTC [LABUBU THE MONSTERS - I FOUND YOU Vinyl Face Doll Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-i-found-you-vinyl-face-doll-sticker) [Trecky](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Trecky) $28.64 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-13 04:49 UTC [LABUBU THE MONSTERS - I FOUND YOU Vinyl Face Doll Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-i-found-you-vinyl-face-doll-sticker) Hidden $28.64 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-13 04:07 UTC [LABUBU THE MONSTERS - I FOUND YOU Vinyl Face Doll Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-i-found-you-vinyl-face-doll-sticker) Hidden $28.64 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-13 04:07 UTC [LABUBU THE MONSTERS - I FOUND YOU Vinyl Face Doll Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-i-found-you-vinyl-face-doll-sticker) Hidden $28.64 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-13 04:07 UTC [LABUBU THE MONSTERS - I FOUND YOU Vinyl Face Doll Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-i-found-you-vinyl-face-doll-sticker) Hidden $28.64 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-13 04:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $28.64 | 89.48% | 26 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $9,493 (331.5x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.48 on average: an expected loss of $10.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt