--- title: "Lego Land case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Lego Land ($4.62) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.42% from 18 items with odds, observed 97.61% over 12.7K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lego-land rendered: 2026-11-11T22:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Lego Land](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lego-land) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Lego Land A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lego-land?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lego-land?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lego-land) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lego-land?window=all) Price · $4.62 Advertised RTP · 89.42% · EV $4.13 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.61% · 12.7K openings, odds method Variance · 40.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 104 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 91.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 115.22% ±50.61 605 openings 7 days · 95.63% ±11.49 11.7K openings 30 days · 97.61% ±11.03 12.7K openings since tracking started · 97.61% ±11.03 12.7K openings 64.0% 115.3% 166.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lego-land?window=24h) | 605 | 115.22% ±50.6 | +1.0σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lego-land?window=7d) | 11.7K | 95.63% ±11.5 | +1.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lego-land) | 12.7K | 97.61% ±11.0 | +1.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lego-land?window=all) | 12.7K | 97.61% ±11.0 | +1.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12.7K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [LEGO Eiffel Tower Set 10307 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-eiffel-tower-set-10307) | 1 in 2,500 | $764 | 7.4% | 9 | 5.1 | 1.77× | | [LEGO Minecraft The Fortress Set 21127 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-minecraft-the-fortress-set-21127) | 1 in 1,429 | $584 | 9.9% | 13 | 8.9 | 1.46× | | [LEGO 10262 Creator Expert James Bond Aston Martin DB5 Model Car other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-10262-creator-expert-james-bond-aston-martin-db5-model-car) | 1 in 1,000 | $400 | 9.7% | 11 | 12.7 | 0.86× | | [LEGO Minecraft The End Set 21107 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-minecraft-the-end-set-21107) | 1 in 500 | $250 | 12.1% | 22 | 25.5 | 0.86× | | [LEGO Star Wars R2-D2 Brick Built Droid Figure 75379 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-star-wars-r2-d2-brick-built-droid-figure-75379) | 1 in 400 | $135 | 8.2% | 29 | 31.9 | 0.91× | | [LEGO Technic Kawasaki Ninja H2R Motorcycle, 42170 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-technic-kawasaki-ninja-h2r-motorcycle-42170) | 1 in 333 | $110 | 8.0% | 43 | 38.2 | 1.12× | | [LEGO Super Mario Piranha Plant 71426 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-super-mario-piranha-plant-71426) | 1 in 250 | $86.00 | 8.3% | 57 | 51.0 | 1.12× | | [LEGO Minifigures Goblin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-minifigures-goblin) | 1 in 40 | $15.50 | 9.4% | 332 | 318.7 | 1.04× | | [How to Build LEGO® Houses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/how-to-build-lego-houses) | 1 in 20 | $5.00 | 6.1% | 647 | 637.3 | 1.02× | | [Dog, NO. 57 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dog-no-57) | 1 in 15 | $3.50 | 5.5% | 843 | 828.5 | 1.02× | | [LEGO Marvel Super Heroes (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-marvel-super-heroes-pc-steam-key-global) | 1 in 15 | $3.10 | 4.9% | 839 | 828.5 | 1.01× | | [Chicken, NO. 6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chicken-no-6) | 1 in 13 | $2.43 | 4.4% | 996 | 955.9 | 1.04× | | [Mini Head, NO. 4210 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mini-head-no-4210) | 10.0% | $0.87 | 2.1% | 1,248 | 1274.6 | 0.98× | | [Classic Lego Figurine other](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-lego-figurine) | 10.0% | $0.60 | 1.5% | 1,227 | 1274.6 | 0.96× | | [Brick other](https://gambatracker.com/items/brick) | 10.1% | $0.50 | 1.2% | 1,271 | 1292.4 | 0.98× | | [Rock Crystal, Transparent other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rock-crystal-transparent) | 13.0% | $0.16 | 0.5% | 1,636 | 1657.0 | 0.99× | | [Lego Figurine Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-figurine-hat) | 12.5% | $0.15 | 0.5% | 1,587 | 1593.3 | 1.00× | | [Sword, NO. 12 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sword-no-12) | 15.0% | $0.13 | 0.5% | 1,936 | 1911.9 | 1.01× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [LEGO Eiffel Tower Set 10307 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-eiffel-tower-set-10307) Hidden $4.62 $764 165.4x 2026-11-08 15:30 UTC [LEGO Eiffel Tower Set 10307 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-eiffel-tower-set-10307) Hidden $4.62 $764 165.4x 2026-11-07 22:28 UTC [LEGO Eiffel Tower Set 10307 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-eiffel-tower-set-10307) Hidden $4.62 $764 165.4x 2026-11-07 18:16 UTC [LEGO Eiffel Tower Set 10307 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-eiffel-tower-set-10307) Hidden $4.62 $764 165.4x 2026-11-07 05:11 UTC [LEGO Eiffel Tower Set 10307 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-eiffel-tower-set-10307) Hidden $4.62 $764 165.4x 2026-11-07 05:07 UTC [LEGO Eiffel Tower Set 10307 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-eiffel-tower-set-10307) Hidden $4.62 $764 165.4x 2026-11-07 02:41 UTC [LEGO Eiffel Tower Set 10307 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-eiffel-tower-set-10307) Hidden $4.62 $764 165.4x 2026-11-06 22:51 UTC [LEGO Eiffel Tower Set 10307 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-eiffel-tower-set-10307) Hidden $4.62 $764 165.4x 2026-11-06 22:21 UTC [LEGO Eiffel Tower Set 10307 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-eiffel-tower-set-10307) Hidden $4.62 $764 165.4x 2026-11-06 02:55 UTC [LEGO Minecraft The Fortress Set 21127 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-minecraft-the-fortress-set-21127) Hidden $4.62 $584 126.4x 2026-11-11 19:13 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=lego-land) [Rock Crystal, Transparent other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rock-crystal-transparent) Hidden $4.62 $0.16 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:45 UTC [Lego Figurine Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-figurine-hat) Hidden $4.62 $0.15 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:45 UTC [Rock Crystal, Transparent other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rock-crystal-transparent) [SickWhit95\_CodeDGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/SickWhit95_CodeDGN) $4.62 $0.16 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:45 UTC [Dog, NO. 57 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dog-no-57) Hidden $4.62 $3.50 0.76x 2026-11-11 21:44 UTC [Classic Lego Figurine other](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-lego-figurine) Hidden $4.62 $0.60 0.13x 2026-11-11 21:44 UTC [Sword, NO. 12 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sword-no-12) [SickWhit95\_CodeDGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/SickWhit95_CodeDGN) $4.62 $0.13 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:44 UTC [Rock Crystal, Transparent other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rock-crystal-transparent) Hidden $4.62 $0.16 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC [Mini Head, NO. 4210 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mini-head-no-4210) Hidden $4.62 $0.87 0.19x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC [LEGO Minifigures Goblin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-minifigures-goblin) [SickWhit95\_CodeDGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/SickWhit95_CodeDGN) $4.62 $15.50 3.35x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC [Mini Head, NO. 4210 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mini-head-no-4210) Hidden $4.62 $0.87 0.19x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $4.62 | 89.42% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $764 (165.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.42 on average: an expected loss of $10.58 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt