---
title: "LEGOS 5% !!! case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "LEGOS 5% !!! ($2.22) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 86.55% over 1,049 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/legos-5percent
rendered: 2026-11-11T23:20Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [LEGOS 5% !!!](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/legos-5percent)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · LEGOS 5% !!!

A box on Cases.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/legos-5percent?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/legos-5percent?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/legos-5percent) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/legos-5percent?window=all)

Price · $2.22

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.55% · 1,049 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 15 openings · below min

7 days · 728 openings · below min

30 days · 86.55% ±58.23 1,049 openings

since tracking started · 86.55% ±58.23 1,049 openings

-0.5% 73.5% 147.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/legos-5percent?window=24h) | 15 | 22.94% ±44.1 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/legos-5percent?window=7d) | 728 | 73.56% ±73.3 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/legos-5percent) | 1,049 | 86.55% ±58.2 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/legos-5percent?window=all) | 1,049 | 86.55% ±58.2 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · none published

**No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[LEGO Minecraft The Fortress Set 21127 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-minecraft-the-fortress-set-21127) Hidden $2.22 $584 263.1x 2026-11-07 23:06 UTC

[LEGO Ideas Tree House 21318 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-ideas-tree-house-21318) Hidden $2.22 $300 135.1x 2026-11-03 01:46 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=legos-5percent)

[Playstation Cross Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-cross-sticker) Hidden $2.22 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:05 UTC

[Playstation Cross Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-cross-sticker) Hidden $2.22 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:05 UTC

[Playstation Cross Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-cross-sticker) [RealGVega](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/RealGVega) $2.22 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:05 UTC

[Playstation Cross Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-cross-sticker) Hidden $2.22 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:05 UTC

[Playstation Cross Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-cross-sticker) Hidden $2.22 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:05 UTC

[LEGO Minifigures The Simpsons Series 71009 Building Kit other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-minifigures-the-simpsons-series-71009-building-kit) [RealGVega](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/RealGVega) $2.22 $7.50 3.38x 2026-11-11 00:05 UTC

[Playstation Cross Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-cross-sticker) Hidden $2.22 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:05 UTC

[Playstation Cross Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-cross-sticker) Hidden $2.22 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:05 UTC

[Playstation Cross Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-cross-sticker) [RealGVega](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/RealGVega) $2.22 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:05 UTC

[Playstation Cross Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-cross-sticker) Hidden $2.22 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:05 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $584 (263.1x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.55 on average: an expected loss of $13.45 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
