--- title: "Lens Locker case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Lens Locker ($66.09) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 14 items with odds, observed 236.98% over 204 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lens-locker rendered: 2026-11-11T19:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Lens Locker](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lens-locker) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Lens Locker A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lens-locker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lens-locker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lens-locker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lens-locker?window=all) Price · $66.09 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $59.15 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 236.98% · 204 openings, odds method Variance · 31.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 168 openings · below min 30 days · 204 openings · below min since tracking started · 204 openings · below min -0.5% 233.0% 466.5% **Small sample.** 204 openings and 2.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lens-locker?window=24h) | 6 | 16.13% ±449.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lens-locker?window=7d) | 168 | 221.94% ±85.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lens-locker) | 204 | 236.98% ±77.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lens-locker?window=all) | 204 | 236.98% ±77.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 204 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sony Alpha 7R VI other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-alpha-7r-vi) | 1 in 500 | $5,000 | 16.9% | 3 | 0.4 | — | | [Sony Alpha 7R IV Full Frame Mirrorless Interchangeable Lens Camera w/High Resolution 61MP Sensor, up to 10FPS with continuous AF/AE tracking other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-alpha-7r-iv-full-frame-mirrorless-interchangeable-lens-camera-w-high-resolution-61mp-sensor-up-to-10fps-with-continuous-af-ae-tracking) | 1 in 500 | $3,520 | 11.9% | 2 | 0.4 | — | | [Sony Alpha 7R VI FE 16-35mm F2.8 GM II Full-frame Standard Zoom G Master lens other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-alpha-7r-vi-fe-16-35mm-f2-8-gm-ii-full-frame-standard-zoom-g-master-lens) | 1 in 500 | $3,000 | 10.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Sony Alpha 7 IV Full-frame Mirrorless Interchangeable Lens Camera, Body Only other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-alpha-7-iv-full-frame-mirrorless-interchangeable-lens-camera-body-only) | 1 in 500 | $2,748 | 9.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Canon EF 70-200mm f/2.8L IS III USM Lens for Canon Digital SLR Cameras, White - 3044C002 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/canon-ef-70-200mm-f-2-8l-is-iii-usm-lens-for-canon-digital-slr-cameras-white-3044c002) | 1 in 500 | $2,310 | 7.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Nikon NIKKOR Z 24-70mm f/2.8 S \| Professional large aperture mid-range zoom lens for Z series mirrorless cameras \| Nikon USA Model other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nikon-nikkor-z-24-70mm-f-2-8-s-professional-large-aperture-mid-range-zoom-lens-for-z-series-mirrorless-cameras-nikon-usa-model) | 1 in 500 | $2,110 | 7.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Sony SEL2470GM E-Mount Camera Lens: FE 24-70 mm F2.8 G Master Full Frame Standard Zoom Lens Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-sel2470gm-e-mount-camera-lens-fe-24-70-mm-f2-8-g-master-full-frame-standard-zoom-lens-black) | 1 in 500 | $1,870 | 6.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Nikon NIKKOR Z 28-400mm f/4-8 VR Lens other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nikon-nikkor-z-28-400mm-f-4-8-vr-lens) | 1 in 500 | $1,380 | 4.7% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Sony Alpha ZV-E10 - APS-C Interchangeable Lens Mirrorless Vlog Camera - Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-alpha-zv-e10-aps-c-interchangeable-lens-mirrorless-vlog-camera-black) | 1 in 500 | $1,078 | 3.6% | 2 | 0.4 | — | | [Canon EOS Rebel T7 DSLR Camera with 18-55mm Lens other](https://gambatracker.com/items/canon-eos-rebel-t7-dslr-camera-with-18-55mm-lens) | 1 in 500 | $576 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Canon EF 75-300mm Zoom Lens for Canon SLR Cameras other](https://gambatracker.com/items/canon-ef-75-300mm-zoom-lens-for-canon-slr-cameras) | 1 in 500 | $280 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Protective Case for Canon EOS Rebel T7 DSLR Camera and Lens other](https://gambatracker.com/items/protective-case-for-canon-eos-rebel-t7-dslr-camera-and-lens) | 20.8% | $25.29 | 8.9% | 48 | 42.4 | 1.13× | | [ZEISS Lens Care Pack - 2-8 Ounce Bottles of Lens Spray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeiss-lens-care-pack-2-8-ounce-bottles-of-lens-spray) | 27.0% | $13.49 | 6.2% | 53 | 55.1 | 0.96× | | [Microfiber Cleaning Cloths other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microfiber-cleaning-cloths) | 50.0% | $5.00 | 4.2% | 93 | 102.0 | 0.91× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sony Alpha 7R VI other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-alpha-7r-vi) Hidden $66.09 $5,000 75.65x 2026-11-09 03:23 UTC [Sony Alpha 7R VI other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-alpha-7r-vi) Hidden $66.09 $5,000 75.65x 2026-11-07 18:49 UTC [Sony Alpha 7R VI other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-alpha-7r-vi) Hidden $66.09 $5,000 75.65x 2026-11-03 18:46 UTC [Sony Alpha 7R IV Full Frame Mirrorless Interchangeable Lens Camera w/High Resolution 61MP Sensor, up to 10FPS with continuous AF/AE tracking other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-alpha-7r-iv-full-frame-mirrorless-interchangeable-lens-camera-w-high-resolution-61mp-sensor-up-to-10fps-with-continuous-af-ae-tracking) Hidden $66.09 $3,520 53.26x 2026-11-10 19:00 UTC [Sony Alpha 7R IV Full Frame Mirrorless Interchangeable Lens Camera w/High Resolution 61MP Sensor, up to 10FPS with continuous AF/AE tracking other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-alpha-7r-iv-full-frame-mirrorless-interchangeable-lens-camera-w-high-resolution-61mp-sensor-up-to-10fps-with-continuous-af-ae-tracking) [Mysterious Dolphin](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Mysterious%20Dolphin) $66.09 $3,520 53.26x 2026-11-08 19:58 UTC [Nikon NIKKOR Z 24-70mm f/2.8 S | Professional large aperture mid-range zoom lens for Z series mirrorless cameras | Nikon USA Model other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nikon-nikkor-z-24-70mm-f-2-8-s-professional-large-aperture-mid-range-zoom-lens-for-z-series-mirrorless-cameras-nikon-usa-model) [Mysterious Dolphin](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Mysterious%20Dolphin) $66.09 $2,110 31.93x 2026-11-08 19:03 UTC [Sony SEL2470GM E-Mount Camera Lens: FE 24-70 mm F2.8 G Master Full Frame Standard Zoom Lens Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-sel2470gm-e-mount-camera-lens-fe-24-70-mm-f2-8-g-master-full-frame-standard-zoom-lens-black) Hidden $66.09 $1,870 28.29x 2026-11-03 02:41 UTC [Nikon NIKKOR Z 28-400mm f/4-8 VR Lens other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nikon-nikkor-z-28-400mm-f-4-8-vr-lens) Hidden $66.09 $1,380 20.88x 2026-11-05 15:06 UTC [Sony Alpha ZV-E10 - APS-C Interchangeable Lens Mirrorless Vlog Camera - Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-alpha-zv-e10-aps-c-interchangeable-lens-mirrorless-vlog-camera-black) Hidden $66.09 $1,078 16.31x 2026-11-07 23:11 UTC [Sony Alpha ZV-E10 - APS-C Interchangeable Lens Mirrorless Vlog Camera - Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-alpha-zv-e10-aps-c-interchangeable-lens-mirrorless-vlog-camera-black) Hidden $66.09 $1,078 16.31x 2026-11-05 15:03 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=lens-locker) [ZEISS Lens Care Pack - 2-8 Ounce Bottles of Lens Spray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeiss-lens-care-pack-2-8-ounce-bottles-of-lens-spray) Hidden $66.09 $13.49 0.20x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC [ZEISS Lens Care Pack - 2-8 Ounce Bottles of Lens Spray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeiss-lens-care-pack-2-8-ounce-bottles-of-lens-spray) Hidden $66.09 $13.49 0.20x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC [Microfiber Cleaning Cloths other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microfiber-cleaning-cloths) Hidden $66.09 $5.00 0.08x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC [ZEISS Lens Care Pack - 2-8 Ounce Bottles of Lens Spray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeiss-lens-care-pack-2-8-ounce-bottles-of-lens-spray) Hidden $66.09 $13.49 0.20x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC [Microfiber Cleaning Cloths other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microfiber-cleaning-cloths) Hidden $66.09 $5.00 0.08x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC [ZEISS Lens Care Pack - 2-8 Ounce Bottles of Lens Spray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeiss-lens-care-pack-2-8-ounce-bottles-of-lens-spray) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $66.09 $13.49 0.20x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC [Microfiber Cleaning Cloths other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microfiber-cleaning-cloths) Hidden $66.09 $5.00 0.08x 2026-11-10 19:00 UTC [Sony Alpha 7R IV Full Frame Mirrorless Interchangeable Lens Camera w/High Resolution 61MP Sensor, up to 10FPS with continuous AF/AE tracking other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-alpha-7r-iv-full-frame-mirrorless-interchangeable-lens-camera-w-high-resolution-61mp-sensor-up-to-10fps-with-continuous-af-ae-tracking) Hidden $66.09 $3,520 53.26x 2026-11-10 19:00 UTC [ZEISS Lens Care Pack - 2-8 Ounce Bottles of Lens Spray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeiss-lens-care-pack-2-8-ounce-bottles-of-lens-spray) Hidden $66.09 $13.49 0.20x 2026-11-10 19:00 UTC [Protective Case for Canon EOS Rebel T7 DSLR Camera and Lens other](https://gambatracker.com/items/protective-case-for-canon-eos-rebel-t7-dslr-camera-and-lens) Hidden $66.09 $25.29 0.38x 2026-11-10 19:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $66.09 | 89.49% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $5,000 (75.65x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt