---
title: "Listen case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Listen ($22.96) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 85.26% over 628 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/listen
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Listen](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/listen)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Listen

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/listen?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/listen?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/listen) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/listen?window=all)

Price · $22.96

Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $20.55 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 85.26% · 628 openings, odds method

Variance · 10.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 88.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 118 openings · below min

7 days · 86.01% ±27.46 522 openings

30 days · 85.26% ±25.04 628 openings

since tracking started · 85.26% ±25.04 628 openings

58.0% 120.0% 182.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/listen?window=24h) | 118 | 123.64% ±57.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/listen?window=7d) | 522 | 86.01% ±27.5 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/listen) | 628 | 85.26% ±25.0 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/listen?window=all) | 628 | 85.26% ±25.0 | −0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 628 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Apple AirPods Max Wireless Over-Ear Headphones - Space Gray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-airpods-max-wireless-over-ear-headphones-space-gray) | 1 in 333 | $604 | 8.8% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [Sony WH-1000XM5 Noise Canceling Headphones, Midnight Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-wh-1000xm5-noise-canceling-headphones-midnight-blue) | 1 in 182 | $480 | 12.8% | 1 | 3.5 | 0.29× |
| [Sony WH-1000XM4 Wireless Premium Noise Canceling Overhead Headphones other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-wh-1000xm4-wireless-premium-noise-canceling-overhead-headphones) | 1 in 161 | $380 | 11.5% | 7 | 3.9 | 1.80× |
| [Bose QuietComfort Ultra Wireless Noise Cancelling Earbuds other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bose-quietcomfort-ultra-wireless-noise-cancelling-earbuds) | 1 in 137 | $360 | 12.8% | 6 | 4.6 | 1.31× |
| [Apple AirPods 4 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-airpods-4) | 1 in 116 | $240 | 10.0% | 2 | 5.4 | 0.37× |
| [SAMSUNG Galaxy Buds 3, Silver other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-galaxy-buds-3-silver) | 1 in 108 | $235 | 10.6% | 6 | 5.8 | 1.03× |
| [Apple AirPods (2nd Generation) Wireless Ear Buds other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-airpods-2nd-generation-wireless-ear-buds) | 1 in 100 | $175 | 8.5% | 10 | 6.3 | 1.59× |
| [Sony PlayStation Pulse Explore Wireless Earbuds 1000038064 White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-playstation-pulse-explore-wireless-earbuds-1000038064-white) | 1 in 100 | $156 | 7.6% | 7 | 6.3 | 1.11× |
| [JBL Vibe Buds - True Wireless Earbuds other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jbl-vibe-buds-true-wireless-earbuds) | 1 in 33 | $31.00 | 4.5% | 21 | 18.8 | 1.11× |
| [JLab Go Air Pop True Wireless Bluetooth Earbuds, Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jlab-go-air-pop-true-wireless-bluetooth-earbuds-black) | 1 in 33 | $27.37 | 4.0% | 18 | 18.9 | 0.95× |
| [Skullcandy Jib In-Ear Wired Earbuds, White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/skullcandy-jib-in-ear-wired-earbuds-white) | 1 in 20 | $9.99 | 2.4% | 22 | 31.4 | 0.70× |
| [Sony MDREX15LP in-Ear Earbud Headphones other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-mdrex15lp-in-ear-earbud-headphones) | 1 in 20 | $7.49 | 1.8% | 46 | 31.4 | 1.46× |
| [UGREEN Earbud Carrying Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/ugreen-earbud-carrying-case) | 1 in 13 | $4.40 | 1.6% | 54 | 47.1 | 1.15× |
| [TOPHOME Earbud Cord Organizer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tophome-earbud-cord-organizer) | 10.0% | $3.80 | 1.8% | 51 | 62.8 | 0.81× |
| [3.5mm Female to 2 Dual 3.5mm Male Splitter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/3-5mm-female-to-2-dual-3-5mm-male-splitter) | 12.5% | $0.75 | 0.5% | 61 | 78.5 | 0.78× |
| [Clip-On Cable Holders for Earbud Wires other](https://gambatracker.com/items/clip-on-cable-holders-for-earbud-wires) | 12.5% | $0.65 | 0.4% | 78 | 78.5 | 0.99× |
| [Sony WH-1000XM5 Earbud Tips - Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-wh-1000xm5-earbud-tips-blue) | 15.0% | $0.20 | 0.1% | 105 | 94.2 | 1.11× |
| [Anti-Dust Plugs for Headphone Jacks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/anti-dust-plugs-for-headphone-jacks) | 20.5% | $0.04 | 0.0% | 133 | 128.7 | 1.03× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=listen)

[Clip-On Cable Holders for Earbud Wires other](https://gambatracker.com/items/clip-on-cable-holders-for-earbud-wires) Hidden $22.96 $0.65 0.03x 2026-11-11 03:46 UTC

[Sony WH-1000XM5 Earbud Tips - Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-wh-1000xm5-earbud-tips-blue) Hidden $22.96 $0.20 0.01x 2026-11-11 03:46 UTC

[Anti-Dust Plugs for Headphone Jacks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/anti-dust-plugs-for-headphone-jacks) Hidden $22.96 $0.04 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:46 UTC

[Clip-On Cable Holders for Earbud Wires other](https://gambatracker.com/items/clip-on-cable-holders-for-earbud-wires) [Friendly Chipmunk](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Friendly%20Chipmunk) $22.96 $0.65 0.03x 2026-11-11 03:46 UTC

[Sony WH-1000XM5 Earbud Tips - Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-wh-1000xm5-earbud-tips-blue) Hidden $22.96 $0.20 0.01x 2026-11-11 03:46 UTC

[Anti-Dust Plugs for Headphone Jacks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/anti-dust-plugs-for-headphone-jacks) Hidden $22.96 $0.04 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:46 UTC

[UGREEN Earbud Carrying Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/ugreen-earbud-carrying-case) Hidden $22.96 $4.40 0.19x 2026-11-11 03:46 UTC

[Anti-Dust Plugs for Headphone Jacks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/anti-dust-plugs-for-headphone-jacks) [Friendly Chipmunk](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Friendly%20Chipmunk) $22.96 $0.04 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:46 UTC

[Anti-Dust Plugs for Headphone Jacks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/anti-dust-plugs-for-headphone-jacks) Hidden $22.96 $0.04 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:45 UTC

[Bose QuietComfort Ultra Wireless Noise Cancelling Earbuds other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bose-quietcomfort-ultra-wireless-noise-cancelling-earbuds) Hidden $22.96 $360 15.68x 2026-11-11 03:45 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $22.96 | 89.49% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt