--- title: "Low vs High case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Low vs High ($103.81) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 41 items with odds, observed 82.41% over 69 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/low-vs-high rendered: 2026-11-11T17:56Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Low vs High](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/low-vs-high) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Low vs High A box on Cases.gg (Shoes), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/low-vs-high?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/low-vs-high?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/low-vs-high) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/low-vs-high?window=all) Price · $103.81 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $92.91 from 41 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.41% · 69 openings, odds method Variance · 18.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 16 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 51 openings · below min 30 days · 69 openings · below min since tracking started · 69 openings · below min -0.5% 182.8% 366.0% **Small sample.** 69 openings and 4.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/low-vs-high?window=24h) | 6 | 24.08% ±341.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/low-vs-high?window=7d) | 51 | 70.51% ±117.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/low-vs-high) | 69 | 82.41% ±100.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/low-vs-high?window=all) | 69 | 82.41% ±100.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 41 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 69 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Jordan 1 Retro High Dior (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-dior-us-7) | 1 in 10,000 | $24K | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro Low Dior (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-dior-us-11) | 1 in 10,000 | $16.9K | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro High Dior (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-dior-us-10) | 1 in 10,000 | $13.4K | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro Low Dior (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-dior-us-7) | 1 in 10,000 | $12K | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro High Dior (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-dior-us-9) | 1 in 10,000 | $11.9K | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro Low Dior (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-dior-us-8) | 1 in 10,000 | $9,328 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro High Off-White Chicago (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-off-white-chicago-us-7) | 1 in 10,000 | $7,900 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro High Off-White Chicago (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-off-white-chicago-us-9) | 1 in 10,000 | $7,503 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro High OG SP Fragment x Travis Scott (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-og-sp-fragment-x-travis-scott-us-9) | 1 in 5,000 | $6,360 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro High Off-White Chicago (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-off-white-chicago-us-8) | 1 in 10,000 | $5,853 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro Low OG SP Travis Scott Mocha (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-sp-travis-scott-mocha-us-10) | 1 in 5,000 | $3,240 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro Low OG SP Fragment x Travis Scott (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-sp-fragment-x-travis-scott-us-10) | 1 in 5,000 | $3,120 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro Low OG SP Travis Scott Mocha (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-sp-travis-scott-mocha-us-7) | 1 in 3,333 | $2,640 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro High OG SP Fragment x Travis Scott (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-og-sp-fragment-x-travis-scott-us-7) | 1 in 5,000 | $2,400 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro Low OG SP Travis Scott Reverse Mocha (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-sp-travis-scott-reverse-mocha-us-11) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,160 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro High OG SP Travis Scott Mocha (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-og-sp-travis-scott-mocha-us-11) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,750 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro High Off-White University Blue (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-off-white-university-blue-us-8) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,690 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro Low OG SP Travis Scott Reverse Mocha (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-sp-travis-scott-reverse-mocha-us-7) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,500 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro High OG SP Travis Scott Mocha (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-og-sp-travis-scott-mocha-us-10) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,400 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro Low OG SP Travis Scott Black Phantom (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-sp-travis-scott-black-phantom-us-9) | 1 in 500 | $1,180 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro Low OG SP Travis Scott Black Phantom (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-sp-travis-scott-black-phantom-us-8) | 1 in 500 | $1,180 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro High OG Sail (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-og-sail-us-10) | 1 in 400 | $900 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro High OG University Blue (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-og-university-blue-us-8) | 1 in 200 | $450 | 2.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro High OG University Blue (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-og-university-blue-us-9) | 1 in 105 | $435 | 4.4% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Jordan 1 Low OG Bleached Coral (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-low-og-bleached-coral-us-7) | 1 in 100 | $420 | 4.5% | 3 | 0.7 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro High OG Gorge Green (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-og-gorge-green-us-7) | 1 in 67 | $400 | 6.5% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.93× | | [Jordan 1 Retro Low OG Atmosphere Grey (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-atmosphere-grey-us-7) | 1 in 100 | $380 | 4.1% | 2 | 0.7 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro Low OG Mystic Navy (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-mystic-navy-us-9) | 1 in 67 | $255 | 4.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× | | [Jordan 1 Retro High OG Lucky Green (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-og-lucky-green-us-7) | 1 in 80 | $245 | 3.3% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [Jordan 1 Low OG Bleached Coral (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-low-og-bleached-coral-us-8) | 1 in 77 | $235 | 3.3% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro Low OG SP SoleFly (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-sp-solefly-us-7) | 1 in 91 | $225 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro High OG SP Utility Neutral Olive Light Steel Grey (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-og-sp-utility-neutral-olive-light-steel-grey-us-9) | 1 in 50 | $222 | 4.8% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [Jordan 1 Retro Low OG SP SoleFly (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-sp-solefly-us-8) | 1 in 67 | $200 | 3.2% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.93× | | [Jordan 1 Retro High OG Taxi (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-og-taxi-us-7) | 1 in 67 | $170 | 2.7% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.97× | | [Jordan 1 Retro Low OG Black Dark Powder Blue (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-black-dark-powder-blue-us-7) | 1 in 59 | $130 | 2.4% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [Jordan 1 Retro High OG Yellow Ochre (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-og-yellow-ochre-us-8) | 1 in 33 | $125 | 4.0% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.97× | | [Jordan 1 Retro High OG True Blue (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-og-true-blue-us-9) | 1 in 50 | $120 | 2.6% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [Jordan 1 Low Black University Blue (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-low-black-university-blue-us-9) | 1 in 50 | $120 | 2.6% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.72× | | [Jordan 1 Retro Low OG Black Dark Powder Blue (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-black-dark-powder-blue-us-8) | 1 in 50 | $100 | 2.2% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.72× | | [Jordan 1 Retro High OG Mauve (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-og-mauve-us-9) | 1 in 33 | $94.00 | 3.0% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.97× | | [3D Mini shoe keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/3d-mini-shoe-keychain) | 70.0% | $10.00 | 7.5% | 49 | 48.3 | 1.01× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=low-vs-high) [3D Mini shoe keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/3d-mini-shoe-keychain) Hidden $104 $10.00 0.10x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [3D Mini shoe keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/3d-mini-shoe-keychain) Hidden $104 $10.00 0.10x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [3D Mini shoe keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/3d-mini-shoe-keychain) Hidden $104 $10.00 0.10x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [3D Mini shoe keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/3d-mini-shoe-keychain) Hidden $104 $10.00 0.10x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [Jordan 1 Retro Low OG Black Dark Powder Blue (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-black-dark-powder-blue-us-8) Hidden $104 $100 0.96x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [3D Mini shoe keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/3d-mini-shoe-keychain) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $104 $10.00 0.10x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [3D Mini shoe keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/3d-mini-shoe-keychain) Hidden $104 $10.00 0.10x 2026-11-10 06:43 UTC [3D Mini shoe keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/3d-mini-shoe-keychain) Hidden $104 $10.00 0.10x 2026-11-10 06:43 UTC [Jordan 1 Retro High OG Mauve (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-og-mauve-us-9) Hidden $104 $94.00 0.91x 2026-11-10 06:43 UTC [3D Mini shoe keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/3d-mini-shoe-keychain) Hidden $104 $10.00 0.10x 2026-11-10 06:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $104 | 89.50% | 41 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt