---
title: "lucky-ruck-5percent-v1 case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "lucky-ruck-5percent-v1 ($0.40) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 93.47% over 144 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lucky-ruck-5percent-v1
rendered: 2026-11-13T03:09Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [lucky-ruck-5percent-v1](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lucky-ruck-5percent-v1)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · lucky-ruck-5percent-v1

A box on Cases.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lucky-ruck-5percent-v1?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lucky-ruck-5percent-v1?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lucky-ruck-5percent-v1) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lucky-ruck-5percent-v1?window=all)

Price · $0.40

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.47% · 144 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 12 openings · below min

7 days · 36 openings · below min

30 days · 144 openings · below min

since tracking started · 144 openings · below min

-0.5% 511.8% 1024.0%

**Small sample.** 144 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lucky-ruck-5percent-v1?window=24h) | 12 | 501.88% ±521.7 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lucky-ruck-5percent-v1?window=7d) | 36 | 175.83% ±185.8 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lucky-ruck-5percent-v1) | 144 | 93.47% ±64.8 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lucky-ruck-5percent-v1?window=all) | 144 | 93.47% ±64.8 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · none published

**No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=lucky-ruck-5percent-v1)

[Maruchan Ramen Chicken, 24 Count other](https://gambatracker.com/items/maruchan-ramen-chicken-24-count) Hidden $0.40 $7.00 17.50x 2026-11-12 06:03 UTC

[Car Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/car-sticker) Hidden $0.40 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-12 06:03 UTC

[Maruchan Ramen Chicken, 24 Count other](https://gambatracker.com/items/maruchan-ramen-chicken-24-count) Hidden $0.40 $7.00 17.50x 2026-11-12 06:03 UTC

[Car Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/car-sticker) Hidden $0.40 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-12 06:03 UTC

[Car Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/car-sticker) Hidden $0.40 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-12 06:03 UTC

[Car Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/car-sticker) [Kuschman](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Kuschman) $0.40 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-12 06:03 UTC

[Car Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/car-sticker) Hidden $0.40 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-12 06:02 UTC

[Car Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/car-sticker) Hidden $0.40 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-12 06:02 UTC

[Peeps Marshmallow Bunnies other](https://gambatracker.com/items/peeps-marshmallow-bunnies) Hidden $0.40 $10.00 25.00x 2026-11-12 06:02 UTC

[Car Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/car-sticker) Hidden $0.40 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-12 06:02 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.47 on average: an expected loss of $6.53 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
