--- title: "Lucky Sneaker Case case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Lucky Sneaker Case ($41.91) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 458.67% over 18 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lucky-sneaker-case rendered: 2026-11-12T17:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Lucky Sneaker Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lucky-sneaker-case) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Lucky Sneaker Case A box on Cases.gg, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lucky-sneaker-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lucky-sneaker-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lucky-sneaker-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lucky-sneaker-case?window=all) Price · $41.91 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 458.67% · 18 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 18 openings · below min 30 days · 18 openings · below min since tracking started · 18 openings · below min -0.5% 573.0% 1146.5% **Small sample.** 18 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lucky-sneaker-case?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lucky-sneaker-case?window=7d) | 18 | 458.67% ±687.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lucky-sneaker-case) | 18 | 458.67% ±687.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lucky-sneaker-case?window=all) | 18 | 458.67% ±687.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Nike SB Dunk Low Concepts Green Lobster (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sb-dunk-low-concepts-green-lobster-us-8) Hidden $41.91 $2,640 62.99x 2026-11-10 18:38 UTC [Nike Dunk Low SP City Market (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-sp-city-market-us-8) Hidden $41.91 $500 11.93x 2026-11-10 18:38 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=lucky-sneaker-case) [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $41.91 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-10 18:38 UTC [Nike SB Dunk Low Concepts Green Lobster (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sb-dunk-low-concepts-green-lobster-us-8) Hidden $41.91 $2,640 62.99x 2026-11-10 18:38 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $41.91 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-10 18:38 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $41.91 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-10 18:38 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $41.91 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-10 18:38 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) [vioreltoma](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/vioreltoma) $41.91 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-10 18:38 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $41.91 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-10 18:38 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $41.91 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-10 18:38 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $41.91 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-10 18:38 UTC [Nike Dunk Low Athletic Department University Blue (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-athletic-department-university-blue-us-9) Hidden $41.91 $130 3.10x 2026-11-10 18:38 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,640 (62.99x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 458.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $458.67 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt