--- title: "Luxe White case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Luxe White ($203.81) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 21 items with odds, observed 52.64% over 78 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/luxe-white rendered: 2026-11-11T20:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Luxe White](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/luxe-white) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Luxe White A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/luxe-white?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/luxe-white?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/luxe-white) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/luxe-white?window=all) Price · $203.81 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $182.41 from 21 items Observed RTP, 30d · 52.64% · 78 openings, odds method Variance · 35.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 89.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 48 openings · below min 30 days · 78 openings · below min since tracking started · 78 openings · below min -0.5% 100.8% 202.0% **Small sample.** 78 openings and 2.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/luxe-white?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/luxe-white?window=7d) | 48 | 32.70% ±168.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/luxe-white) | 78 | 52.64% ±132.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/luxe-white?window=all) | 78 | 52.64% ±132.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 78 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Hermès Special Order (HSS) Birkin 30 White and Black Clemence Brushed Gold Hardware other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hermes-special-order-hss-birkin-30-white-and-black-clemence-brushed-gold-hardware) | 1 in 2,000 | $43.8K | 12.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Mercedes-Benz G 300 1982 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mercedes-benz-g-300-1982) | 1 in 2,000 | $18.9K | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Louis Vuitton Nike Air Force 1 Mid By Virgil Abloh White (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-nike-air-force-1-mid-by-virgil-abloh-white-us-10) | 1 in 1,000 | $12.3K | 6.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Moncler Maya 70 by Palm Angels Jacket Bright White MONCLER 2 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/moncler-maya-70-by-palm-angels-jacket-bright-white-moncler-2) | 1 in 1,000 | $8,750 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [OFF-WHITE Rimowa See Through 36L Case White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/off-white-rimowa-see-through-36l-case-white) | 1 in 500 | $4,800 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Box Logo Tee White (US XL) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-box-logo-tee-white-us-xl) | 1 in 200 | $2,530 | 6.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Gucci Cotton Jersey Hooded Sweatshirt Off White (US L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-cotton-jersey-hooded-sweatshirt-off-white-us-l) | 1 in 100 | $1,488 | 8.2% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [Converse Chuck Taylor All Star 70 Hi Ambush White (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/converse-chuck-taylor-all-star-70-hi-ambush-white-us-9) | 1 in 100 | $987 | 5.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [SAMSUNG Galaxy Watch Ultra 47mm, Titanium White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-galaxy-watch-ultra-47mm-titanium-white) | 1 in 50 | $780 | 8.6% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.92× | | [OFF-WHITE Arrows-Motif Cotton T-shirt White (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/off-white-arrows-motif-cotton-t-shirt-white-us-m) | 1 in 50 | $631 | 6.9% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× | | [A Bathing Ape Bape Sta #2 White Patent other](https://gambatracker.com/items/a-bathing-ape-bape-sta-2-white-patent) | 1 in 50 | $500 | 5.5% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.28× | | [Supreme Box Logo L/S Tee White (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-box-logo-l-s-tee-white-us-s) | 1 in 50 | $390 | 4.3% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× | | [FTP Logo Skateboard Deck White/Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ftp-logo-skateboard-deck-white-black) | 1 in 50 | $200 | 2.2% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× | | [Nike Air Force 1 Low Supreme White (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-force-1-low-supreme-white-us-11) | 1 in 50 | $185 | 2.0% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× | | [Hoka One One Bondi 9 White (US 10.5) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hoka-one-one-bondi-9-white-us-10-5) | 1 in 50 | $180 | 2.0% | 4 | 1.6 | 2.56× | | [KAWS x Uniqlo Flayed Tee White (US XL) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-flayed-tee-white-us-xl) | 1 in 33 | $97.00 | 1.6% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.85× | | [Casio G-Shock MTP-1302D-7A1V other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-mtp-1302d-7a1v) | 15.0% | $72.00 | 5.9% | 11 | 11.7 | 0.94× | | [Men's San Francisco 49ers New Era White 2024 Salute To Service Digital Camo 39THIRTY Flex Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mens-san-francisco-49ers-new-era-white-2024-salute-to-service-digital-camo-39thirty-flex-hat) | 15.0% | $39.00 | 3.2% | 14 | 11.7 | 1.20× | | [BAPE Beach Japan 2022 Exclusive Pack Towel White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-beach-japan-2022-exclusive-pack-towel-white) | 15.0% | $28.00 | 2.3% | 10 | 11.7 | 0.85× | | [Pack Of 3 White Men's Socks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pack-of-3-white-mens-socks) | 15.0% | $8.99 | 0.7% | 15 | 11.7 | 1.28× | | [White Nike Dunk Replacement Style Laces other](https://gambatracker.com/items/white-nike-dunk-replacement-style-laces) | 20.0% | $3.00 | 0.3% | 14 | 15.6 | 0.90× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Gucci Cotton Jersey Hooded Sweatshirt Off White (US L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-cotton-jersey-hooded-sweatshirt-off-white-us-l) Hidden $204 $1,488 7.30x 2026-11-04 14:23 UTC [SAMSUNG Galaxy Watch Ultra 47mm, Titanium White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-galaxy-watch-ultra-47mm-titanium-white) Hidden $204 $780 3.83x 2026-11-04 14:25 UTC [SAMSUNG Galaxy Watch Ultra 47mm, Titanium White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-galaxy-watch-ultra-47mm-titanium-white) Hidden $204 $780 3.83x 2026-11-04 14:19 UTC [SAMSUNG Galaxy Watch Ultra 47mm, Titanium White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-galaxy-watch-ultra-47mm-titanium-white) Hidden $204 $780 3.83x 2026-11-03 14:46 UTC [OFF-WHITE Arrows-Motif Cotton T-shirt White (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/off-white-arrows-motif-cotton-t-shirt-white-us-m) [Kick/PapaGambles $20k+ Rewards](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Kick%2FPapaGambles%20%2420k%2B%20Rewards) $204 $631 3.10x 2026-11-08 20:11 UTC [A Bathing Ape Bape Sta #2 White Patent other](https://gambatracker.com/items/a-bathing-ape-bape-sta-2-white-patent) Hidden $204 $500 2.45x 2026-11-08 20:06 UTC [A Bathing Ape Bape Sta #2 White Patent other](https://gambatracker.com/items/a-bathing-ape-bape-sta-2-white-patent) Hidden $204 $500 2.45x 2026-11-03 14:45 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=luxe-white) [BAPE Beach Japan 2022 Exclusive Pack Towel White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-beach-japan-2022-exclusive-pack-towel-white) Hidden $204 $28.00 0.14x 2026-11-10 06:48 UTC [Men's San Francisco 49ers New Era White 2024 Salute To Service Digital Camo 39THIRTY Flex Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mens-san-francisco-49ers-new-era-white-2024-salute-to-service-digital-camo-39thirty-flex-hat) Hidden $204 $39.00 0.19x 2026-11-10 06:48 UTC [Men's San Francisco 49ers New Era White 2024 Salute To Service Digital Camo 39THIRTY Flex Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mens-san-francisco-49ers-new-era-white-2024-salute-to-service-digital-camo-39thirty-flex-hat) Hidden $204 $39.00 0.19x 2026-11-10 06:48 UTC [Casio G-Shock MTP-1302D-7A1V other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-mtp-1302d-7a1v) Hidden $204 $72.00 0.35x 2026-11-10 06:48 UTC [White Nike Dunk Replacement Style Laces other](https://gambatracker.com/items/white-nike-dunk-replacement-style-laces) Hidden $204 $3.00 0.01x 2026-11-10 06:48 UTC [Casio G-Shock MTP-1302D-7A1V other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-mtp-1302d-7a1v) [Nie](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Nie) $204 $72.00 0.35x 2026-11-10 06:48 UTC [White Nike Dunk Replacement Style Laces other](https://gambatracker.com/items/white-nike-dunk-replacement-style-laces) Hidden $204 $3.00 0.01x 2026-11-10 06:33 UTC [Pack Of 3 White Men's Socks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pack-of-3-white-mens-socks) Hidden $204 $8.99 0.04x 2026-11-10 06:33 UTC [White Nike Dunk Replacement Style Laces other](https://gambatracker.com/items/white-nike-dunk-replacement-style-laces) Hidden $204 $3.00 0.01x 2026-11-10 06:33 UTC [Pack Of 3 White Men's Socks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pack-of-3-white-mens-socks) Hidden $204 $8.99 0.04x 2026-11-10 06:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $204 | 89.50% | 21 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $1,488 (7.30x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt