--- title: "Louis Vuitton case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Louis Vuitton ($241.36) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 19 items with odds, observed 61.11% over 95 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lv rendered: 2026-11-11T14:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Louis Vuitton](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lv) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Louis Vuitton A box on Cases.gg (Luxury), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lv?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lv?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lv) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lv?window=all) Price · $241.36 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $216.01 from 19 items Observed RTP, 30d · 61.11% · 95 openings, odds method Variance · 5.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 19 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 60 openings · below min 30 days · 95 openings · below min since tracking started · 95 openings · below min -0.5% 57.5% 115.5% **Small sample.** 95 openings and 4.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lv?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lv?window=7d) | 60 | 54.29% ±60.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lv) | 95 | 61.11% ±48.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/lv?window=all) | 95 | 61.11% ±48.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 95 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Louis Vuitton x NBA New Backpack Monogram other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-nba-new-backpack-monogram) | 1 in 10,000 | $8,639 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Initiales Belt 40 MM Monogram Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-initiales-belt-40-mm-monogram-red) | 1 in 1,000 | $7,300 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Louis Vuitton x NBA Basketball Keepall 55 Monogram other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-nba-basketball-keepall-55-monogram) | 1 in 10,000 | $6,914 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Louis Vuitton Nike Air Force 1 Low By Virgil Abloh White Green (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-nike-air-force-1-low-by-virgil-abloh-white-green-us-7) | 1 in 2,000 | $6,840 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Louis Vuitton x NBA Graphic Blouson Brown (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-nba-graphic-blouson-brown-us-s) | 1 in 3,333 | $4,400 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Pocket Organizer Epi Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-pocket-organizer-epi-red) | 1 in 2,000 | $3,480 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Initiales Belt 40 MM Monogram Brown Gold other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-initiales-belt-40-mm-monogram-brown-gold) | 1 in 143 | $2,880 | 9.3% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Dice Key Chain Brass other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-dice-key-chain-brass) | 1 in 100 | $2,400 | 11.1% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Monogram Pillow Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-monogram-pillow-red) | 1 in 286 | $2,040 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Monogram Scarf other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-monogram-scarf) | 1 in 200 | $2,030 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Slender Wallet Epi Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-slender-wallet-epi-red) | 1 in 500 | $2,000 | 1.9% | 2 | 0.2 | — | | [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Box Logo Tee White (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-box-logo-tee-white-us-m) | 1 in 100 | $1,332 | 6.2% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [Louis Vuitton Pocket Organizer LV BlasonBlack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-pocket-organizer-lv-blasonblack) | 1 in 83 | $1,300 | 7.2% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Dice Key Chain Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-dice-key-chain-red) | 1 in 77 | $1,078 | 6.5% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.81× | | [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Monogram Bandana Brown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-monogram-bandana-brown) | 1 in 67 | $960 | 6.7% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.40× | | [Louis Vuitton by Tyler, the Creator Multiple Wallet Chocolate Craggy Monogram other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-by-tyler-the-creator-multiple-wallet-chocolate-craggy-monogram) | 1 in 40 | $800 | 9.3% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× | | [Louis Vuitton Multiple Wallet Monogram Brown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-multiple-wallet-monogram-brown) | 1 in 29 | $687 | 11.1% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.90× | | [Louis Vuitton Card HolderMonogram other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-card-holdermonogram) | 1 in 17 | $564 | 15.7% | 5 | 5.7 | 0.88× | | [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) | 80.0% | $0.01 | 0.0% | 80 | 76.0 | 1.05× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Slender Wallet Epi Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-slender-wallet-epi-red) Hidden $241 $2,000 8.29x 2026-11-08 14:58 UTC [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Slender Wallet Epi Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-slender-wallet-epi-red) Hidden $241 $2,000 8.29x 2026-11-03 00:09 UTC [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Box Logo Tee White (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-box-logo-tee-white-us-m) Hidden $241 $1,332 5.52x 2026-11-07 14:06 UTC [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Dice Key Chain Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-dice-key-chain-red) Hidden $241 $1,078 4.47x 2026-11-08 14:58 UTC [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Monogram Bandana Brown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-monogram-bandana-brown) Hidden $241 $960 3.98x 2026-11-05 06:21 UTC [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Monogram Bandana Brown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-monogram-bandana-brown) Hidden $241 $960 3.98x 2026-11-03 00:09 UTC [Louis Vuitton by Tyler, the Creator Multiple Wallet Chocolate Craggy Monogram other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-by-tyler-the-creator-multiple-wallet-chocolate-craggy-monogram) Hidden $241 $800 3.31x 2026-11-05 06:17 UTC [Louis Vuitton Multiple Wallet Monogram Brown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-multiple-wallet-monogram-brown) Hidden $241 $687 2.85x 2026-11-04 13:04 UTC [Louis Vuitton Multiple Wallet Monogram Brown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-multiple-wallet-monogram-brown) Hidden $241 $687 2.85x 2026-11-03 00:10 UTC [Louis Vuitton Multiple Wallet Monogram Brown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-multiple-wallet-monogram-brown) Hidden $241 $687 2.85x 2026-11-03 00:09 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=lv) [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $241 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-08 14:59 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $241 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-08 14:59 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $241 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-08 14:59 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $241 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-08 14:59 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $241 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-08 14:59 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) [CODE: FREEMAN 400$ LB](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/CODE%3A%20FREEMAN%20400%24%20LB) $241 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-08 14:59 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $241 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-08 14:58 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $241 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-08 14:58 UTC [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Slender Wallet Epi Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-slender-wallet-epi-red) Hidden $241 $2,000 8.29x 2026-11-08 14:58 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $241 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-08 14:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $241 | 89.50% | 19 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $2,000 (8.29x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt