---
title: "MAC and Cheese case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "MAC and Cheese ($66.51) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 12 items with odds, observed 70.93% over 243 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mac-and-cheese
rendered: 2026-11-12T00:37Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [MAC and Cheese](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mac-and-cheese)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · MAC and Cheese

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mac-and-cheese?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mac-and-cheese?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mac-and-cheese) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mac-and-cheese?window=all)

Price · $66.51

Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $59.52 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 70.93% · 243 openings, odds method

Variance · 27.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 67 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 94.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 18 openings · below min

7 days · 159 openings · below min

30 days · 243 openings · below min

since tracking started · 243 openings · below min

-0.5% 178.8% 358.0%

**Small sample.** 243 openings and 3.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mac-and-cheese?window=24h) | 18 | 114.27% ±243.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mac-and-cheese?window=7d) | 159 | 85.99% ±81.9 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mac-and-cheese) | 243 | 70.93% ±66.2 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mac-and-cheese?window=all) | 243 | 70.93% ±66.2 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 243 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [MacBook Pro, Space Black, 16 Inch, M3 Max other](https://gambatracker.com/items/macbook-pro-space-black-16-inch-m3-max) | 1 in 500 | $4,800 | 16.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Apple 2023 MacBook Pro Laptop M3 Max chip with 14‑core CPU, 30‑core GPU: 16.2-inch Liquid Retina XDR Display, 36GB Unified Memory, 1TB SSD Storage other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-2023-macbook-pro-laptop-m3-max-chip-with-14-core-cpu-30-core-gpu-16-2-inch-liquid-retina-xdr-display-36gb-unified-memory-1tb-ssd-storage) | 1 in 333 | $3,500 | 17.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Apple 2023 iMac All-in-One Desktop Computer with M3 chip: 8-core CPU, 10-core GPU, 24-inch Retina Display, 8GB Unified Memory, 512GB SSD Storage other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-2023-imac-all-in-one-desktop-computer-with-m3-chip-8-core-cpu-10-core-gpu-24-inch-retina-display-8gb-unified-memory-512gb-ssd-storage) | 1 in 200 | $1,700 | 14.3% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [Parmesan Cheese Wheel 80 lb, Parmigiano Reggiano other](https://gambatracker.com/items/parmesan-cheese-wheel-80-lb-parmigiano-reggiano) | 1 in 200 | $1,680 | 14.1% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [Apple 2023 iMac All-in-One Desktop Computer with M3 chip: 8-core CPU, 8-core GPU, 24-inch Retina Display, 8GB Unified Memory, 256GB SSD Storage other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-2023-imac-all-in-one-desktop-computer-with-m3-chip-8-core-cpu-8-core-gpu-24-inch-retina-display-8gb-unified-memory-256gb-ssd-storage) | 1 in 200 | $1,264 | 10.6% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.65× |
| [Parmigiano Reggiano PDO, Half wheel, seasoned 24 months 40 lbs other](https://gambatracker.com/items/parmigiano-reggiano-pdo-half-wheel-seasoned-24-months-40-lbs) | 1 in 100 | $804 | 13.5% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.23× |
| [Easy Cheese Cheddar Cheese Snack, 12 - 8 oz Cans other](https://gambatracker.com/items/easy-cheese-cheddar-cheese-snack-12-8-oz-cans) | 1 in 33 | $80.00 | 4.0% | 4 | 7.3 | 0.55× |
| [Genuine Pecorino Romano Locatelli Cheese 2 lb other](https://gambatracker.com/items/genuine-pecorino-romano-locatelli-cheese-2-lb) | 1 in 25 | $59.00 | 4.0% | 7 | 9.7 | 0.72× |
| [Kraft Cheese American Singles Yellow 8 OZ Pack of 3 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kraft-cheese-american-singles-yellow-8-oz-pack-of-3) | 1 in 20 | $38.00 | 3.2% | 18 | 12.2 | 1.48× |
| [Kraft Deluxe Original Mac & Cheese Macaroni and Cheese Dinner Microwavable Dinner, 8 ct Box, 2.39 oz Cups other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kraft-deluxe-original-mac-and-cheese-macaroni-and-cheese-dinner-microwavable-dinner-8-ct-box-2-39-oz-cups) | 1 in 20 | $10.00 | 0.8% | 7 | 12.2 | 0.58× |
| [Velveeta Original Cheese Sauce Pouches, 3 ct Box with 4 oz Pouches other](https://gambatracker.com/items/velveeta-original-cheese-sauce-pouches-3-ct-box-with-4-oz-pouches) | 1 in 20 | $5.00 | 0.4% | 9 | 12.2 | 0.74× |
| [Kraft Original Mac & Cheese Macaroni and Cheese Dinner, 7.25 oz Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kraft-original-mac-and-cheese-macaroni-and-cheese-dinner-7-25-oz-box) | 75.0% | $1.00 | 1.3% | 192 | 182.3 | 1.05× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[MacBook Pro, Space Black, 16 Inch, M3 Max other](https://gambatracker.com/items/macbook-pro-space-black-16-inch-m3-max) Hidden $66.51 $4,800 72.17x 2026-11-07 14:04 UTC

[Apple 2023 iMac All-in-One Desktop Computer with M3 chip: 8-core CPU, 8-core GPU, 24-inch Retina Display, 8GB Unified Memory, 256GB SSD Storage other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-2023-imac-all-in-one-desktop-computer-with-m3-chip-8-core-cpu-8-core-gpu-24-inch-retina-display-8gb-unified-memory-256gb-ssd-storage) Hidden $66.51 $1,264 19.00x 2026-11-11 03:22 UTC

[Apple 2023 iMac All-in-One Desktop Computer with M3 chip: 8-core CPU, 8-core GPU, 24-inch Retina Display, 8GB Unified Memory, 256GB SSD Storage other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-2023-imac-all-in-one-desktop-computer-with-m3-chip-8-core-cpu-8-core-gpu-24-inch-retina-display-8gb-unified-memory-256gb-ssd-storage) Hidden $66.51 $1,264 19.00x 2026-11-10 06:19 UTC

[Parmigiano Reggiano PDO, Half wheel, seasoned 24 months 40 lbs other](https://gambatracker.com/items/parmigiano-reggiano-pdo-half-wheel-seasoned-24-months-40-lbs) Hidden $66.51 $804 12.09x 2026-11-05 21:21 UTC

[Parmigiano Reggiano PDO, Half wheel, seasoned 24 months 40 lbs other](https://gambatracker.com/items/parmigiano-reggiano-pdo-half-wheel-seasoned-24-months-40-lbs) Hidden $66.51 $804 12.09x 2026-11-04 00:14 UTC

[Parmigiano Reggiano PDO, Half wheel, seasoned 24 months 40 lbs other](https://gambatracker.com/items/parmigiano-reggiano-pdo-half-wheel-seasoned-24-months-40-lbs) Hidden $66.51 $804 12.09x 2026-11-03 14:11 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=mac-and-cheese)

[Kraft Deluxe Original Mac & Cheese Macaroni and Cheese Dinner Microwavable Dinner, 8 ct Box, 2.39 oz Cups other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kraft-deluxe-original-mac-and-cheese-macaroni-and-cheese-dinner-microwavable-dinner-8-ct-box-2-39-oz-cups) Hidden $66.51 $10.00 0.15x 2026-11-11 08:52 UTC

[Kraft Original Mac & Cheese Macaroni and Cheese Dinner, 7.25 oz Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kraft-original-mac-and-cheese-macaroni-and-cheese-dinner-7-25-oz-box) Hidden $66.51 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 08:52 UTC

[Velveeta Original Cheese Sauce Pouches, 3 ct Box with 4 oz Pouches other](https://gambatracker.com/items/velveeta-original-cheese-sauce-pouches-3-ct-box-with-4-oz-pouches) Hidden $66.51 $5.00 0.08x 2026-11-11 08:52 UTC

[Kraft Original Mac & Cheese Macaroni and Cheese Dinner, 7.25 oz Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kraft-original-mac-and-cheese-macaroni-and-cheese-dinner-7-25-oz-box) Hidden $66.51 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 08:52 UTC

[Kraft Original Mac & Cheese Macaroni and Cheese Dinner, 7.25 oz Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kraft-original-mac-and-cheese-macaroni-and-cheese-dinner-7-25-oz-box) Hidden $66.51 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 08:52 UTC

[Kraft Original Mac & Cheese Macaroni and Cheese Dinner, 7.25 oz Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kraft-original-mac-and-cheese-macaroni-and-cheese-dinner-7-25-oz-box) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $66.51 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 08:52 UTC

[Kraft Original Mac & Cheese Macaroni and Cheese Dinner, 7.25 oz Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kraft-original-mac-and-cheese-macaroni-and-cheese-dinner-7-25-oz-box) Hidden $66.51 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 03:22 UTC

[Kraft Original Mac & Cheese Macaroni and Cheese Dinner, 7.25 oz Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kraft-original-mac-and-cheese-macaroni-and-cheese-dinner-7-25-oz-box) Hidden $66.51 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 03:22 UTC

[Kraft Original Mac & Cheese Macaroni and Cheese Dinner, 7.25 oz Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kraft-original-mac-and-cheese-macaroni-and-cheese-dinner-7-25-oz-box) Hidden $66.51 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 03:22 UTC

[Kraft Original Mac & Cheese Macaroni and Cheese Dinner, 7.25 oz Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kraft-original-mac-and-cheese-macaroni-and-cheese-dinner-7-25-oz-box) Hidden $66.51 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 03:22 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $66.51 | 89.49% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $4,800 (72.17x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt