--- title: "Maccas case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Maccas ($54.40) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 12 items with odds, observed 96.90% over 184 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/maccas rendered: 2026-11-12T00:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Maccas](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/maccas) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Maccas A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/maccas?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/maccas?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/maccas) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/maccas?window=all) Price · $54.40 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $48.68 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 96.90% · 184 openings, odds method Variance · 6.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 95.77% ±39.60 156 openings 30 days · 96.90% ±36.46 184 openings since tracking started · 96.90% ±36.46 184 openings -0.5% 113.3% 227.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/maccas?window=24h) | 12 | 83.75% ±142.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/maccas?window=7d) | 156 | 95.77% ±39.6 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/maccas) | 184 | 96.90% ±36.5 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/maccas?window=all) | 184 | 96.90% ±36.5 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 184 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [HME EOS HS6200 Drive Thru Headset other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hme-eos-hs6200-drive-thru-headset) | 1 in 100 | $954 | 19.6% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.09× | | [Travis Scott x McDonald's Cj Smile Hoodie Brown (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-cj-smile-hoodie-brown-us-s) | 1 in 100 | $668 | 13.7% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.09× | | [Travis Scott x McDonalds Chicken Nugget Body Pillow other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-chicken-nugget-body-pillow) | 1 in 100 | $546 | 11.2% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.09× | | [Travis Scott x McDonalds Clutch Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-clutch-bag) | 1 in 50 | $375 | 15.4% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.09× | | [McDonald's x Evangelion Value Set Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mcdonalds-x-evangelion-value-set-figure) | 1 in 40 | $145 | 7.4% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.87× | | [Kerwin Frost x McDonald's Fry Guy Clog Cobalt Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kerwin-frost-x-mcdonalds-fry-guy-clog-cobalt-blue) | 1 in 50 | $100 | 4.1% | 6 | 3.7 | 1.63× | | [McDonald's x Kerwin Frost McNugget Buddies McNugget Legend Chase Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mcdonalds-x-kerwin-frost-mcnugget-buddies-mcnugget-legend-chase-figure) | 1 in 25 | $96.00 | 7.9% | 11 | 7.4 | 1.49× | | [Travis Scott x McDonald's Crew T-shirt Red (US XL) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-crew-t-shirt-red-us-xl) | 1 in 20 | $89.00 | 9.1% | 7 | 9.2 | 0.76× | | [2025 McDonald's x Pokémon Set of 10 Packs other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2025-mcdonalds-x-pokemon-set-of-10-packs) | 1 in 15 | $75.00 | 10.0% | 12 | 12.0 | 1.00× | | [McDonald's Red Event Visor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mcdonalds-red-event-visor) | 10.0% | $5.00 | 1.0% | 13 | 18.4 | 0.71× | | [McDonalds Happy Meal Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mcdonalds-happy-meal-box) | 15.0% | $1.00 | 0.3% | 28 | 27.6 | 1.01× | | [Kraft American Sliced Cheese other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kraft-american-sliced-cheese) | 50.0% | $0.12 | 0.1% | 93 | 92.0 | 1.01× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [HME EOS HS6200 Drive Thru Headset other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hme-eos-hs6200-drive-thru-headset) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $54.40 $954 17.54x 2026-11-06 07:24 UTC [HME EOS HS6200 Drive Thru Headset other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hme-eos-hs6200-drive-thru-headset) Hidden $54.40 $954 17.54x 2026-11-03 00:41 UTC [Travis Scott x McDonald's Cj Smile Hoodie Brown (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-cj-smile-hoodie-brown-us-s) Hidden $54.40 $668 12.28x 2026-11-06 08:09 UTC [Travis Scott x McDonald's Cj Smile Hoodie Brown (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-cj-smile-hoodie-brown-us-s) Hidden $54.40 $668 12.28x 2026-11-06 00:49 UTC [Travis Scott x McDonalds Chicken Nugget Body Pillow other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-chicken-nugget-body-pillow) Hidden $54.40 $546 10.04x 2026-11-06 00:38 UTC [Travis Scott x McDonalds Chicken Nugget Body Pillow other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-chicken-nugget-body-pillow) [GoodLuckHaveFun](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/GoodLuckHaveFun) $54.40 $546 10.04x 2026-11-06 00:28 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=maccas) [McDonald's Red Event Visor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mcdonalds-red-event-visor) Hidden $54.40 $5.00 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [Travis Scott x McDonalds Clutch Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-clutch-bag) Hidden $54.40 $375 6.89x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [Kraft American Sliced Cheese other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kraft-american-sliced-cheese) Hidden $54.40 $0.12 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [Kraft American Sliced Cheese other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kraft-american-sliced-cheese) Hidden $54.40 $0.12 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [McDonalds Happy Meal Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mcdonalds-happy-meal-box) Hidden $54.40 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [McDonalds Happy Meal Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mcdonalds-happy-meal-box) [FamiChiki](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/FamiChiki) $54.40 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [Travis Scott x McDonald's Crew T-shirt Red (US XL) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-crew-t-shirt-red-us-xl) Hidden $54.40 $89.00 1.64x 2026-11-11 08:30 UTC [Kraft American Sliced Cheese other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kraft-american-sliced-cheese) Hidden $54.40 $0.12 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:30 UTC [2025 McDonald's x Pokémon Set of 10 Packs other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2025-mcdonalds-x-pokemon-set-of-10-packs) Hidden $54.40 $75.00 1.38x 2026-11-11 08:30 UTC [Kraft American Sliced Cheese other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kraft-american-sliced-cheese) Hidden $54.40 $0.12 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $54.40 | 89.49% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $954 (17.54x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt