--- title: "Manga Madness case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Manga Madness ($0.79) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.96% from 18 items with odds, observed 98.32% over 9,845 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/manga-madness rendered: 2026-11-11T23:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Manga Madness](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/manga-madness) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Manga Madness A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/manga-madness?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/manga-madness?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/manga-madness) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/manga-madness?window=all) Price · $0.79 Advertised RTP · 88.96% · EV $0.70 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 98.32% · 9,845 openings, odds method Variance · 38.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 101 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 107.85% ±43.50 776 openings 7 days · 102.99% ±13.36 8,227 openings 30 days · 98.32% ±12.21 9,845 openings since tracking started · 98.32% ±12.21 9,845 openings 63.5% 107.8% 152.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/manga-madness?window=24h) | 776 | 107.85% ±43.5 | +0.9σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/manga-madness?window=7d) | 8,227 | 102.99% ±13.4 | +2.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/manga-madness) | 9,845 | 98.32% ±12.2 | +1.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/manga-madness?window=all) | 9,845 | 98.32% ±12.2 | +1.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,857 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [MediCos JoJo's Bizarre Adventure Part 4: Chozo Kado Jotaro Kujo Super Action Statue Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/medicos-jojos-bizarre-adventure-part-4-chozo-kado-jotaro-kujo-super-action-statue-figure) | 1 in 1,250 | $99.00 | 11.3% | 10 | 7.9 | 1.27× | | [Funko Pop! Animation Demon Slayer Muichiro Tokito 2022 Funkon Exclusive Figure #1193 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-demon-slayer-muichiro-tokito-2022-funkon-exclusive-figure-1193) | 1 in 3,333 | $93.00 | 4.0% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× | | [Bandai Proplica Demon Slayer Kimetsu no Yaiba Tanjiro Kamado Nichirin Sword other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bandai-proplica-demon-slayer-kimetsu-no-yaiba-tanjiro-kamado-nichirin-sword) | 1 in 10,000 | $87.00 | 1.2% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [Vans Sk8-Hi One Piece Punk Hazard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/vans-sk8-hi-one-piece-punk-hazard) | 1 in 2,000 | $83.00 | 5.9% | 8 | 4.9 | 1.62× | | [Weiss Schwarz Attack on Titan CCG Volume 2 Booster Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/weiss-schwarz-attack-on-titan-ccg-volume-2-booster-box) | 1 in 1,000 | $71.00 | 10.1% | 12 | 9.9 | 1.22× | | [The Complete Art of Fullmetal Alchemist other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-complete-art-of-fullmetal-alchemist) | 1 in 800 | $27.07 | 4.8% | 15 | 12.3 | 1.22× | | [Premium Crunchyroll Membership Gift Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/premium-crunchyroll-membership-gift-card) | 1 in 667 | $22.99 | 4.9% | 18 | 14.8 | 1.22× | | [Sailor Moon Plushy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sailor-moon-plushy) | 1 in 500 | $20.00 | 5.7% | 22 | 19.7 | 1.12× | | [Naruto Hanging Poster Canvas other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-hanging-poster-canvas) | 1 in 400 | $17.15 | 6.1% | 32 | 24.6 | 1.30× | | [One Piece: East Blue 1-2-3 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/one-piece-east-blue-1-2-3) | 1 in 333 | $12.50 | 5.3% | 32 | 29.6 | 1.08× | | [Dragonball Z Super Ultra Instinct Men's Black Crew Neck Tee other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dragonball-z-super-ultra-instinct-mens-black-crew-neck-tee) | 1 in 333 | $10.00 | 4.3% | 39 | 29.6 | 1.32× | | [Bioworld Dragon Ball Z Athletic Crew Socks for Men other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bioworld-dragon-ball-z-athletic-crew-socks-for-men) | 1 in 200 | $7.50 | 5.3% | 44 | 49.3 | 0.89× | | [iPhone 15 Death Note Phone Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/iphone-15-death-note-phone-case) | 1 in 133 | $5.50 | 5.9% | 85 | 73.9 | 1.15× | | [Trends International Demon Slayer: Mugen Train Wall Poster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/trends-international-demon-slayer-mugen-train-wall-poster) | 1 in 100 | $3.00 | 4.3% | 98 | 98.6 | 0.99× | | [Attack on Titan Premier Bookmark other](https://gambatracker.com/items/attack-on-titan-premier-bookmark) | 1 in 100 | $1.00 | 1.4% | 107 | 98.6 | 1.09× | | [Hunter X Hunter Gon Freecss Metal Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hunter-x-hunter-gon-freecss-metal-keychain) | 15.0% | $0.48 | 10.2% | 1,476 | 1478.5 | 1.00× | | [My Hero Academia- Ochaco #1 Button other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-ochaco-1-button) | 30.0% | $0.20 | 8.5% | 2,943 | 2957.1 | 1.00× | | [Quote Rengoku - Demon Slayer Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/quote-rengoku-demon-slayer-sticker) | 50.2% | $0.01 | 0.7% | 4,916 | 4943.8 | 0.99× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [MediCos JoJo's Bizarre Adventure Part 4: Chozo Kado Jotaro Kujo Super Action Statue Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/medicos-jojos-bizarre-adventure-part-4-chozo-kado-jotaro-kujo-super-action-statue-figure) Hidden $0.79 $99.00 125.3x 2026-11-10 15:36 UTC [MediCos JoJo's Bizarre Adventure Part 4: Chozo Kado Jotaro Kujo Super Action Statue Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/medicos-jojos-bizarre-adventure-part-4-chozo-kado-jotaro-kujo-super-action-statue-figure) Hidden $0.79 $99.00 125.3x 2026-11-09 17:22 UTC [MediCos JoJo's Bizarre Adventure Part 4: Chozo Kado Jotaro Kujo Super Action Statue Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/medicos-jojos-bizarre-adventure-part-4-chozo-kado-jotaro-kujo-super-action-statue-figure) Hidden $0.79 $99.00 125.3x 2026-11-09 09:38 UTC [MediCos JoJo's Bizarre Adventure Part 4: Chozo Kado Jotaro Kujo Super Action Statue Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/medicos-jojos-bizarre-adventure-part-4-chozo-kado-jotaro-kujo-super-action-statue-figure) Hidden $0.79 $99.00 125.3x 2026-11-09 09:21 UTC [MediCos JoJo's Bizarre Adventure Part 4: Chozo Kado Jotaro Kujo Super Action Statue Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/medicos-jojos-bizarre-adventure-part-4-chozo-kado-jotaro-kujo-super-action-statue-figure) Hidden $0.79 $99.00 125.3x 2026-11-08 22:16 UTC [MediCos JoJo's Bizarre Adventure Part 4: Chozo Kado Jotaro Kujo Super Action Statue Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/medicos-jojos-bizarre-adventure-part-4-chozo-kado-jotaro-kujo-super-action-statue-figure) Hidden $0.79 $99.00 125.3x 2026-11-08 02:15 UTC [MediCos JoJo's Bizarre Adventure Part 4: Chozo Kado Jotaro Kujo Super Action Statue Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/medicos-jojos-bizarre-adventure-part-4-chozo-kado-jotaro-kujo-super-action-statue-figure) Hidden $0.79 $99.00 125.3x 2026-11-07 00:15 UTC [MediCos JoJo's Bizarre Adventure Part 4: Chozo Kado Jotaro Kujo Super Action Statue Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/medicos-jojos-bizarre-adventure-part-4-chozo-kado-jotaro-kujo-super-action-statue-figure) Hidden $0.79 $99.00 125.3x 2026-11-05 18:20 UTC [MediCos JoJo's Bizarre Adventure Part 4: Chozo Kado Jotaro Kujo Super Action Statue Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/medicos-jojos-bizarre-adventure-part-4-chozo-kado-jotaro-kujo-super-action-statue-figure) [Poeskak](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Poeskak) $0.79 $99.00 125.3x 2026-11-05 18:05 UTC [MediCos JoJo's Bizarre Adventure Part 4: Chozo Kado Jotaro Kujo Super Action Statue Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/medicos-jojos-bizarre-adventure-part-4-chozo-kado-jotaro-kujo-super-action-statue-figure) [Xineart](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Xineart) $0.79 $99.00 125.3x 2026-11-05 16:09 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=manga-madness) [My Hero Academia- Ochaco #1 Button other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-ochaco-1-button) Hidden $0.79 $0.20 0.25x 2026-11-11 22:53 UTC [My Hero Academia- Ochaco #1 Button other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-ochaco-1-button) Hidden $0.79 $0.20 0.25x 2026-11-11 22:53 UTC [My Hero Academia- Ochaco #1 Button other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-ochaco-1-button) Hidden $0.79 $0.20 0.25x 2026-11-11 22:53 UTC [Hunter X Hunter Gon Freecss Metal Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hunter-x-hunter-gon-freecss-metal-keychain) Hidden $0.79 $0.48 0.61x 2026-11-11 22:53 UTC [My Hero Academia- Ochaco #1 Button other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-ochaco-1-button) Hidden $0.79 $0.20 0.25x 2026-11-11 22:53 UTC [My Hero Academia- Ochaco #1 Button other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-ochaco-1-button) [SavagePlays](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/SavagePlays) $0.79 $0.20 0.25x 2026-11-11 22:53 UTC [Trends International Demon Slayer: Mugen Train Wall Poster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/trends-international-demon-slayer-mugen-train-wall-poster) Hidden $0.79 $3.00 3.80x 2026-11-11 22:53 UTC [Quote Rengoku - Demon Slayer Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/quote-rengoku-demon-slayer-sticker) Hidden $0.79 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:53 UTC [Quote Rengoku - Demon Slayer Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/quote-rengoku-demon-slayer-sticker) Hidden $0.79 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:53 UTC [Quote Rengoku - Demon Slayer Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/quote-rengoku-demon-slayer-sticker) Hidden $0.79 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $0.79 | 88.96% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $99.00 (125.3x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.96 on average: an expected loss of $11.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt