--- title: "Master Chef case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Master Chef ($104.31) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 10 items with odds, observed 48.15% over 48 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/master-chef rendered: 2026-11-11T21:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Master Chef](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/master-chef) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Master Chef A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/master-chef?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/master-chef?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/master-chef) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/master-chef?window=all) Price · $104.31 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $93.35 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 48.15% · 48 openings, odds method Variance · 3.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 48 openings · below min 30 days · 48 openings · below min since tracking started · 48 openings · below min -0.5% 86.5% 173.5% **Small sample.** 48 openings and 4.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/master-chef?window=24h) | 6 | 15.66% ±157.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/master-chef?window=7d) | 48 | 48.15% ±55.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/master-chef) | 48 | 48.15% ±55.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/master-chef?window=all) | 48 | 48.15% ±55.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 48 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Château Margaux 2010 (750ml) (Fake) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chateau-margaux-2010-750ml-fake) | 1 in 100 | $1,600 | 17.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Saint Laurent Cassandre Card Holder Wine other](https://gambatracker.com/items/saint-laurent-cassandre-card-holder-wine) | 1 in 50 | $690 | 14.8% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [The Macallan Sherry Oak 18-Year-Old Single Malt Scotch (750ml) (Fake) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-macallan-sherry-oak-18-year-old-single-malt-scotch-750ml-fake) | 1 in 50 | $500 | 10.7% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [Grand Attelage Mocha Spoon other](https://gambatracker.com/items/grand-attelage-mocha-spoon) | 1 in 20 | $366 | 19.6% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× | | [15 Piece High Carbon Stainless Steel Knife Block Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/15-piece-high-carbon-stainless-steel-knife-block-set) | 1 in 20 | $225 | 12.1% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× | | [Chefman 4.5 Liter Deep Fryer w/Basket Strainer, XL Jumbo Size other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chefman-4-5-liter-deep-fryer-w-basket-strainer-xl-jumbo-size) | 15.0% | $90.00 | 14.5% | 6 | 7.2 | 0.83× | | [Master Chef Tahm Kench Tee other](https://gambatracker.com/items/master-chef-tahm-kench-tee) | 15.0% | $30.00 | 4.8% | 4 | 7.2 | 0.56× | | [KidKraft 27-Piece Pastel Cookware Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kidkraft-27-piece-pastel-cookware-set) | 15.0% | $20.00 | 3.2% | 8 | 7.2 | 1.11× | | [Portable Utensils Set with Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/portable-utensils-set-with-case) | 20.0% | $11.00 | 2.4% | 12 | 9.6 | 1.25× | | [Taco Apron other](https://gambatracker.com/items/taco-apron) | 20.0% | $4.00 | 0.9% | 13 | 9.6 | 1.35× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=master-chef) [KidKraft 27-Piece Pastel Cookware Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kidkraft-27-piece-pastel-cookware-set) Hidden $104 $20.00 0.19x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [KidKraft 27-Piece Pastel Cookware Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kidkraft-27-piece-pastel-cookware-set) Hidden $104 $20.00 0.19x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [Taco Apron other](https://gambatracker.com/items/taco-apron) Hidden $104 $4.00 0.04x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [KidKraft 27-Piece Pastel Cookware Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kidkraft-27-piece-pastel-cookware-set) Hidden $104 $20.00 0.19x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [Master Chef Tahm Kench Tee other](https://gambatracker.com/items/master-chef-tahm-kench-tee) Hidden $104 $30.00 0.29x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [Taco Apron other](https://gambatracker.com/items/taco-apron) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $104 $4.00 0.04x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [Master Chef Tahm Kench Tee other](https://gambatracker.com/items/master-chef-tahm-kench-tee) Hidden $104 $30.00 0.29x 2026-11-10 06:43 UTC [Grand Attelage Mocha Spoon other](https://gambatracker.com/items/grand-attelage-mocha-spoon) Hidden $104 $366 3.51x 2026-11-10 06:43 UTC [Master Chef Tahm Kench Tee other](https://gambatracker.com/items/master-chef-tahm-kench-tee) Hidden $104 $30.00 0.29x 2026-11-10 06:43 UTC [Taco Apron other](https://gambatracker.com/items/taco-apron) Hidden $104 $4.00 0.04x 2026-11-10 06:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $104 | 89.49% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt