---
title: "Meme Supreme case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Meme Supreme ($336.95) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 29 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/meme-supreme
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:45Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Meme Supreme](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/meme-supreme)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Meme Supreme

A box on Cases.gg (Supreme), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/meme-supreme?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/meme-supreme?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/meme-supreme) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/meme-supreme?window=all)

Price · $336.95

Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $301.57 from 29 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 11.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/meme-supreme?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/meme-supreme?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/meme-supreme) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/meme-supreme?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Supreme x Louis Vuitton City Mask SP Sunglasses Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-city-mask-sp-sunglasses-red) | 1 in 200 | $2,520 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme Technics SL-1200MK7 Turntable White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-technics-sl-1200mk7-turntable-white) | 1 in 500 | $2,442 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Dice Key Chain Brass other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-dice-key-chain-brass) | 1 in 100 | $2,400 | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Monogram Pillow Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-monogram-pillow-red) | 1 in 333 | $2,040 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme Mac Tools Utility Cart Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-mac-tools-utility-cart-red) | 1 in 100 | $1,930 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Monogram Bandana Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-monogram-bandana-red) | 1 in 50 | $1,300 | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme Nike Leather Duffle Bag Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-nike-leather-duffle-bag-red) | 1 in 50 | $1,132 | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Dice Key Chain Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-dice-key-chain-red) | 1 in 100 | $1,078 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Monogram Bandana Brown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-monogram-bandana-brown) | 1 in 67 | $960 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Keychain Brown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-keychain-brown) | 1 in 67 | $840 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme Coleman Folding Table Set Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-coleman-folding-table-set-red) | 1 in 50 | $675 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme Rotary Hero Sticker Bricks Stool Side Table Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-rotary-hero-sticker-bricks-stool-side-table-red) | 1 in 40 | $458 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme Hoto 20V Pressure Washer Pro Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-hoto-20v-pressure-washer-pro-red) | 1 in 40 | $420 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme Spalding Mini Basketball Hoop Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-spalding-mini-basketball-hoop-red) | 1 in 29 | $390 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme Chain License Plate Frame Gold other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-chain-license-plate-frame-gold) | 1 in 26 | $375 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme Fox Racing Goggles Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-fox-racing-goggles-red) | 1 in 33 | $355 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme Koss PortaPro Headphones Silver other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-koss-portapro-headphones-silver) | 1 in 30 | $305 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme Linea Zero Toucan Lamp Multicolor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-linea-zero-toucan-lamp-multicolor) | 1 in 33 | $270 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme Seiko Marathon Clock Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-seiko-marathon-clock-red) | 1 in 29 | $215 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme Metal Folding Chair Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-metal-folding-chair-red) | 1 in 29 | $185 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme Mac Tools Tote Tray Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-mac-tools-tote-tray-red) | 1 in 26 | $170 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme Cargo Container Electric Fan Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-cargo-container-electric-fan-red) | 1 in 25 | $130 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme Kuumba Incense Tray Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-kuumba-incense-tray-red) | 1 in 19 | $88.00 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme Seiko Alarm Clock White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-seiko-alarm-clock-white) | 1 in 25 | $78.00 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme Halftone Lightweight Balaclava Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-halftone-lightweight-balaclava-red) | 1 in 19 | $66.00 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme Logo Zippo Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-logo-zippo-red) | 1 in 20 | $65.00 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme Tetris Mini Clear other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-tetris-mini-clear) | 1 in 17 | $62.00 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme Leaktite 5-Gallon Bucket White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-leaktite-5-gallon-bucket-white) | 1 in 14 | $61.00 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme ty Beanie Baby Multicolor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-ty-beanie-baby-multicolor) | 18.0% | $44.00 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=meme-supreme)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $337 | 89.50% | 29 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt