---
title: "Mickey case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Mickey ($146.08) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 32 items with odds, observed 97.30% over 174 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mickey
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Mickey](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mickey)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Mickey

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mickey?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mickey?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mickey) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mickey?window=all)

Price · $146.08

Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $130.74 from 32 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 97.30% · 174 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 82.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 93.08% ±20.80 168 openings

30 days · 97.30% ±20.44 174 openings

since tracking started · 97.30% ±20.44 174 openings

71.5% 95.0% 118.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mickey?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mickey?window=7d) | 168 | 93.08% ±20.8 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mickey) | 174 | 97.30% ±20.4 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mickey?window=all) | 174 | 97.30% ±20.4 | +0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 32 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 174 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Gucci x Disney Bucket Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-x-disney-bucket-bag) | 1 in 500 | $1,940 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Gucci x Disney Backpack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-x-disney-backpack) | 1 in 500 | $1,830 | 2.8% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Kith x Disney Mickey & Friends Oxford Coaches Jacket US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kith-x-disney-mickey-and-friends-oxford-coaches-jacket-us-l) | 1 in 333 | $1,438 | 3.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Bearbrick x Undefeated Mickey Mouse 1000% other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bearbrick-x-undefeated-mickey-mouse-1000) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,190 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Bearbrick BAPE Mickey Mouse 1000% other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bearbrick-bape-mickey-mouse-1000) | 1 in 333 | $1,172 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Gucci x Disney Mickey Mouse Print Trucker Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-x-disney-mickey-mouse-print-trucker-hat) | 1 in 333 | $1,144 | 2.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [OVO x Disney Mickey Mouse Fantasia Hoodie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-x-disney-mickey-mouse-fantasia-hoodie) | 1 in 200 | $835 | 3.2% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [Swatch x Damien Hirst Mirror Spot Mickey SUOZ290S other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-damien-hirst-mirror-spot-mickey-suoz290s) | 1 in 200 | $824 | 3.2% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [Bearbrick x CLOT x 3125C x Disney 3-Eyed Mickey Mouse 1000% other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bearbrick-x-clot-x-3125c-x-disney-3-eyed-mickey-mouse-1000) | 1 in 200 | $815 | 3.1% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [Brooks Ghost Max 2 runDisney Mickey Mouse US M 11.5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/brooks-ghost-max-2-rundisney-mickey-mouse-us-m-11-5) | 1 in 200 | $692 | 2.6% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [Coach x Disney Mickey Mouse Kisslock Leather Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coach-x-disney-mickey-mouse-kisslock-leather-bag) | 1 in 200 | $626 | 2.4% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [OVO x Disney Mickey Mouse Fantasia Denim Jacket US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-x-disney-mickey-mouse-fantasia-denim-jacket-us-l) | 1 in 133 | $570 | 3.3% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.77× |
| [Kith x Disney Mickey & Friends Mickey Classic Logo Hoodie US XL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kith-x-disney-mickey-and-friends-mickey-classic-logo-hoodie-us-xl) | 1 in 133 | $439 | 2.5% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.53× |
| [Vans Old Skool Disney 80s Mickey US M 10 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/vans-old-skool-disney-80s-mickey-us-m-10) | 1 in 100 | $271 | 2.1% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [Kith x Disney Mickey & Friends Vintage Tee Sandrift US M other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kith-x-disney-mickey-and-friends-vintage-tee-sandrift-us-m) | 1 in 133 | $250 | 1.4% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [adidas Superstar Mickey Mouse US M 9 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-superstar-mickey-mouse-us-m-9) | 1 in 133 | $245 | 1.4% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.30× |
| [Bearbrick Mickey Mouse 2020 100% & 400% Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bearbrick-mickey-mouse-2020-100-and-400-set) | 1 in 133 | $240 | 1.4% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.53× |
| [Disney Year Of the Mouse Mickey Mouse Floral April Plush other](https://gambatracker.com/items/disney-year-of-the-mouse-mickey-mouse-floral-april-plush) | 1 in 100 | $186 | 1.4% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [Kith x Disney Mickey & Friends Mickey Classic Logo Crewneck US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kith-x-disney-mickey-and-friends-mickey-classic-logo-crewneck-us-l) | 1 in 100 | $180 | 1.4% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.72× |
| [adidas Stan Smith Mickey Mouse 3D US M 10.5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-stan-smith-mickey-mouse-3d-us-m-10-5) | 1 in 100 | $160 | 1.2% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.72× |
| [Diamond Supply Co. x Disney Mickey Mouse Nordstrom Exclusive Basketball other](https://gambatracker.com/items/diamond-supply-co-x-disney-mickey-mouse-nordstrom-exclusive-basketball) | 1 in 33 | $158 | 3.6% | 5 | 5.2 | 0.96× |
| [Funko Pop! Town Walt Disney World 50th Anniversary Cinderella Castle And Mickey Mouse (Gold) Disney Exclusive Figure #26 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-town-walt-disney-world-50th-anniversary-cinderella-castle-and-mickey-mouse-gold-disney-exclusive-figure-26) | 1 in 33 | $146 | 3.4% | 4 | 5.2 | 0.77× |
| [Pop Mart Mega Space Molly Disney Mickey & Minnie Set 100% other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-mega-space-molly-disney-mickey-and-minnie-set-100) | 1 in 100 | $120 | 0.9% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.57× |
| [Vans Classic Slip-On Disney Mickey Mouse (PS) US 2 Y other](https://gambatracker.com/items/vans-classic-slip-on-disney-mickey-mouse-ps-us-2-y) | 1 in 33 | $95.00 | 2.2% | 5 | 5.2 | 0.96× |
| [Pop Mart Disney Mickey Family Together Series Goofy Plush Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-disney-mickey-family-together-series-goofy-plush-keychain) | 10.0% | $80.00 | 6.1% | 16 | 17.4 | 0.92× |
| [Pop Mart Disney Mickey Family Together Series Pluto Plush Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-disney-mickey-family-together-series-pluto-plush-keychain) | 10.0% | $80.00 | 6.1% | 13 | 17.4 | 0.75× |
| [Pop Mart Disney Mickey Family Together Series Daisy Plush Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-disney-mickey-family-together-series-daisy-plush-keychain) | 10.0% | $80.00 | 6.1% | 15 | 17.4 | 0.86× |
| [Pop Mart Disney Mickey Family Together Series Plush Keychain Single Blind Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-disney-mickey-family-together-series-plush-keychain-single-blind-box) | 10.0% | $80.00 | 6.1% | 24 | 17.4 | 1.38× |
| [Pop Mart Disney Mickey Family Together Series Minnie Plush Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-disney-mickey-family-together-series-minnie-plush-keychain) | 13.4% | $80.00 | 8.2% | 24 | 23.2 | 1.03× |
| [Pop Mart Disney Mickey Family Together Series Secret Edition Huey, Dewey, Louie Plush Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-disney-mickey-family-together-series-secret-edition-huey-dewey-louie-plush-keychain) | 1 in 20 | $79.00 | 3.0% | 11 | 8.7 | 1.26× |
| [Pop Mart Disney Mickey Family Together Series Chip Plush Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-disney-mickey-family-together-series-chip-plush-keychain) | 10.0% | $56.00 | 4.3% | 19 | 17.4 | 1.09× |
| [Pop Mart Disney Mickey Family Together Series Donald Plush Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-disney-mickey-family-together-series-donald-plush-keychain) | 10.0% | $53.00 | 4.1% | 14 | 17.4 | 0.80× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Gucci x Disney Backpack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-x-disney-backpack) Hidden $146 $1,830 12.53x 2026-11-09 03:45 UTC

[Kith x Disney Mickey & Friends Oxford Coaches Jacket US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kith-x-disney-mickey-and-friends-oxford-coaches-jacket-us-l) Hidden $146 $1,438 9.84x 2026-11-09 04:01 UTC

[Gucci x Disney Mickey Mouse Print Trucker Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-x-disney-mickey-mouse-print-trucker-hat) [JoshuaCR](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/JoshuaCR) $146 $1,144 7.83x 2026-11-09 03:37 UTC

[OVO x Disney Mickey Mouse Fantasia Hoodie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-x-disney-mickey-mouse-fantasia-hoodie) Hidden $146 $835 5.72x 2026-11-09 04:14 UTC

[OVO x Disney Mickey Mouse Fantasia Hoodie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-x-disney-mickey-mouse-fantasia-hoodie) [whiteee](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/whiteee) $146 $835 5.72x 2026-11-03 19:46 UTC

[Swatch x Damien Hirst Mirror Spot Mickey SUOZ290S other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-damien-hirst-mirror-spot-mickey-suoz290s) Hidden $146 $824 5.64x 2026-11-09 03:47 UTC

[Bearbrick x CLOT x 3125C x Disney 3-Eyed Mickey Mouse 1000% other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bearbrick-x-clot-x-3125c-x-disney-3-eyed-mickey-mouse-1000) Hidden $146 $815 5.58x 2026-11-10 06:11 UTC

[Brooks Ghost Max 2 runDisney Mickey Mouse US M 11.5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/brooks-ghost-max-2-rundisney-mickey-mouse-us-m-11-5) Hidden $146 $692 4.74x 2026-11-03 19:46 UTC

[Coach x Disney Mickey Mouse Kisslock Leather Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coach-x-disney-mickey-mouse-kisslock-leather-bag) Hidden $146 $626 4.29x 2026-11-09 03:50 UTC

[OVO x Disney Mickey Mouse Fantasia Denim Jacket US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-x-disney-mickey-mouse-fantasia-denim-jacket-us-l) Hidden $146 $570 3.90x 2026-11-09 04:10 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=mickey)

[Pop Mart Disney Mickey Family Together Series Plush Keychain Single Blind Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-disney-mickey-family-together-series-plush-keychain-single-blind-box) Hidden $146 $80.00 0.55x 2026-11-10 06:45 UTC

[Pop Mart Disney Mickey Family Together Series Chip Plush Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-disney-mickey-family-together-series-chip-plush-keychain) Hidden $146 $56.00 0.38x 2026-11-10 06:45 UTC

[Pop Mart Disney Mickey Family Together Series Minnie Plush Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-disney-mickey-family-together-series-minnie-plush-keychain) Hidden $146 $80.00 0.55x 2026-11-10 06:45 UTC

[Pop Mart Disney Mickey Family Together Series Chip Plush Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-disney-mickey-family-together-series-chip-plush-keychain) Hidden $146 $56.00 0.38x 2026-11-10 06:45 UTC

[Pop Mart Disney Mickey Family Together Series Goofy Plush Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-disney-mickey-family-together-series-goofy-plush-keychain) Hidden $146 $80.00 0.55x 2026-11-10 06:45 UTC

[Diamond Supply Co. x Disney Mickey Mouse Nordstrom Exclusive Basketball other](https://gambatracker.com/items/diamond-supply-co-x-disney-mickey-mouse-nordstrom-exclusive-basketball) [Nie](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Nie) $146 $158 1.08x 2026-11-10 06:45 UTC

[Pop Mart Disney Mickey Family Together Series Plush Keychain Single Blind Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-disney-mickey-family-together-series-plush-keychain-single-blind-box) Hidden $146 $80.00 0.55x 2026-11-10 06:11 UTC

[Pop Mart Disney Mickey Family Together Series Pluto Plush Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-disney-mickey-family-together-series-pluto-plush-keychain) Hidden $146 $80.00 0.55x 2026-11-10 06:11 UTC

[Bearbrick x CLOT x 3125C x Disney 3-Eyed Mickey Mouse 1000% other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bearbrick-x-clot-x-3125c-x-disney-3-eyed-mickey-mouse-1000) Hidden $146 $815 5.58x 2026-11-10 06:11 UTC

[Pop Mart Disney Mickey Family Together Series Plush Keychain Single Blind Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-disney-mickey-family-together-series-plush-keychain-single-blind-box) Hidden $146 $80.00 0.55x 2026-11-10 06:11 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $146 | 89.50% | 32 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $1,830 (12.53x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt