---
title: "Minecraft BOX 10% case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Minecraft BOX 10% ($6.00) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 95.40% over 22 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/minecraft-box-10percent
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:00Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Minecraft BOX 10%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/minecraft-box-10percent)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Minecraft BOX 10%

A box on Cases.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/minecraft-box-10percent?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/minecraft-box-10percent?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/minecraft-box-10percent) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/minecraft-box-10percent?window=all)

Price · $6.00

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 95.40% · 22 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 22 openings · below min

30 days · 22 openings · below min

since tracking started · 22 openings · below min

-0.5% 107.5% 215.5%

**Small sample.** 22 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/minecraft-box-10percent?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/minecraft-box-10percent?window=7d) | 22 | 95.40% ±119.2 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/minecraft-box-10percent) | 22 | 95.40% ±119.2 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/minecraft-box-10percent?window=all) | 22 | 95.40% ±119.2 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · none published

**No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=minecraft-box-10percent)

[Dirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt) Hidden $6.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:16 UTC

[CaDA Elements Flower Garden Set | C71022W other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cada-elements-flower-garden-set-c71022w) Hidden $6.00 $24.99 4.17x 2026-11-07 03:16 UTC

[Dirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt) Hidden $6.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:16 UTC

[Dirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt) Hidden $6.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:16 UTC

[CaDA Elements Flower Garden Set | C71022W other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cada-elements-flower-garden-set-c71022w) Hidden $6.00 $24.99 4.17x 2026-11-07 03:16 UTC

[Minecraft Green Creeper 2-Slice Toaster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/minecraft-green-creeper-2-slice-toaster) [MISHOK](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/MISHOK) $6.00 $75.00 12.50x 2026-11-07 03:16 UTC

[Dirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt) Hidden $6.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:14 UTC

[Dirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt) Hidden $6.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:14 UTC

[Dirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt) Hidden $6.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:14 UTC

[Dirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt) Hidden $6.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:14 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 95.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $95.40 on average: an expected loss of $4.60 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
