--- title: "MLB Collector case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "MLB Collector ($63.64) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 91.84% over 132 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mlb-collector rendered: 2026-11-12T07:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [MLB Collector](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mlb-collector) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · MLB Collector A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mlb-collector?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mlb-collector?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mlb-collector) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mlb-collector?window=all) Price · $63.64 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $56.95 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.84% · 132 openings, odds method Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 21.4% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 78.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 93.42% ±15.41 126 openings 30 days · 91.84% ±15.06 132 openings since tracking started · 91.84% ±15.06 132 openings 76.0% 92.8% 109.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mlb-collector?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mlb-collector?window=7d) | 126 | 93.42% ±15.4 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mlb-collector) | 132 | 91.84% ±15.1 | +0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/mlb-collector?window=all) | 132 | 91.84% ±15.1 | +0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 132 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Los Angeles Dodgers Shohei Ohtani Fanatics Authentic 50/50 Club Framed 20" x 24" Season Record Collage with Pieces of Game-Used Dirt and Baseball - Limited Edition of 500 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/los-angeles-dodgers-shohei-ohtani-fanatics-authentic-50-50-club-framed-20-x-24-season-record-collage-with-pieces-of-game-used-dirt-and-baseball-limited-edition-of-500) | 1 in 100 | $330 | 5.8% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.76× | | [2024 Bowman Chrome Baseball Factory Sealed Hobby Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-bowman-chrome-baseball-factory-sealed-hobby-box) | 1 in 80 | $308 | 6.8% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.21× | | [Autographed New York Yankees Jasson Dominguez Fanatics Authentic Baseball & Mahogany Baseball Display Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/autographed-new-york-yankees-jasson-dominguez-fanatics-authentic-baseball-and-mahogany-baseball-display-case) | 1 in 67 | $262 | 6.9% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.01× | | [2024 Bowman Baseball Factory Sealed Display Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-bowman-baseball-factory-sealed-display-box) | 1 in 40 | $175 | 7.7% | 0 | 3.3 | 0.00× | | [2024 Topps Chrome Baseball Logofractor Edition Factory Sealed Mega Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-topps-chrome-baseball-logofractor-edition-factory-sealed-mega-box) | 1 in 36 | $120 | 5.8% | 9 | 3.6 | 2.48× | | [Los Angeles Dodgers Shohei Ohtani Fanatics Authentic 50/50 Club Crystal Baseball with Game-Used Dirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/los-angeles-dodgers-shohei-ohtani-fanatics-authentic-50-50-club-crystal-baseball-with-game-used-dirt) | 1 in 33 | $99.00 | 5.2% | 8 | 4.0 | 2.02× | | [Los Angeles Angels Shohei Ohtani Fanatics Authentic 2021 AL MVP Framed 15" x 17" Collage with a Piece of Game-Used Ball other](https://gambatracker.com/items/los-angeles-angels-shohei-ohtani-fanatics-authentic-2021-al-mvp-framed-15-x-17-collage-with-a-piece-of-game-used-ball) | 1 in 33 | $90.00 | 4.7% | 4 | 4.0 | 1.01× | | [Chicago Cubs Seiya Suzuki Fanatics Authentic Framed 15" x 17" Impact Player Collage with a Piece of Game-Used Baseball - Limited Edition of 500 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chicago-cubs-seiya-suzuki-fanatics-authentic-framed-15-x-17-impact-player-collage-with-a-piece-of-game-used-baseball-limited-edition-of-500) | 1 in 32 | $80.00 | 4.4% | 1 | 4.1 | 0.24× | | [Philadelphia Phillies Tokens and Icons Game-Used Baseball Yarn Bracelet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/philadelphia-phillies-tokens-and-icons-game-used-baseball-yarn-bracelet) | 1 in 30 | $64.00 | 3.7% | 8 | 4.4 | 1.84× | | [2024 Topps Baseball Factory Sealed Complete Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-topps-baseball-factory-sealed-complete-set) | 1 in 29 | $60.00 | 3.7% | 2 | 4.6 | 0.43× | | [2024 Topps Baseball Factory Sealed Hobby Edition Complete Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-topps-baseball-factory-sealed-hobby-edition-complete-set) | 1 in 29 | $60.00 | 3.7% | 7 | 4.6 | 1.52× | | [2024 Bowman Chrome Baseball Factory Sealed Mega Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-bowman-chrome-baseball-factory-sealed-mega-box) | 1 in 20 | $45.00 | 4.0% | 9 | 6.6 | 1.36× | | [2024 Topps Chrome Baseball Factory Sealed Value Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-topps-chrome-baseball-factory-sealed-value-box) | 1 in 17 | $40.00 | 4.2% | 5 | 7.9 | 0.63× | | [Shohei Ohtani Los Angeles Dodgers 12'' Player Standee Desktop Display other](https://gambatracker.com/items/shohei-ohtani-los-angeles-dodgers-12-player-standee-desktop-display) | 10.3% | $35.00 | 6.3% | 10 | 13.6 | 0.74× | | [2023 Topps Chrome Baseball Factory Sealed Value Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2023-topps-chrome-baseball-factory-sealed-value-box) | 1 in 13 | $35.00 | 4.6% | 12 | 9.9 | 1.21× | | [New York Yankees Lou Gehrig Funko Pop! Deluxe #21 Vinyl Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/new-york-yankees-lou-gehrig-funko-pop-deluxe-21-vinyl-figure) | 10.3% | $35.00 | 6.3% | 8 | 13.6 | 0.59× | | [Men's San Diego Padres Nike Brown Cooperstown Collection Pro Snapback Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mens-san-diego-padres-nike-brown-cooperstown-collection-pro-snapback-hat) | 12.5% | $34.00 | 7.5% | 14 | 16.5 | 0.85× | | [Boston Red Sox Fenway Park Game-Used Dirt Bottle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boston-red-sox-fenway-park-game-used-dirt-bottle) | 20.0% | $25.00 | 8.8% | 30 | 26.4 | 1.14× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=mlb-collector) [2024 Topps Baseball Factory Sealed Hobby Edition Complete Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-topps-baseball-factory-sealed-hobby-edition-complete-set) Hidden $63.64 $60.00 0.94x 2026-11-10 21:03 UTC [New York Yankees Lou Gehrig Funko Pop! Deluxe #21 Vinyl Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/new-york-yankees-lou-gehrig-funko-pop-deluxe-21-vinyl-figure) [Clever Slow loris](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Clever%20Slow%20loris) $63.64 $35.00 0.55x 2026-11-10 21:03 UTC [2023 Topps Chrome Baseball Factory Sealed Value Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2023-topps-chrome-baseball-factory-sealed-value-box) Hidden $63.64 $35.00 0.55x 2026-11-09 03:48 UTC [2024 Topps Chrome Baseball Factory Sealed Value Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-topps-chrome-baseball-factory-sealed-value-box) Hidden $63.64 $40.00 0.63x 2026-11-09 03:48 UTC [Los Angeles Dodgers Shohei Ohtani Fanatics Authentic 50/50 Club Crystal Baseball with Game-Used Dirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/los-angeles-dodgers-shohei-ohtani-fanatics-authentic-50-50-club-crystal-baseball-with-game-used-dirt) Hidden $63.64 $99.00 1.56x 2026-11-09 03:48 UTC [2024 Topps Baseball Factory Sealed Hobby Edition Complete Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-topps-baseball-factory-sealed-hobby-edition-complete-set) [Sleepy Fox](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Sleepy%20Fox) $63.64 $60.00 0.94x 2026-11-09 03:48 UTC [Autographed New York Yankees Jasson Dominguez Fanatics Authentic Baseball & Mahogany Baseball Display Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/autographed-new-york-yankees-jasson-dominguez-fanatics-authentic-baseball-and-mahogany-baseball-display-case) Hidden $63.64 $262 4.12x 2026-11-07 12:59 UTC [Los Angeles Dodgers Shohei Ohtani Fanatics Authentic 50/50 Club Crystal Baseball with Game-Used Dirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/los-angeles-dodgers-shohei-ohtani-fanatics-authentic-50-50-club-crystal-baseball-with-game-used-dirt) Hidden $63.64 $99.00 1.56x 2026-11-07 12:59 UTC [Boston Red Sox Fenway Park Game-Used Dirt Bottle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boston-red-sox-fenway-park-game-used-dirt-bottle) Hidden $63.64 $25.00 0.39x 2026-11-07 12:59 UTC [New York Yankees Lou Gehrig Funko Pop! Deluxe #21 Vinyl Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/new-york-yankees-lou-gehrig-funko-pop-deluxe-21-vinyl-figure) Hidden $63.64 $35.00 0.55x 2026-11-07 12:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $63.64 | 89.49% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt