--- title: "Momentum case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Momentum ($231.32) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 9 items with odds, observed 71.07% over 292 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/momentum rendered: 2026-11-12T00:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Momentum](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/momentum) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Momentum A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/momentum?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/momentum?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/momentum) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/momentum?window=all) Price · $231.32 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $207.03 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 71.07% · 292 openings, odds method Variance · 34.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 52 openings · below min 30 days · 292 openings · below min since tracking started · 292 openings · below min 3.5% 176.5% 349.5% **Small sample.** 292 openings and 2.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/momentum?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/momentum?window=7d) | 52 | 189.82% ±159.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/momentum) | 292 | 71.07% ±67.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/momentum?window=all) | 292 | 71.07% ±67.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 292 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [2024 Suzuki Hayabusa other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-suzuki-hayabusa) | 1 in 500 | $22.9K | 22.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Suzuki Boulevard C50 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/suzuki-boulevard-c50) | 1 in 333 | $11.2K | 16.2% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [Yamaha YZF-R3 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yamaha-yzf-r3) | 1 in 200 | $6,600 | 15.9% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.05× | | [Cannondale Habit 3 Alloy Mountain Bike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cannondale-habit-3-alloy-mountain-bike) | 1 in 67 | $3,660 | 26.5% | 3 | 4.4 | 0.68× | | [Razor MX650 Dirt Rocket Electric-Powered Dirt Bike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/razor-mx650-dirt-rocket-electric-powered-dirt-bike) | 1 in 67 | $1,056 | 7.7% | 1 | 4.4 | 0.23× | | [Mongoose Impasse Full Suspension Mountain Bike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mongoose-impasse-full-suspension-mountain-bike) | 1 in 50 | $670 | 6.5% | 4 | 5.8 | 0.68× | | [Huffy Stone Mountain Hardtail Mountain Bike, 26 Inch, Deep Sea Gloss other](https://gambatracker.com/items/huffy-stone-mountain-hardtail-mountain-bike-26-inch-deep-sea-gloss) | 1 in 50 | $325 | 3.1% | 3 | 5.8 | 0.51× | | [Supreme Tonal Box Logo Skateboard Deck Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-tonal-box-logo-skateboard-deck-red) | 1 in 50 | $130 | 1.3% | 7 | 5.8 | 1.20× | | [CaDA Wheel 63 x 42 & CaDA Tire 80 x 44 ZR \| JM3049 & JR4018 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cada-wheel-63-x-42-and-cada-tire-80-x-44-zr-jm3049-and-jr4018) | 90.0% | $1.50 | 0.7% | 270 | 262.8 | 1.03× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Suzuki Boulevard C50 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/suzuki-boulevard-c50) Hidden $231 $11.2K 48.42x 2026-11-07 13:38 UTC [Yamaha YZF-R3 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yamaha-yzf-r3) Hidden $231 $6,600 28.53x 2026-11-04 18:43 UTC [Yamaha YZF-R3 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yamaha-yzf-r3) [Revolut id @woxpro](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Revolut%20id%20%40woxpro) $231 $6,600 28.53x 2026-11-03 07:08 UTC [Yamaha YZF-R3 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yamaha-yzf-r3) Hidden $231 $6,600 28.53x 2026-11-03 07:07 UTC [Cannondale Habit 3 Alloy Mountain Bike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cannondale-habit-3-alloy-mountain-bike) [CODE: FREEMAN 400$ LB](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/CODE%3A%20FREEMAN%20400%24%20LB) $231 $3,660 15.82x 2026-11-10 14:19 UTC [Cannondale Habit 3 Alloy Mountain Bike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cannondale-habit-3-alloy-mountain-bike) Hidden $231 $3,660 15.82x 2026-11-07 13:36 UTC [Cannondale Habit 3 Alloy Mountain Bike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cannondale-habit-3-alloy-mountain-bike) Hidden $231 $3,660 15.82x 2026-11-05 13:34 UTC [Razor MX650 Dirt Rocket Electric-Powered Dirt Bike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/razor-mx650-dirt-rocket-electric-powered-dirt-bike) Hidden $231 $1,056 4.57x 2026-11-03 07:12 UTC [Mongoose Impasse Full Suspension Mountain Bike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mongoose-impasse-full-suspension-mountain-bike) Hidden $231 $670 2.90x 2026-11-03 16:54 UTC [Mongoose Impasse Full Suspension Mountain Bike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mongoose-impasse-full-suspension-mountain-bike) Hidden $231 $670 2.90x 2026-11-03 16:54 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=momentum) [CaDA Wheel 63 x 42 & CaDA Tire 80 x 44 ZR | JM3049 & JR4018 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cada-wheel-63-x-42-and-cada-tire-80-x-44-zr-jm3049-and-jr4018) Hidden $231 $1.50 0.01x 2026-11-10 14:19 UTC [Supreme Tonal Box Logo Skateboard Deck Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-tonal-box-logo-skateboard-deck-red) Hidden $231 $130 0.56x 2026-11-10 14:19 UTC [Huffy Stone Mountain Hardtail Mountain Bike, 26 Inch, Deep Sea Gloss other](https://gambatracker.com/items/huffy-stone-mountain-hardtail-mountain-bike-26-inch-deep-sea-gloss) Hidden $231 $325 1.40x 2026-11-10 14:19 UTC [CaDA Wheel 63 x 42 & CaDA Tire 80 x 44 ZR | JM3049 & JR4018 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cada-wheel-63-x-42-and-cada-tire-80-x-44-zr-jm3049-and-jr4018) Hidden $231 $1.50 0.01x 2026-11-10 14:19 UTC [CaDA Wheel 63 x 42 & CaDA Tire 80 x 44 ZR | JM3049 & JR4018 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cada-wheel-63-x-42-and-cada-tire-80-x-44-zr-jm3049-and-jr4018) Hidden $231 $1.50 0.01x 2026-11-10 14:19 UTC [Cannondale Habit 3 Alloy Mountain Bike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cannondale-habit-3-alloy-mountain-bike) [CODE: FREEMAN 400$ LB](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/CODE%3A%20FREEMAN%20400%24%20LB) $231 $3,660 15.82x 2026-11-10 14:19 UTC [CaDA Wheel 63 x 42 & CaDA Tire 80 x 44 ZR | JM3049 & JR4018 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cada-wheel-63-x-42-and-cada-tire-80-x-44-zr-jm3049-and-jr4018) Hidden $231 $1.50 0.01x 2026-11-10 14:18 UTC [CaDA Wheel 63 x 42 & CaDA Tire 80 x 44 ZR | JM3049 & JR4018 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cada-wheel-63-x-42-and-cada-tire-80-x-44-zr-jm3049-and-jr4018) Hidden $231 $1.50 0.01x 2026-11-10 14:18 UTC [Supreme Tonal Box Logo Skateboard Deck Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-tonal-box-logo-skateboard-deck-red) Hidden $231 $130 0.56x 2026-11-10 14:18 UTC [CaDA Wheel 63 x 42 & CaDA Tire 80 x 44 ZR | JM3049 & JR4018 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cada-wheel-63-x-42-and-cada-tire-80-x-44-zr-jm3049-and-jr4018) Hidden $231 $1.50 0.01x 2026-11-10 14:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $231 | 89.50% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $11.2K (48.42x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt