--- title: "Monogram case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Monogram ($597.81) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 19 items with odds, observed 66.99% over 18 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/monogram rendered: 2026-11-11T14:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Monogram](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/monogram) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Monogram A box on Cases.gg (Luxury), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/monogram?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/monogram?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/monogram) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/monogram?window=all) Price · $597.81 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $535.03 from 19 items Observed RTP, 30d · 66.99% · 18 openings, odds method Variance · 4.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 16 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 72.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 18 openings · below min 30 days · 18 openings · below min since tracking started · 18 openings · below min -0.5% 80.8% 162.0% **Small sample.** 18 openings and 1.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/monogram?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/monogram?window=7d) | 18 | 66.99% ±94.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/monogram) | 18 | 66.99% ±94.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/monogram?window=all) | 18 | 66.99% ±94.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 18 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Louis Vuitton by Tyler, the Creator Rolling Trunk Chocolate Craggy Monogram other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-by-tyler-the-creator-rolling-trunk-chocolate-craggy-monogram) | 1 in 1,000 | $14.2K | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Louis Vuitton Speedy P9 Bandoulière 40 Monogram Leather Brown Monogram other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-speedy-p9-bandouliere-40-monogram-leather-brown-monogram) | 1 in 1,000 | $12.6K | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Louis Vuitton Suitcase Cotteville 40 Monogram Canvas Brown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-suitcase-cotteville-40-monogram-canvas-brown) | 1 in 500 | $8,195 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Louis Vuitton Voyage OnTheGo Monogram other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-voyage-onthego-monogram) | 1 in 500 | $7,405 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Louis Vuitton x NBA Basketball Keepall 55 Monogram other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-nba-basketball-keepall-55-monogram) | 1 in 500 | $6,914 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Louis Vuitton x Sun Yitian Lexington Pouch Monogram other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-sun-yitian-lexington-pouch-monogram) | 1 in 133 | $6,000 | 8.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Louis Vuitton Onthego Monogram Giant GM Noir other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-onthego-monogram-giant-gm-noir) | 1 in 200 | $5,760 | 5.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Louis Vuitton Keepall Bandouliere Monogram Eclipse Reverse 50 Gray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-keepall-bandouliere-monogram-eclipse-reverse-50-gray) | 1 in 100 | $3,840 | 7.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Initiales Belt 40 MM Monogram Brown Gold other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-initiales-belt-40-mm-monogram-brown-gold) | 1 in 67 | $2,880 | 8.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [Louis Vuitton x Yayoi Kusama Passport Cover Monogram Multicolor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-yayoi-kusama-passport-cover-monogram-multicolor) | 1 in 57 | $2,400 | 7.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Monogram Scarf other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-monogram-scarf) | 1 in 80 | $2,030 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Louis Vuitton Messenger District Monogram Eclipse PM Noir Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-messenger-district-monogram-eclipse-pm-noir-black) | 1 in 67 | $1,845 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Louis Vuitton Slender Wallet Monogram Surfin' Navy Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-slender-wallet-monogram-surfin-navy-blue) | 1 in 33 | $992 | 5.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Monogram Bandana Brown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-monogram-bandana-brown) | 1 in 57 | $960 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Louis Vuitton Slender Wallet Monogram Eclipse other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-slender-wallet-monogram-eclipse) | 1 in 25 | $920 | 6.9% | 3 | 0.7 | — | | [Louis Vuitton Multiple Wallet Monogram Dust other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-multiple-wallet-monogram-dust) | 1 in 50 | $839 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Louis Vuitton Multiple Wallet Monogram Brown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-multiple-wallet-monogram-brown) | 1 in 13 | $687 | 10.3% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [Louis Vuitton Card HolderMonogram other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-card-holdermonogram) | 10.1% | $564 | 10.6% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× | | [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) | 62.1% | $1.00 | 0.1% | 12 | 11.2 | 1.07× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Initiales Belt 40 MM Monogram Brown Gold other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-initiales-belt-40-mm-monogram-brown-gold) Hidden $598 $2,880 4.82x 2026-11-07 13:03 UTC [Louis Vuitton Slender Wallet Monogram Surfin' Navy Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-slender-wallet-monogram-surfin-navy-blue) Hidden $598 $992 1.66x 2026-11-06 10:37 UTC [Louis Vuitton Slender Wallet Monogram Eclipse other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-slender-wallet-monogram-eclipse) Hidden $598 $920 1.54x 2026-11-07 13:06 UTC [Louis Vuitton Slender Wallet Monogram Eclipse other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-slender-wallet-monogram-eclipse) Hidden $598 $920 1.54x 2026-11-06 10:37 UTC [Louis Vuitton Slender Wallet Monogram Eclipse other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-slender-wallet-monogram-eclipse) Hidden $598 $920 1.54x 2026-11-06 10:37 UTC [Louis Vuitton Card HolderMonogram other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-card-holdermonogram) Hidden $598 $564 0.94x 2026-11-07 13:03 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=monogram) [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) Hidden $598 $1.00 0.00x 2026-11-07 13:06 UTC [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) Hidden $598 $1.00 0.00x 2026-11-07 13:06 UTC [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) Hidden $598 $1.00 0.00x 2026-11-07 13:06 UTC [Louis Vuitton Slender Wallet Monogram Eclipse other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-slender-wallet-monogram-eclipse) Hidden $598 $920 1.54x 2026-11-07 13:06 UTC [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) Hidden $598 $1.00 0.00x 2026-11-07 13:06 UTC [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) [Rr1CSI](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Rr1CSI) $598 $1.00 0.00x 2026-11-07 13:06 UTC [Louis Vuitton Card HolderMonogram other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-card-holdermonogram) Hidden $598 $564 0.94x 2026-11-07 13:03 UTC [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Initiales Belt 40 MM Monogram Brown Gold other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-initiales-belt-40-mm-monogram-brown-gold) Hidden $598 $2,880 4.82x 2026-11-07 13:03 UTC [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) Hidden $598 $1.00 0.00x 2026-11-07 13:03 UTC [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) Hidden $598 $1.00 0.00x 2026-11-07 13:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $598 | 89.50% | 19 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $2,880 (4.82x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt