--- title: "Music Enthusiast case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Music Enthusiast ($27.29) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 104.11% over 2,334 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/music-enthusiast rendered: 2026-11-12T08:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Music Enthusiast](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/music-enthusiast) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Music Enthusiast A box on Cases.gg (Tech), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/music-enthusiast?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/music-enthusiast?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/music-enthusiast) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/music-enthusiast?window=all) Price · $27.29 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $24.42 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 104.11% · 2,334 openings, odds method Variance · 14.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 54 openings · below min 7 days · 101.15% ±17.05 1,968 openings 30 days · 104.11% ±15.66 2,334 openings since tracking started · 104.11% ±15.66 2,334 openings 83.5% 192.3% 301.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/music-enthusiast?window=24h) | 54 | 197.17% ±103.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/music-enthusiast?window=7d) | 1,968 | 101.15% ±17.1 | +1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/music-enthusiast) | 2,334 | 104.11% ±15.7 | +1.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/music-enthusiast?window=all) | 2,334 | 104.11% ±15.7 | +1.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,334 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Crosley CR1215A-WA Jukebox other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crosley-cr1215a-wa-jukebox) | 1 in 500 | $1,647 | 13.5% | 7 | 4.7 | 1.50× | | [Enya Acoustic Electric Guitar Carbon Fiber X4 PRO Bundle (X4 PRO) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/enya-acoustic-electric-guitar-carbon-fiber-x4-pro-bundle-x4-pro) | 1 in 500 | $800 | 6.6% | 0 | 4.7 | 0.00× | | [Yamaha Rydeen 5-Piece Drum Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yamaha-rydeen-5-piece-drum-set) | 1 in 333 | $630 | 7.7% | 11 | 7.0 | 1.57× | | [Shure SM7B Dynamic Vocal Microphone other](https://gambatracker.com/items/shure-sm7b-dynamic-vocal-microphone) | 1 in 333 | $532 | 6.5% | 8 | 7.0 | 1.14× | | [Squier Affinity Series Jazz Bass other](https://gambatracker.com/items/squier-affinity-series-jazz-bass) | 1 in 200 | $340 | 7.0% | 16 | 11.7 | 1.37× | | [Fender Acoustic Guitar other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fender-acoustic-guitar) | 1 in 200 | $270 | 5.5% | 20 | 11.7 | 1.71× | | [Fender FA-15 3/4 Scale Steel String Acoustic Guitar other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fender-fa-15-3-4-scale-steel-string-acoustic-guitar) | 1 in 100 | $255 | 10.4% | 31 | 23.3 | 1.33× | | [Akai Professional MPK Mini Plus - USB MIDI Keyboard Controller other](https://gambatracker.com/items/akai-professional-mpk-mini-plus-usb-midi-keyboard-controller) | 1 in 100 | $215 | 8.8% | 25 | 23.3 | 1.07× | | [Victrola Nostalgic 6-in-1 Bluetooth Record Player & Multimedia Center other](https://gambatracker.com/items/victrola-nostalgic-6-in-1-bluetooth-record-player-and-multimedia-center) | 1 in 100 | $200 | 8.2% | 27 | 23.3 | 1.16× | | [Boss RV-6 Digital Reverb other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boss-rv-6-digital-reverb) | 1 in 100 | $168 | 6.9% | 20 | 23.3 | 0.86× | | [Fender Frontman 10G Guitar Amp other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fender-frontman-10g-guitar-amp) | 1 in 100 | $99.00 | 4.1% | 22 | 23.3 | 0.94× | | [Karaoke Machine, Portable Bluetooth Speaker with Two Wireless Microphones other](https://gambatracker.com/items/karaoke-machine-portable-bluetooth-speaker-with-two-wireless-microphones) | 1 in 100 | $74.79 | 3.1% | 23 | 23.3 | 0.99× | | [Rated R - Red (Artist) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rated-r-red-artist) | 1 in 100 | $39.05 | 1.6% | 27 | 23.3 | 1.16× | | [Kyser Quick-Change Guitar Capo other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kyser-quick-change-guitar-capo) | 1 in 100 | $28.00 | 1.1% | 23 | 23.3 | 0.99× | | [Bad Omens \[Red LP\] other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bad-omens-red-lp) | 1 in 20 | $24.04 | 4.9% | 118 | 116.7 | 1.01× | | [Ernie Ball Regular Slinky Nickel Wound Electric Guitar Strings other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ernie-ball-regular-slinky-nickel-wound-electric-guitar-strings) | 1 in 20 | $7.00 | 1.4% | 110 | 116.7 | 0.94× | | [Dunlop Tortex Standard .73mm Yellow Guitar Pick, 12 Pack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dunlop-tortex-standard-73mm-yellow-guitar-pick-12-pack) | 1 in 20 | $5.50 | 1.1% | 118 | 116.7 | 1.01× | | [Guitar Pick other](https://gambatracker.com/items/guitar-pick) | 75.0% | $0.50 | 1.5% | 1,728 | 1750.5 | 0.99× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Crosley CR1215A-WA Jukebox other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crosley-cr1215a-wa-jukebox) Hidden $27.29 $1,647 60.35x 2026-11-11 21:34 UTC [Crosley CR1215A-WA Jukebox other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crosley-cr1215a-wa-jukebox) Hidden $27.29 $1,647 60.35x 2026-11-07 10:35 UTC [Crosley CR1215A-WA Jukebox other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crosley-cr1215a-wa-jukebox) Hidden $27.29 $1,647 60.35x 2026-11-07 03:14 UTC [Crosley CR1215A-WA Jukebox other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crosley-cr1215a-wa-jukebox) Hidden $27.29 $1,647 60.35x 2026-11-06 22:47 UTC [Crosley CR1215A-WA Jukebox other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crosley-cr1215a-wa-jukebox) Hidden $27.29 $1,647 60.35x 2026-11-06 13:02 UTC [Crosley CR1215A-WA Jukebox other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crosley-cr1215a-wa-jukebox) Hidden $27.29 $1,647 60.35x 2026-11-04 23:30 UTC [Crosley CR1215A-WA Jukebox other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crosley-cr1215a-wa-jukebox) Hidden $27.29 $1,647 60.35x 2026-11-04 14:40 UTC [Yamaha Rydeen 5-Piece Drum Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yamaha-rydeen-5-piece-drum-set) Hidden $27.29 $630 23.09x 2026-11-12 07:45 UTC [Yamaha Rydeen 5-Piece Drum Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yamaha-rydeen-5-piece-drum-set) Hidden $27.29 $630 23.09x 2026-11-07 17:46 UTC [Yamaha Rydeen 5-Piece Drum Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yamaha-rydeen-5-piece-drum-set) Hidden $27.29 $630 23.09x 2026-11-07 10:35 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=music-enthusiast) [Guitar Pick other](https://gambatracker.com/items/guitar-pick) Hidden $27.29 $0.50 0.02x 2026-11-12 07:45 UTC [Guitar Pick other](https://gambatracker.com/items/guitar-pick) Hidden $27.29 $0.50 0.02x 2026-11-12 07:45 UTC [Guitar Pick other](https://gambatracker.com/items/guitar-pick) Hidden $27.29 $0.50 0.02x 2026-11-12 07:45 UTC [Guitar Pick other](https://gambatracker.com/items/guitar-pick) Hidden $27.29 $0.50 0.02x 2026-11-12 07:45 UTC [Yamaha Rydeen 5-Piece Drum Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yamaha-rydeen-5-piece-drum-set) Hidden $27.29 $630 23.09x 2026-11-12 07:45 UTC [Guitar Pick other](https://gambatracker.com/items/guitar-pick) [izaivars](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/izaivars) $27.29 $0.50 0.02x 2026-11-12 07:45 UTC [Guitar Pick other](https://gambatracker.com/items/guitar-pick) Hidden $27.29 $0.50 0.02x 2026-11-12 04:32 UTC [Bad Omens \[Red LP\] other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bad-omens-red-lp) Hidden $27.29 $24.04 0.88x 2026-11-12 04:32 UTC [Guitar Pick other](https://gambatracker.com/items/guitar-pick) Hidden $27.29 $0.50 0.02x 2026-11-12 04:32 UTC [Guitar Pick other](https://gambatracker.com/items/guitar-pick) Hidden $27.29 $0.50 0.02x 2026-11-12 04:32 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $27.29 | 89.49% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $1,647 (60.35x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt