--- title: "NICKEL JUDGE case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "NICKEL JUDGE ($55.28) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 181.65% over 6 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nickel-judge rendered: 2026-11-12T12:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [NICKEL JUDGE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nickel-judge) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · NICKEL JUDGE A box on Cases.gg, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nickel-judge?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nickel-judge?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nickel-judge) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nickel-judge?window=all) Price · $55.28 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 181.65% · 6 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 268.0% 536.5% **Small sample.** 6 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nickel-judge?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nickel-judge?window=7d) | 6 | 181.65% ±354.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nickel-judge) | 6 | 181.65% ±354.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nickel-judge?window=all) | 6 | 181.65% ±354.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Casio G-Shock x HIDDEN.NY Jewelry Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-x-hidden-ny-jewelry-case) Hidden $55.28 $600 10.85x 2026-11-09 06:44 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=nickel-judge) [Riot Gun Buddy Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/riot-gun-buddy-keychain) Hidden $55.28 $0.50 0.01x 2026-11-09 06:44 UTC [Riot Gun Buddy Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/riot-gun-buddy-keychain) Hidden $55.28 $0.50 0.01x 2026-11-09 06:44 UTC [Casio G-Shock x HIDDEN.NY Jewelry Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-x-hidden-ny-jewelry-case) Hidden $55.28 $600 10.85x 2026-11-09 06:44 UTC [Riot Gun Buddy Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/riot-gun-buddy-keychain) Hidden $55.28 $0.50 0.01x 2026-11-09 06:44 UTC [Riot Gun Buddy Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/riot-gun-buddy-keychain) Hidden $55.28 $0.50 0.01x 2026-11-09 06:44 UTC [Riot Gun Buddy Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/riot-gun-buddy-keychain) [Dr. We Todd Phd in Clutchology](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Dr.%20We%20Todd%20Phd%20in%20Clutchology) $55.28 $0.50 0.01x 2026-11-09 06:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $600 (10.85x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 181.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $181.65 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt