--- title: "Nine Tails case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Nine Tails ($101.44) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 13 items with odds, observed 71.90% over 88 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nine-tails rendered: 2026-11-11T20:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Nine Tails](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nine-tails) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Nine Tails A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nine-tails?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nine-tails?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nine-tails) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nine-tails?window=all) Price · $101.44 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $90.78 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 71.90% · 88 openings, odds method Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 60 openings · below min 30 days · 88 openings · below min since tracking started · 88 openings · below min 41.5% 79.3% 117.0% **Small sample.** 88 openings and 8.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nine-tails?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nine-tails?window=7d) | 60 | 80.36% ±36.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nine-tails) | 88 | 71.90% ±29.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nine-tails?window=all) | 88 | 71.90% ±29.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 88 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Funko Pop! Animation Naruto Shippuden Kurama Mode (Glow) GameStop Exclusive 6 Inch Figure #97 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-naruto-shippuden-kurama-mode-glow-gamestop-exclusive-6-inch-figure-97) | 1 in 20 | $557 | 30.7% | 1 | 4.4 | 0.23× | | [Crocs Classic Clog Naruto Itachi (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-clog-naruto-itachi-us-10) | 1 in 20 | $410 | 22.6% | 5 | 4.4 | 1.14× | | [Naruto Box Set 1: Volumes 1-27 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-box-set-1-volumes-1-27) | 1 in 20 | $245 | 13.5% | 5 | 4.4 | 1.14× | | [Naruto Uzumaki G.E.M. Series 15th Anniversary Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-uzumaki-g-e-m-series-15th-anniversary-figure) | 1 in 20 | $150 | 8.3% | 3 | 4.4 | 0.68× | | [Naruto Shippuden - Akatsuki Letterman Jacket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-shippuden-akatsuki-letterman-jacket) | 1 in 20 | $96.00 | 5.3% | 6 | 4.4 | 1.36× | | [Kakashi Hatake Nendoroid other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kakashi-hatake-nendoroid) | 1 in 20 | $60.00 | 3.3% | 7 | 4.4 | 1.59× | | [Funko Pop! Animation Naruto Shippuden Kotetsu Hagane Figure #1197 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-naruto-shippuden-kotetsu-hagane-figure-1197) | 10.0% | $45.00 | 5.0% | 4 | 8.8 | 0.45× | | [Funko Pop! Moment: Naruto: Shippuden - Pain vs Naruto other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-moment-naruto-shippuden-pain-vs-naruto) | 10.0% | $35.00 | 3.9% | 9 | 8.8 | 1.02× | | [Naruto Shippuden Cloud Ramen Bowl Bundle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-shippuden-cloud-ramen-bowl-bundle) | 10.0% | $28.00 | 3.1% | 10 | 8.8 | 1.14× | | [Silver Naruto 8.7inch Kunai other](https://gambatracker.com/items/silver-naruto-8-7inch-kunai) | 10.0% | $19.00 | 2.1% | 8 | 8.8 | 0.91× | | [Naruto 7 Inch Sitting Plush other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-7-inch-sitting-plush) | 10.0% | $12.00 | 1.3% | 9 | 8.8 | 1.02× | | [Naruto Shippuden Konoha Group A5 Notebook other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-shippuden-konoha-group-a5-notebook) | 10.0% | $7.00 | 0.8% | 11 | 8.8 | 1.25× | | [Naruto Bandai Spirits Memorable Saga Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-bandai-spirits-memorable-saga-figure) | 10.0% | $2.80 | 0.3% | 10 | 8.8 | 1.14× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Funko Pop! Animation Naruto Shippuden Kurama Mode (Glow) GameStop Exclusive 6 Inch Figure #97 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-naruto-shippuden-kurama-mode-glow-gamestop-exclusive-6-inch-figure-97) Hidden $101 $557 5.49x 2026-11-10 07:05 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=nine-tails) [Funko Pop! Animation Naruto Shippuden Kurama Mode (Glow) GameStop Exclusive 6 Inch Figure #97 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-naruto-shippuden-kurama-mode-glow-gamestop-exclusive-6-inch-figure-97) Hidden $101 $557 5.49x 2026-11-10 07:05 UTC [Funko Pop! Moment: Naruto: Shippuden - Pain vs Naruto other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-moment-naruto-shippuden-pain-vs-naruto) Hidden $101 $35.00 0.35x 2026-11-10 07:05 UTC [Naruto Shippuden Konoha Group A5 Notebook other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-shippuden-konoha-group-a5-notebook) Hidden $101 $7.00 0.07x 2026-11-10 07:05 UTC [Naruto Shippuden - Akatsuki Letterman Jacket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-shippuden-akatsuki-letterman-jacket) Hidden $101 $96.00 0.95x 2026-11-10 07:05 UTC [Naruto Shippuden Cloud Ramen Bowl Bundle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-shippuden-cloud-ramen-bowl-bundle) Hidden $101 $28.00 0.28x 2026-11-10 07:05 UTC [Naruto Shippuden - Akatsuki Letterman Jacket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-shippuden-akatsuki-letterman-jacket) [Nie](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Nie) $101 $96.00 0.95x 2026-11-10 07:05 UTC [Kakashi Hatake Nendoroid other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kakashi-hatake-nendoroid) Hidden $101 $60.00 0.59x 2026-11-10 06:43 UTC [Funko Pop! Moment: Naruto: Shippuden - Pain vs Naruto other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-moment-naruto-shippuden-pain-vs-naruto) Hidden $101 $35.00 0.35x 2026-11-10 06:43 UTC [Naruto 7 Inch Sitting Plush other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-7-inch-sitting-plush) Hidden $101 $12.00 0.12x 2026-11-10 06:43 UTC [Naruto Bandai Spirits Memorable Saga Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-bandai-spirits-memorable-saga-figure) Hidden $101 $2.80 0.03x 2026-11-10 06:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $101 | 89.49% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $557 (5.49x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt