--- title: "Nintendo Switch case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Nintendo Switch ($35.67) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 12 items with odds, observed 120.45% over 513 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nintendo-switch rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Nintendo Switch](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nintendo-switch) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Nintendo Switch A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nintendo-switch?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nintendo-switch?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nintendo-switch) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nintendo-switch?window=all) Price · $35.67 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $31.92 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 120.45% · 513 openings, odds method Variance · 47.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 40 openings · below min 7 days · 66.95% ±69.34 376 openings 30 days · 120.45% ±59.36 513 openings since tracking started · 120.45% ±59.36 513 openings -0.5% 123.5% 247.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nintendo-switch?window=24h) | 40 | 34.27% ±212.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nintendo-switch?window=7d) | 376 | 66.95% ±69.3 | −0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nintendo-switch) | 513 | 120.45% ±59.4 | +1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/nintendo-switch?window=all) | 513 | 120.45% ±59.4 | +1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 513 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Edition Console HACSKAELE other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nintendo-switch-super-smash-bros-ultimate-edition-console-hacskaele) | 1 in 500 | $5,280 | 33.1% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.95× | | [Nintendo Switch (OLED model) with White Joy-Con other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nintendo-switch-oled-model-with-white-joy-con) | 1 in 125 | $450 | 11.3% | 6 | 4.1 | 1.46× | | [Nintendo Switch Lite - Coral other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nintendo-switch-lite-coral) | 1 in 100 | $290 | 9.1% | 7 | 5.1 | 1.36× | | [Nintendo Switch Lite - Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nintendo-switch-lite-blue) | 1 in 100 | $285 | 8.9% | 3 | 5.1 | 0.58× | | [Nintendo Switch Lite - Gray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nintendo-switch-lite-gray) | 1 in 100 | $285 | 8.9% | 6 | 5.1 | 1.17× | | [Nintendo Switch Lite - Turquoise other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nintendo-switch-lite-turquoise) | 1 in 100 | $275 | 8.6% | 4 | 5.1 | 0.78× | | [Joy-Con (L)/(R) - Pastel Purple/Pastel Green other](https://gambatracker.com/items/joy-con-l-r-pastel-purple-pastel-green) | 1 in 33 | $87.99 | 8.3% | 16 | 15.4 | 1.04× | | [Minecraft: Switch Edition - Nintendo Switch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/minecraft-switch-edition-nintendo-switch) | 1 in 33 | $32.99 | 3.1% | 8 | 15.4 | 0.52× | | [SanDisk 128GB microSDXC Card, Licensed for Nintendo Switch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sandisk-128gb-microsdxc-card-licensed-for-nintendo-switch) | 1 in 33 | $22.00 | 2.1% | 13 | 15.4 | 0.84× | | [PowerA Joy Con Comfort Grips for Nintendo Switch - Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/powera-joy-con-comfort-grips-for-nintendo-switch-black) | 1 in 17 | $12.00 | 2.3% | 34 | 30.8 | 1.10× | | [Wrist Strap for Switch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wrist-strap-for-switch) | 20.0% | $4.00 | 2.5% | 102 | 102.6 | 0.99× | | [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) | 60.0% | $1.00 | 1.9% | 312 | 307.8 | 1.01× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Edition Console HACSKAELE other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nintendo-switch-super-smash-bros-ultimate-edition-console-hacskaele) Hidden $35.67 $5,280 148.0x 2026-11-03 02:29 UTC [Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Edition Console HACSKAELE other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nintendo-switch-super-smash-bros-ultimate-edition-console-hacskaele) Hidden $35.67 $5,280 148.0x 2026-11-03 01:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=nintendo-switch) [Wrist Strap for Switch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wrist-strap-for-switch) Hidden $35.67 $4.00 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) Hidden $35.67 $1.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [Wrist Strap for Switch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wrist-strap-for-switch) [rekack](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/rekack) $35.67 $4.00 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [Wrist Strap for Switch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wrist-strap-for-switch) Hidden $35.67 $4.00 0.11x 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) Hidden $35.67 $1.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) Hidden $35.67 $1.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC [Wrist Strap for Switch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wrist-strap-for-switch) Hidden $35.67 $4.00 0.11x 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC [PowerA Joy Con Comfort Grips for Nintendo Switch - Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/powera-joy-con-comfort-grips-for-nintendo-switch-black) Hidden $35.67 $12.00 0.34x 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $35.67 $1.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) Hidden $35.67 $1.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 05:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $35.67 | 89.49% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $5,280 (148.0x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt