--- title: "On Ice case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "On Ice ($55.41) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 75.28% over 162 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/on-ice rendered: 2026-11-11T17:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [On Ice](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/on-ice) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · On Ice A box on Cases.gg (Sport), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/on-ice?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/on-ice?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/on-ice) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/on-ice?window=all) Price · $55.41 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $49.59 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 75.28% · 162 openings, odds method Variance · 6.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 72.61% ±40.21 144 openings 30 days · 75.28% ±37.91 162 openings since tracking started · 75.28% ±37.91 162 openings -0.5% 114.0% 228.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/on-ice?window=24h) | 6 | 30.81% ±197.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/on-ice?window=7d) | 144 | 72.61% ±40.2 | −0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/on-ice) | 162 | 75.28% ±37.9 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/on-ice?window=all) | 162 | 75.28% ±37.9 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 162 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Tacks XF Pro Player Skates - Senior other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tacks-xf-pro-player-skates-senior) | 1 in 100 | $1,210 | 24.4% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× | | [Jetspeed FT7 Pro Blue Stick - Senior other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jetspeed-ft7-pro-blue-stick-senior) | 1 in 100 | $432 | 8.7% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× | | [Tacks 720 Combo Helmet - Senior other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tacks-720-combo-helmet-senior) | 1 in 50 | $300 | 12.1% | 6 | 3.2 | 1.85× | | [Winnwell Hockey Wheel Goalie Bag - Large Equipment Bag with Wheels other](https://gambatracker.com/items/winnwell-hockey-wheel-goalie-bag-large-equipment-bag-with-wheels) | 1 in 50 | $235 | 9.5% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.23× | | [Silonn Ice Maker Countertop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/silonn-ice-maker-countertop) | 1 in 50 | $145 | 5.8% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.93× | | [14-inch Stanley Cup Champions Trophy Replica other](https://gambatracker.com/items/14-inch-stanley-cup-champions-trophy-replica) | 1 in 50 | $130 | 5.2% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.23× | | [STX Stallion HPR2 Ice Hockey Stick other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stx-stallion-hpr2-ice-hockey-stick) | 1 in 40 | $87.00 | 4.4% | 2 | 4.0 | 0.49× | | [Franklin Sports NHL Street Hockey Gloves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/franklin-sports-nhl-street-hockey-gloves) | 1 in 20 | $87.00 | 8.8% | 7 | 8.1 | 0.86× | | [Franklin Sports Kids Ice Hockey Stick other](https://gambatracker.com/items/franklin-sports-kids-ice-hockey-stick) | 1 in 40 | $66.00 | 3.3% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.74× | | [Summit Boy's Adjustable Ice Skate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/summit-boys-adjustable-ice-skate) | 1 in 40 | $55.00 | 2.8% | 6 | 4.0 | 1.48× | | [Franklin Sports NHL Street Hockey Goal with Net - 46 Inch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/franklin-sports-nhl-street-hockey-goal-with-net-46-inch) | 1 in 40 | $50.00 | 2.5% | 7 | 4.0 | 1.73× | | [Dallas Stars Throw Blanket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dallas-stars-throw-blanket) | 1 in 20 | $26.00 | 2.6% | 9 | 8.1 | 1.11× | | [Skate Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/skate-bag) | 1 in 20 | $20.00 | 2.0% | 5 | 8.1 | 0.62× | | [Funko Pop! NHL: Stars - Jamie Benn other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-nhl-stars-jamie-benn) | 1 in 20 | $16.00 | 1.6% | 10 | 8.1 | 1.23× | | [Sparkling Ice Blue Variety Pack, Zero Sugar Sparkling Water - 12 Count other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sparkling-ice-blue-variety-pack-zero-sugar-sparkling-water-12-count) | 1 in 20 | $10.43 | 1.1% | 6 | 8.1 | 0.74× | | [Ice Cube Trays other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ice-cube-trays) | 1 in 20 | $8.91 | 0.9% | 12 | 8.1 | 1.48× | | [NHL Upper Deck 2020-21 SP Hockey Trading Card HANGER Box \[3 Packs\] other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nhl-upper-deck-2020-21-sp-hockey-trading-card-hanger-box-3-packs) | 20.0% | $6.00 | 2.4% | 25 | 32.4 | 0.77× | | [Hockey Puck other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hockey-puck) | 30.0% | $3.00 | 1.8% | 52 | 48.6 | 1.07× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=on-ice) [Funko Pop! NHL: Stars - Jamie Benn other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-nhl-stars-jamie-benn) Hidden $55.41 $16.00 0.29x 2026-11-11 08:30 UTC [Hockey Puck other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hockey-puck) Hidden $55.41 $3.00 0.05x 2026-11-11 08:30 UTC [Franklin Sports NHL Street Hockey Goal with Net - 46 Inch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/franklin-sports-nhl-street-hockey-goal-with-net-46-inch) Hidden $55.41 $50.00 0.90x 2026-11-11 08:30 UTC [Sparkling Ice Blue Variety Pack, Zero Sugar Sparkling Water - 12 Count other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sparkling-ice-blue-variety-pack-zero-sugar-sparkling-water-12-count) Hidden $55.41 $10.43 0.19x 2026-11-11 08:30 UTC [Hockey Puck other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hockey-puck) Hidden $55.41 $3.00 0.05x 2026-11-11 08:30 UTC [Skate Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/skate-bag) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $55.41 $20.00 0.36x 2026-11-11 08:30 UTC [Ice Cube Trays other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ice-cube-trays) Hidden $55.41 $8.91 0.16x 2026-11-10 06:21 UTC [14-inch Stanley Cup Champions Trophy Replica other](https://gambatracker.com/items/14-inch-stanley-cup-champions-trophy-replica) Hidden $55.41 $130 2.35x 2026-11-10 06:21 UTC [Dallas Stars Throw Blanket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dallas-stars-throw-blanket) Hidden $55.41 $26.00 0.47x 2026-11-10 06:21 UTC [Hockey Puck other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hockey-puck) Hidden $55.41 $3.00 0.05x 2026-11-10 06:21 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $55.41 | 89.49% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt