---
title: "Only Farms case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Only Farms ($32.66) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.47% from 18 items with odds, observed 106.24% over 71 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/only-farms
rendered: 2026-11-11T22:45Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Only Farms](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/only-farms)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Only Farms

A box on Cases.gg (Outdoor), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/only-farms?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/only-farms?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/only-farms) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/only-farms?window=all)

Price · $32.66

Advertised RTP · 89.47% · EV $29.22 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 106.24% · 71 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 10 openings · below min

7 days · 71 openings · below min

30 days · 71 openings · below min

since tracking started · 71 openings · below min

-0.5% 105.8% 212.0%

**Small sample.** 71 openings and 5.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/only-farms?window=24h) | 10 | 62.70% ±148.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/only-farms?window=7d) | 71 | 106.24% ±55.7 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/only-farms) | 71 | 106.24% ±55.7 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/only-farms?window=all) | 71 | 106.24% ±55.7 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 71 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Razor Dirt Quad Electric Four-Wheeled Off-Road Vehicle - Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/razor-dirt-quad-electric-four-wheeled-off-road-vehicle-black) | 1 in 200 | $825 | 14.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Tractor, Excavator & Bulldozer, 24V, Orange other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tractor-excavator-and-bulldozer-24v-orange) | 1 in 200 | $418 | 7.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [ARIAT men's Hybrid Venttek Western Boot other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ariat-mens-hybrid-venttek-western-boot) | 1 in 100 | $260 | 8.9% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [Walking Horse with Easy Rolling Wheels other](https://gambatracker.com/items/walking-horse-with-easy-rolling-wheels) | 1 in 100 | $240 | 8.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Carhartt Men's Loose Fit Washed Duck Insulated Active Jacket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/carhartt-mens-loose-fit-washed-duck-insulated-active-jacket) | 1 in 100 | $160 | 5.5% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [WILDGAME INNOVATIONS Quick-Set 225 lb Game Feeder other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wildgame-innovations-quick-set-225-lb-game-feeder) | 1 in 100 | $156 | 5.3% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [45" Long Galvanized Steel Livestock Feeding Trough other](https://gambatracker.com/items/45-long-galvanized-steel-livestock-feeding-trough) | 1 in 50 | $156 | 10.7% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.41× |
| [150 Pcs 6.3 Inch Screaming Rubber Chicken Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/150-pcs-6-3-inch-screaming-rubber-chicken-toy) | 1 in 50 | $79.00 | 5.4% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.70× |
| [Farming Simulator 22 - Xbox One other](https://gambatracker.com/items/farming-simulator-22-xbox-one) | 1 in 50 | $62.00 | 4.2% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.41× |
| [Colorado Saddlery Kid's Lariat \| Pro Feel Lasso other](https://gambatracker.com/items/colorado-saddlery-kids-lariat-pro-feel-lasso) | 1 in 25 | $45.00 | 6.2% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.70× |
| [Squishy Pig Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/squishy-pig-toy) | 1 in 20 | $37.00 | 6.3% | 4 | 3.6 | 1.13× |
| [Learning Resources Farm Animal Counters - 60 Pieces other](https://gambatracker.com/items/learning-resources-farm-animal-counters-60-pieces) | 1 in 20 | $31.67 | 5.4% | 4 | 3.6 | 1.13× |
| [Screaming Goat Button other](https://gambatracker.com/items/screaming-goat-button) | 1 in 20 | $25.00 | 4.3% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.56× |
| [Cow Stuffed Animal other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cow-stuffed-animal) | 1 in 20 | $16.98 | 2.9% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.56× |
| [Classic Western Felt Cowboy Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-western-felt-cowboy-hat) | 1 in 20 | $14.00 | 2.4% | 4 | 3.6 | 1.13× |
| [World of Eric Carle, Around the Farm other](https://gambatracker.com/items/world-of-eric-carle-around-the-farm) | 1 in 20 | $10.50 | 1.8% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.56× |
| [Indestructibles: Hello, Farm! other](https://gambatracker.com/items/indestructibles-hello-farm) | 1 in 20 | $6.00 | 1.0% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.85× |
| [$0.10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-10-voucher) | 50.0% | $0.10 | 0.2% | 39 | 35.5 | 1.10× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Razor Dirt Quad Electric Four-Wheeled Off-Road Vehicle - Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/razor-dirt-quad-electric-four-wheeled-off-road-vehicle-black) [Oli](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Oli) $32.66 $825 25.26x 2026-11-05 18:01 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=only-farms)

[$0.10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-10-voucher) Hidden $32.66 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:27 UTC

[$0.10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-10-voucher) Hidden $32.66 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:27 UTC

[Learning Resources Farm Animal Counters - 60 Pieces other](https://gambatracker.com/items/learning-resources-farm-animal-counters-60-pieces) Hidden $32.66 $31.67 0.97x 2026-11-11 08:27 UTC

[$0.10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-10-voucher) Hidden $32.66 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:27 UTC

[World of Eric Carle, Around the Farm other](https://gambatracker.com/items/world-of-eric-carle-around-the-farm) Hidden $32.66 $10.50 0.32x 2026-11-11 08:27 UTC

[$0.10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-10-voucher) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $32.66 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:27 UTC

[45" Long Galvanized Steel Livestock Feeding Trough other](https://gambatracker.com/items/45-long-galvanized-steel-livestock-feeding-trough) Hidden $32.66 $156 4.78x 2026-11-11 04:25 UTC

[Indestructibles: Hello, Farm! other](https://gambatracker.com/items/indestructibles-hello-farm) Hidden $32.66 $6.00 0.18x 2026-11-11 04:25 UTC

[$0.10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-10-voucher) Hidden $32.66 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 04:25 UTC

[$0.10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-10-voucher) [munchies](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/munchies) $32.66 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 04:25 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $32.66 | 89.47% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $825 (25.26x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.47 on average: an expected loss of $10.53 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt