---
title: "ONLY PROFIT case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "ONLY PROFIT ($11.54) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 52.72% over 258 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/only-profit
rendered: 2026-11-12T00:53Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [ONLY PROFIT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/only-profit)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · ONLY PROFIT

A box on Cases.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/only-profit?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/only-profit?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/only-profit) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/only-profit?window=all)

Price · $11.54

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 52.72% · 258 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 12 openings · below min

30 days · 258 openings · below min

since tracking started · 258 openings · below min

-0.5% 56.0% 112.5%

**Small sample.** 258 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/only-profit?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/only-profit?window=7d) | 12 | 52.82% ±58.9 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/only-profit) | 258 | 52.72% ±24.7 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/only-profit?window=all) | 258 | 52.72% ±24.7 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · none published

**No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=only-profit)

[Old Receipt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/old-receipt) Hidden $11.54 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-05 15:31 UTC

[CTRL Peanut Butter Pieces - Box of 12 Cookies other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ctrl-peanut-butter-pieces-box-of-12-cookies) Hidden $11.54 $37.39 3.24x 2026-11-05 15:31 UTC

[INTEX 58330EP Explorer 200 Inflatable Boat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/intex-58330ep-explorer-200-inflatable-boat) Hidden $11.54 $17.79 1.54x 2026-11-05 15:31 UTC

[Old Receipt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/old-receipt) Hidden $11.54 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-05 15:31 UTC

[Old Receipt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/old-receipt) Hidden $11.54 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-05 15:31 UTC

[Old Receipt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/old-receipt) [robi.mikk](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/robi.mikk) $11.54 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-05 15:31 UTC

[Old Receipt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/old-receipt) Hidden $11.54 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-05 15:31 UTC

[Old Receipt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/old-receipt) Hidden $11.54 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-05 15:31 UTC

[Old Receipt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/old-receipt) Hidden $11.54 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-05 15:31 UTC

[Old Receipt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/old-receipt) Hidden $11.54 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-05 15:31 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 52.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $52.72 on average: an expected loss of $47.28 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
