--- title: "Paparazzi case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Paparazzi ($123.93) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 94.36% over 78 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/paparazzi rendered: 2026-11-11T18:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Paparazzi](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/paparazzi) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Paparazzi A box on Cases.gg (Tech), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/paparazzi?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/paparazzi?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/paparazzi) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/paparazzi?window=all) Price · $123.93 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $110.91 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.36% · 78 openings, odds method Variance · 3.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 72 openings · below min 30 days · 78 openings · below min since tracking started · 78 openings · below min 52.0% 95.5% 139.0% **Small sample.** 78 openings and 6.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/paparazzi?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/paparazzi?window=7d) | 72 | 95.57% ±42.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/paparazzi) | 78 | 94.36% ±41.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/paparazzi?window=all) | 78 | 94.36% ±41.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 78 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sony Alpha 7 IV Full-frame Mirrorless Interchangeable Lens Camera, Body Only other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-alpha-7-iv-full-frame-mirrorless-interchangeable-lens-camera-body-only) | 1 in 500 | $2,748 | 5.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [Canon DSLR Camera \[EOS 90D\] other](https://gambatracker.com/items/canon-dslr-camera-eos-90d) | 1 in 333 | $1,319 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Sony Alpha ZV-E10 - APS-C Interchangeable Lens Mirrorless Vlog Camera - Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-alpha-zv-e10-aps-c-interchangeable-lens-mirrorless-vlog-camera-black) | 1 in 100 | $1,078 | 9.7% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [Nikon D3500 W/ AF-P DX NIKKOR 18-55mm f/3.5-5.6G VR Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nikon-d3500-w-af-p-dx-nikkor-18-55mm-f-3-5-5-6g-vr-black) | 1 in 200 | $935 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Panasonic Full HD Video Camera Camcorder other](https://gambatracker.com/items/panasonic-full-hd-video-camera-camcorder) | 1 in 100 | $738 | 6.7% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [GoPro HERO10 Black Bundle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gopro-hero10-black-bundle) | 1 in 50 | $580 | 10.5% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× | | [Canon EOS Rebel T7 DSLR Camera with 18-55mm Lens other](https://gambatracker.com/items/canon-eos-rebel-t7-dslr-camera-with-18-55mm-lens) | 1 in 100 | $576 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [GoPro HERO12 Black - Waterproof Action Camera other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gopro-hero12-black-waterproof-action-camera) | 1 in 100 | $480 | 4.3% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [GoPro HERO11 Black Mini other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gopro-hero11-black-mini) | 1 in 100 | $310 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [Canon EF 75-300mm Zoom Lens for Canon SLR Cameras other](https://gambatracker.com/items/canon-ef-75-300mm-zoom-lens-for-canon-slr-cameras) | 1 in 20 | $280 | 12.6% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.03× | | [Ring Battery Doorbell Pro other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ring-battery-doorbell-pro) | 1 in 50 | $250 | 4.5% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× | | [Polaroid Now 2nd Generation I-Type Instant Camera other](https://gambatracker.com/items/polaroid-now-2nd-generation-i-type-instant-camera) | 1 in 20 | $195 | 8.8% | 1 | 3.9 | 0.26× | | [Ring Spotlight Cam Plus other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ring-spotlight-cam-plus) | 1 in 20 | $185 | 8.3% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.03× | | [Polaroid Go Generation 2 - Mini Instant Camera other](https://gambatracker.com/items/polaroid-go-generation-2-mini-instant-camera) | 1 in 20 | $145 | 6.5% | 6 | 3.9 | 1.54× | | [Polaroid IS048 Digital Camera other](https://gambatracker.com/items/polaroid-is048-digital-camera) | 1 in 20 | $59.99 | 2.7% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.03× | | [Protective Case for Canon EOS Rebel T7 DSLR Camera and Lens other](https://gambatracker.com/items/protective-case-for-canon-eos-rebel-t7-dslr-camera-and-lens) | 1 in 20 | $25.29 | 1.1% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.03× | | [ZEISS Lens Care Pack - 2-8 Ounce Bottles of Lens Spray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeiss-lens-care-pack-2-8-ounce-bottles-of-lens-spray) | 10.0% | $13.49 | 1.2% | 9 | 7.8 | 1.15× | | [Microfiber Cleaning Cloths other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microfiber-cleaning-cloths) | 50.0% | $5.00 | 2.3% | 40 | 39.0 | 1.03× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sony Alpha 7 IV Full-frame Mirrorless Interchangeable Lens Camera, Body Only other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-alpha-7-iv-full-frame-mirrorless-interchangeable-lens-camera-body-only) Hidden $124 $2,748 22.17x 2026-11-06 02:33 UTC [Panasonic Full HD Video Camera Camcorder other](https://gambatracker.com/items/panasonic-full-hd-video-camera-camcorder) Hidden $124 $738 5.95x 2026-11-10 06:28 UTC [Panasonic Full HD Video Camera Camcorder other](https://gambatracker.com/items/panasonic-full-hd-video-camera-camcorder) Hidden $124 $738 5.95x 2026-11-06 08:07 UTC [GoPro HERO10 Black Bundle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gopro-hero10-black-bundle) Hidden $124 $580 4.68x 2026-11-10 06:15 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=paparazzi) [Microfiber Cleaning Cloths other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microfiber-cleaning-cloths) Hidden $124 $5.00 0.04x 2026-11-10 06:30 UTC [Ring Spotlight Cam Plus other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ring-spotlight-cam-plus) Hidden $124 $185 1.49x 2026-11-10 06:30 UTC [ZEISS Lens Care Pack - 2-8 Ounce Bottles of Lens Spray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeiss-lens-care-pack-2-8-ounce-bottles-of-lens-spray) Hidden $124 $13.49 0.11x 2026-11-10 06:30 UTC [Polaroid Now 2nd Generation I-Type Instant Camera other](https://gambatracker.com/items/polaroid-now-2nd-generation-i-type-instant-camera) Hidden $124 $195 1.57x 2026-11-10 06:30 UTC [Protective Case for Canon EOS Rebel T7 DSLR Camera and Lens other](https://gambatracker.com/items/protective-case-for-canon-eos-rebel-t7-dslr-camera-and-lens) Hidden $124 $25.29 0.20x 2026-11-10 06:30 UTC [Protective Case for Canon EOS Rebel T7 DSLR Camera and Lens other](https://gambatracker.com/items/protective-case-for-canon-eos-rebel-t7-dslr-camera-and-lens) [Nie](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Nie) $124 $25.29 0.20x 2026-11-10 06:30 UTC [Panasonic Full HD Video Camera Camcorder other](https://gambatracker.com/items/panasonic-full-hd-video-camera-camcorder) Hidden $124 $738 5.95x 2026-11-10 06:28 UTC [Microfiber Cleaning Cloths other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microfiber-cleaning-cloths) Hidden $124 $5.00 0.04x 2026-11-10 06:28 UTC [ZEISS Lens Care Pack - 2-8 Ounce Bottles of Lens Spray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeiss-lens-care-pack-2-8-ounce-bottles-of-lens-spray) Hidden $124 $13.49 0.11x 2026-11-10 06:28 UTC [Microfiber Cleaning Cloths other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microfiber-cleaning-cloths) Hidden $124 $5.00 0.04x 2026-11-10 06:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $124 | 89.49% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $2,748 (22.17x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt