--- title: "Pawfect Loot case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Pawfect Loot ($25.46) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.47% from 11 items with odds, observed 127.85% over 253 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pawfect-loot rendered: 2026-11-11T23:34Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Pawfect Loot](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pawfect-loot) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Pawfect Loot A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pawfect-loot?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pawfect-loot?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pawfect-loot) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pawfect-loot?window=all) Price · $25.46 Advertised RTP · 89.47% · EV $22.78 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 127.85% · 253 openings, odds method Variance · 16.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 29 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 83.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 20 openings · below min 7 days · 135.55% ±51.78 235 openings 30 days · 127.85% ±49.90 253 openings since tracking started · 127.85% ±49.90 253 openings -0.5% 124.0% 248.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pawfect-loot?window=24h) | 20 | 70.60% ±177.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pawfect-loot?window=7d) | 235 | 135.55% ±51.8 | +1.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pawfect-loot) | 253 | 127.85% ±49.9 | +1.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pawfect-loot?window=all) | 253 | 127.85% ±49.9 | +1.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 253 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Pet GG coat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-gg-coat) | 1 in 100 | $1,023 | 44.9% | 6 | 2.5 | 2.37× | | [Pet Carrier other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-carrier) | 1 in 40 | $115 | 12.6% | 3 | 6.3 | 0.47× | | [Cat Carrier Backpack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cat-carrier-backpack) | 1 in 29 | $77.00 | 11.8% | 3 | 8.9 | 0.34× | | [Amazon Basics Cat Scratching Post, Medium other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-basics-cat-scratching-post-medium) | 1 in 20 | $33.00 | 7.2% | 7 | 12.6 | 0.55× | | [Dog Life Jacket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dog-life-jacket) | 1 in 20 | $30.54 | 6.7% | 15 | 12.6 | 1.19× | | [Pet First Aid Kit other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-first-aid-kit) | 1 in 20 | $25.44 | 5.6% | 8 | 12.6 | 0.63× | | [Pet Shampoo other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-shampoo) | 10.0% | $8.00 | 3.5% | 25 | 25.3 | 0.99× | | [Hartz Mini Mice Cat Toy (5 Pack) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hartz-mini-mice-cat-toy-5-pack) | 16.0% | $5.00 | 3.5% | 39 | 40.5 | 0.96× | | [Dog Leash other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dog-leash) | 16.0% | $3.50 | 2.5% | 38 | 40.5 | 0.94× | | [Wet Cat Food other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wet-cat-food) | 16.0% | $2.00 | 1.4% | 42 | 40.5 | 1.04× | | [Dog Treat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dog-treat) | 20.0% | $0.25 | 0.2% | 67 | 50.6 | 1.32× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Pet GG coat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-gg-coat) Hidden $25.46 $1,023 40.18x 2026-11-10 00:12 UTC [Pet GG coat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-gg-coat) [izaivars](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/izaivars) $25.46 $1,023 40.18x 2026-11-07 18:47 UTC [Pet GG coat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-gg-coat) Hidden $25.46 $1,023 40.18x 2026-11-06 16:45 UTC [Pet GG coat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-gg-coat) [zyro](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/zyro) $25.46 $1,023 40.18x 2026-11-06 12:50 UTC [Pet GG coat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-gg-coat) Hidden $25.46 $1,023 40.18x 2026-11-06 10:26 UTC [Pet GG coat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-gg-coat) Hidden $25.46 $1,023 40.18x 2026-11-05 04:56 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=pawfect-loot) [Dog Life Jacket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dog-life-jacket) Hidden $25.46 $30.54 1.20x 2026-11-11 19:38 UTC [Dog Life Jacket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dog-life-jacket) Hidden $25.46 $30.54 1.20x 2026-11-11 19:38 UTC [Hartz Mini Mice Cat Toy (5 Pack) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hartz-mini-mice-cat-toy-5-pack) Hidden $25.46 $5.00 0.20x 2026-11-11 19:38 UTC [Pet First Aid Kit other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-first-aid-kit) [Sharkinz](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Sharkinz) $25.46 $25.44 1.00x 2026-11-11 19:38 UTC [Hartz Mini Mice Cat Toy (5 Pack) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hartz-mini-mice-cat-toy-5-pack) Hidden $25.46 $5.00 0.20x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [Dog Treat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dog-treat) Hidden $25.46 $0.25 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [Cat Carrier Backpack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cat-carrier-backpack) Hidden $25.46 $77.00 3.02x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [Pet Shampoo other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-shampoo) [Sharkinz](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Sharkinz) $25.46 $8.00 0.31x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [Wet Cat Food other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wet-cat-food) Hidden $25.46 $2.00 0.08x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC [Wet Cat Food other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wet-cat-food) Hidden $25.46 $2.00 0.08x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $25.46 | 89.47% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $1,023 (40.18x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.47 on average: an expected loss of $10.53 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt