---
title: "PC Gamer case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "PC Gamer ($8.98) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.43% from 27 items with odds, observed 87.80% over 722 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pc-gamer
rendered: 2026-11-11T23:16Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [PC Gamer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pc-gamer)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · PC Gamer

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pc-gamer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pc-gamer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pc-gamer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pc-gamer?window=all)

Price · $8.98

Advertised RTP · 89.43% · EV $8.03 from 27 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.80% · 722 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 74 openings · below min

7 days · 84.92% ±11.15 423 openings

30 days · 87.80% ±8.54 722 openings

since tracking started · 87.80% ±8.54 722 openings

71.5% 98.8% 126.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pc-gamer?window=24h) | 74 | 98.90% ±26.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pc-gamer?window=7d) | 423 | 84.92% ±11.2 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pc-gamer) | 722 | 87.80% ±8.54 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pc-gamer?window=all) | 722 | 87.80% ±8.54 | −0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 722 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Dragon Ball: Sparking! Zero \| Ultimate Edition (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dragon-ball-sparking-zero-ultimate-edition-pc-steam-key-global) | 1 in 500 | $112 | 2.8% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.69× |
| [Call of Duty: Black Ops 6 \| Vault Edition (PC) - Battle.net Gift - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/call-of-duty-black-ops-6-vault-edition-pc-battle-net-gift-global) | 1 in 500 | $102 | 2.5% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [Escape From Tarkov (PC) - Battlestate Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/escape-from-tarkov-pc-battlestate-key-global) | 1 in 500 | $90.49 | 2.3% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.39× |
| [NBA 2K25 (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nba-2k25-pc-steam-key-global) | 1 in 500 | $77.39 | 1.9% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.39× |
| [Frostpunk 2 \| Deluxe Edition (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/frostpunk-2-deluxe-edition-pc-steam-key-global) | 1 in 500 | $68.66 | 1.7% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.69× |
| [Ghost of Tsushima \| Director's Cut (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ghost-of-tsushima-directors-cut-pc-steam-key-global) | 1 in 500 | $60.49 | 1.5% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.08× |
| [DayZ (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dayz-pc-steam-key-global) | 1 in 400 | $53.26 | 1.7% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [Farming Simulator 25 (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/farming-simulator-25-pc-steam-key-global) | 1 in 200 | $46.52 | 2.9% | 4 | 3.6 | 1.11× |
| [Grand Theft Auto: Vice City (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/grand-theft-auto-vice-city-pc-steam-key-global) | 1 in 200 | $41.51 | 2.6% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.55× |
| [The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt \| Complete Edition (PC) - GOG.COM Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-witcher-3-wild-hunt-complete-edition-pc-gog-com-key-global) | 1 in 100 | $20.33 | 2.5% | 7 | 7.2 | 0.97× |
| [Battlefield 4 \| Premium Edition (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/battlefield-4-premium-edition-pc-steam-key-global) | 1 in 100 | $18.44 | 2.3% | 11 | 7.2 | 1.52× |
| [Call of Duty: Black Ops II (PC) - Steam Account - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/call-of-duty-black-ops-ii-pc-steam-account-global) | 1 in 100 | $17.05 | 2.1% | 9 | 7.2 | 1.25× |
| [Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon Wildlands \| Standard Edition (PC) - Ubisoft Connect Key - NORTH AMERICA other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tom-clancys-ghost-recon-wildlands-standard-edition-pc-ubisoft-connect-key-north-america) | 1 in 67 | $15.60 | 2.9% | 12 | 10.8 | 1.11× |
| [Dying Light \| Definitive Edition (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dying-light-definitive-edition-pc-steam-key-global) | 1 in 67 | $14.96 | 2.8% | 7 | 10.8 | 0.65× |
| [Total War: WARHAMMER (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/total-war-warhammer-pc-steam-key-global) | 1 in 67 | $14.77 | 2.8% | 10 | 10.8 | 0.92× |
| [Assassin's Creed Unity Ubisoft Connect Key GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/assassins-creed-unity-ubisoft-connect-key-global) | 1 in 40 | $12.93 | 4.0% | 27 | 18.1 | 1.50× |
| [BeamNG.drive (PC) - Steam Account - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/beamng-drive-pc-steam-account-global) | 1 in 40 | $12.20 | 3.8% | 24 | 18.1 | 1.33× |
| [Don't Starve Together (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dont-starve-together-pc-steam-key-global) | 1 in 40 | $11.47 | 3.6% | 11 | 18.1 | 0.61× |
| [Borderlands 2 GOTY (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/borderlands-2-goty-pc-steam-key-global) | 1 in 33 | $9.38 | 3.5% | 20 | 21.7 | 0.92× |
| [Fallout: New Vegas Ultimate Edition (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fallout-new-vegas-ultimate-edition-pc-steam-key-global) | 1 in 20 | $7.81 | 4.9% | 24 | 36.1 | 0.66× |
| [Sniper Elite 4 (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sniper-elite-4-pc-steam-key-global) | 1 in 17 | $7.73 | 5.8% | 40 | 43.3 | 0.92× |
| [Sleeping Dogs: Definitive Edition Steam Key GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sleeping-dogs-definitive-edition-steam-key-global) | 1 in 13 | $6.97 | 6.5% | 44 | 54.1 | 0.81× |
| [DOOM Steam Key GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/doom-steam-key-global) | 1 in 13 | $6.75 | 6.7% | 63 | 57.8 | 1.09× |
| [Outlast Steam Key GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/outlast-steam-key-global) | 1 in 12 | $6.06 | 6.1% | 71 | 58.1 | 1.22× |
| [Mad Max (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mad-max-pc-steam-key-global) | 10.0% | $4.32 | 5.4% | 85 | 72.2 | 1.18× |
| [Killing Floor 2 (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/killing-floor-2-pc-steam-key-global) | 15.0% | $3.62 | 6.8% | 106 | 108.3 | 0.98× |
| [LEGO Marvel Super Heroes (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-marvel-super-heroes-pc-steam-key-global) | 20.0% | $3.10 | 7.7% | 136 | 144.4 | 0.94× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=pc-gamer)

[Mad Max (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mad-max-pc-steam-key-global) Hidden $8.98 $4.32 0.48x 2026-11-11 21:30 UTC

[Killing Floor 2 (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/killing-floor-2-pc-steam-key-global) Hidden $8.98 $3.62 0.40x 2026-11-11 21:30 UTC

[Killing Floor 2 (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/killing-floor-2-pc-steam-key-global) Hidden $8.98 $3.62 0.40x 2026-11-11 21:30 UTC

[Assassin's Creed Unity Ubisoft Connect Key GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/assassins-creed-unity-ubisoft-connect-key-global) [SickWhit95\_CodeDGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/SickWhit95_CodeDGN) $8.98 $12.93 1.44x 2026-11-11 21:30 UTC

[BeamNG.drive (PC) - Steam Account - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/beamng-drive-pc-steam-account-global) Hidden $8.98 $12.20 1.36x 2026-11-11 18:55 UTC

[BeamNG.drive (PC) - Steam Account - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/beamng-drive-pc-steam-account-global) Hidden $8.98 $12.20 1.36x 2026-11-11 18:55 UTC

[Sleeping Dogs: Definitive Edition Steam Key GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sleeping-dogs-definitive-edition-steam-key-global) Hidden $8.98 $6.97 0.78x 2026-11-11 18:55 UTC

[Outlast Steam Key GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/outlast-steam-key-global) Hidden $8.98 $6.06 0.67x 2026-11-11 18:55 UTC

[Killing Floor 2 (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/killing-floor-2-pc-steam-key-global) Hidden $8.98 $3.62 0.40x 2026-11-11 18:55 UTC

[Don't Starve Together (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dont-starve-together-pc-steam-key-global) [Gentle Dragon](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Gentle%20Dragon) $8.98 $11.47 1.28x 2026-11-11 18:55 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $8.98 | 89.43% | 27 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.43 on average: an expected loss of $10.57 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt