--- title: "PC case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "PC ($456.17) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 70.25% over 48 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pc rendered: 2026-11-11T13:15Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [PC](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pc) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · PC A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pc?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pc?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pc) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pc?window=all) Price · $456.17 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $408.27 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 70.25% · 48 openings, odds method Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 44 openings · below min 30 days · 48 openings · below min since tracking started · 48 openings · below min 27.0% 67.8% 108.5% **Small sample.** 48 openings and 5.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pc?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pc?window=7d) | 44 | 67.33% ±39.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pc) | 48 | 70.25% ±37.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pc?window=all) | 48 | 70.25% ±37.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 48 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Alienware Aurora R16 Gaming Desktop - Intel Core i9-13900F, 32GB DDR5 RAM, 1TB SSD + 1TB HDD, NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4070 12GB GDDR6X Graphics other](https://gambatracker.com/items/alienware-aurora-r16-gaming-desktop-intel-core-i9-13900f-32gb-ddr5-ram-1tb-ssd-1tb-hdd-nvidia-geforce-rtx-4070-12gb-gddr6x-graphics) | 1 in 50 | $2,360 | 11.6% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [ASUS TUF Gaming GeForce RTX™ 4090 OG OC Edition Gaming Graphics Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-tuf-gaming-geforce-rtx-4090-og-oc-edition-gaming-graphics-card) | 1 in 40 | $2,010 | 12.3% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.67× | | [NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4080 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nvidia-geforce-rtx-4080) | 1 in 40 | $1,760 | 10.8% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [CORSAIR VENGEANCE RGB DDR5 RAM 64GB (2x32GB) 6400MHz other](https://gambatracker.com/items/corsair-vengeance-rgb-ddr5-ram-64gb-2x32gb-6400mhz) | 1 in 20 | $1,500 | 18.4% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× | | [CyberPowerPC Gamer Xtreme VR Gaming PC, Intel Core i7-13700F 2.1GHz, GeForce RTX 4060 Ti 16GB, 16GB DDR5, 1TB NVMe SSD other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cyberpowerpc-gamer-xtreme-vr-gaming-pc-intel-core-i7-13700f-2-1ghz-geforce-rtx-4060-ti-16gb-16gb-ddr5-1tb-nvme-ssd) | 1 in 33 | $1,430 | 10.5% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.69× | | [MSI GeForce RTX 4070 Ti Super other](https://gambatracker.com/items/msi-geforce-rtx-4070-ti-super) | 1 in 29 | $900 | 7.7% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× | | [AMD Ryzen™ 9 7900X3D other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amd-ryzen-9-7900x3d) | 1 in 22 | $720 | 7.9% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.46× | | [Crucial P3 Plus 2TB PCIe Gen4 3D NAND NVMe M.2 SSD other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crucial-p3-plus-2tb-pcie-gen4-3d-nand-nvme-m-2-ssd) | 1 in 18 | $400 | 5.4% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.38× | | [AMD Ryzen 5 7600X 6-Core, 12-Thread Unlocked Desktop Processor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amd-ryzen-5-7600x-6-core-12-thread-unlocked-desktop-processor) | 1 in 20 | $360 | 4.4% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× | | [Asus ROG Strix B550-F Gaming WiFi II AMD AM4 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-rog-strix-b550-f-gaming-wifi-ii-amd-am4) | 1 in 18 | $228 | 3.1% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.38× | | [CORSAIR 4000D AIRFLOW Tempered Glass Mid-Tower ATX Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/corsair-4000d-airflow-tempered-glass-mid-tower-atx-case) | 1 in 17 | $190 | 2.8% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.04× | | [CORSAIR RM850x Fully Modular ATX Power Supply other](https://gambatracker.com/items/corsair-rm850x-fully-modular-atx-power-supply) | 1 in 18 | $175 | 2.4% | 4 | 2.6 | 1.52× | | [Logitech G213 Prodigy Gaming Keyboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g213-prodigy-gaming-keyboard) | 1 in 15 | $75.00 | 1.2% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.28× | | [Logitech G305 LIGHTSPEED Wireless Gaming Mouse other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g305-lightspeed-wireless-gaming-mouse) | 1 in 14 | $32.99 | 0.6% | 1 | 3.4 | 0.30× | | [Logitech C270 HD Webcam other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-c270-hd-webcam) | 1 in 13 | $22.00 | 0.4% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.83× | | [HyperX Fury S - Pro Gaming Mouse Pad other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hyperx-fury-s-pro-gaming-mouse-pad) | 1 in 12 | $20.00 | 0.4% | 6 | 4.1 | 1.47× | | [CMOS Battery other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cmos-battery) | 10.0% | $6.20 | 0.2% | 4 | 4.8 | 0.83× | | [Thermal Paste other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thermal-paste) | 10.0% | $3.00 | 0.1% | 10 | 4.8 | 2.08× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [ASUS TUF Gaming GeForce RTX™ 4090 OG OC Edition Gaming Graphics Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-tuf-gaming-geforce-rtx-4090-og-oc-edition-gaming-graphics-card) Hidden $456 $2,010 4.41x 2026-11-10 08:34 UTC [ASUS TUF Gaming GeForce RTX™ 4090 OG OC Edition Gaming Graphics Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-tuf-gaming-geforce-rtx-4090-og-oc-edition-gaming-graphics-card) Hidden $456 $2,010 4.41x 2026-11-05 15:34 UTC [NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4080 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nvidia-geforce-rtx-4080) Hidden $456 $1,760 3.86x 2026-11-05 22:48 UTC [CORSAIR VENGEANCE RGB DDR5 RAM 64GB (2x32GB) 6400MHz other](https://gambatracker.com/items/corsair-vengeance-rgb-ddr5-ram-64gb-2x32gb-6400mhz) Hidden $456 $1,500 3.29x 2026-11-05 22:48 UTC [CORSAIR VENGEANCE RGB DDR5 RAM 64GB (2x32GB) 6400MHz other](https://gambatracker.com/items/corsair-vengeance-rgb-ddr5-ram-64gb-2x32gb-6400mhz) Hidden $456 $1,500 3.29x 2026-11-03 12:00 UTC [CyberPowerPC Gamer Xtreme VR Gaming PC, Intel Core i7-13700F 2.1GHz, GeForce RTX 4060 Ti 16GB, 16GB DDR5, 1TB NVMe SSD other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cyberpowerpc-gamer-xtreme-vr-gaming-pc-intel-core-i7-13700f-2-1ghz-geforce-rtx-4060-ti-16gb-16gb-ddr5-1tb-nvme-ssd) Hidden $456 $1,430 3.13x 2026-11-08 11:40 UTC [MSI GeForce RTX 4070 Ti Super other](https://gambatracker.com/items/msi-geforce-rtx-4070-ti-super) Hidden $456 $900 1.97x 2026-11-05 22:48 UTC [AMD Ryzen™ 9 7900X3D other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amd-ryzen-9-7900x3d) Hidden $456 $720 1.58x 2026-11-10 08:34 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=pc) [AMD Ryzen™ 9 7900X3D other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amd-ryzen-9-7900x3d) Hidden $456 $720 1.58x 2026-11-10 08:34 UTC [HyperX Fury S - Pro Gaming Mouse Pad other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hyperx-fury-s-pro-gaming-mouse-pad) Hidden $456 $20.00 0.04x 2026-11-10 08:34 UTC [Logitech G305 LIGHTSPEED Wireless Gaming Mouse other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g305-lightspeed-wireless-gaming-mouse) Hidden $456 $32.99 0.07x 2026-11-10 08:34 UTC [Logitech G213 Prodigy Gaming Keyboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g213-prodigy-gaming-keyboard) Hidden $456 $75.00 0.16x 2026-11-10 08:34 UTC [HyperX Fury S - Pro Gaming Mouse Pad other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hyperx-fury-s-pro-gaming-mouse-pad) Hidden $456 $20.00 0.04x 2026-11-10 08:34 UTC [Thermal Paste other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thermal-paste) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $456 $3.00 0.01x 2026-11-10 08:34 UTC [CORSAIR RM850x Fully Modular ATX Power Supply other](https://gambatracker.com/items/corsair-rm850x-fully-modular-atx-power-supply) Hidden $456 $175 0.38x 2026-11-10 08:34 UTC [Crucial P3 Plus 2TB PCIe Gen4 3D NAND NVMe M.2 SSD other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crucial-p3-plus-2tb-pcie-gen4-3d-nand-nvme-m-2-ssd) Hidden $456 $400 0.88x 2026-11-10 08:34 UTC [ASUS TUF Gaming GeForce RTX™ 4090 OG OC Edition Gaming Graphics Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-tuf-gaming-geforce-rtx-4090-og-oc-edition-gaming-graphics-card) Hidden $456 $2,010 4.41x 2026-11-10 08:34 UTC [CORSAIR 4000D AIRFLOW Tempered Glass Mid-Tower ATX Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/corsair-4000d-airflow-tempered-glass-mid-tower-atx-case) Hidden $456 $190 0.42x 2026-11-10 08:34 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $456 | 89.50% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $2,010 (4.41x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt