--- title: "Penny Pincher case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Penny Pincher ($1.22) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.79% from 9 items with odds, observed 80.82% over 3,679 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/penny-pincher rendered: 2026-11-12T01:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Penny Pincher](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/penny-pincher) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Penny Pincher A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/penny-pincher?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/penny-pincher?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/penny-pincher) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/penny-pincher?window=all) Price · $1.22 Advertised RTP · 88.79% · EV $1.08 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 80.82% · 3,679 openings, odds method Variance · 18.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 79.20% ±37.97 504 openings 7 days · 83.70% ±16.36 2,714 openings 30 days · 80.82% ±14.05 3,679 openings since tracking started · 80.82% ±14.05 3,679 openings 40.5% 79.3% 118.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/penny-pincher?window=24h) | 504 | 79.20% ±38.0 | −0.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/penny-pincher?window=7d) | 2,714 | 83.70% ±16.4 | −0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/penny-pincher) | 3,679 | 80.82% ±14.1 | −1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/penny-pincher?window=all) | 3,679 | 80.82% ±14.1 | −1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,679 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Shopping Cart other](https://gambatracker.com/items/shopping-cart) | 1 in 400 | $80.00 | 18.5% | 5 | 9.2 | 0.54× | | [Applebee's Gift Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/applebees-gift-card) | 1 in 133 | $25.00 | 17.3% | 29 | 27.6 | 1.05× | | [Apple EarPods Headphones with 3.5mm Plug other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-earpods-headphones-with-3-5mm-plug) | 1 in 100 | $18.99 | 17.5% | 36 | 36.8 | 0.98× | | [Casio MQ24 Series other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-mq24-series) | 1 in 100 | $14.99 | 13.8% | 33 | 36.8 | 0.90× | | [Wired Headphones other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wired-headphones) | 1 in 100 | $12.99 | 12.0% | 46 | 36.8 | 1.25× | | [Kraft Deluxe Original Mac & Cheese Macaroni and Cheese Dinner Microwavable Dinner, 8 ct Box, 2.39 oz Cups other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kraft-deluxe-original-mac-and-cheese-macaroni-and-cheese-dinner-microwavable-dinner-8-ct-box-2-39-oz-cups) | 1 in 100 | $10.00 | 9.2% | 24 | 36.8 | 0.65× | | [United States Dollar Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-dollar-coin) | 10.0% | $1.00 | 9.2% | 388 | 367.9 | 1.05× | | [Empty Toilet Paper Roll other](https://gambatracker.com/items/empty-toilet-paper-roll) | 35.0% | $0.06 | 1.9% | 1,353 | 1287.6 | 1.05× | | [United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) | 50.0% | $0.01 | 0.5% | 1,765 | 1839.5 | 0.96× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Shopping Cart other](https://gambatracker.com/items/shopping-cart) Hidden $1.22 $80.00 65.57x 2026-11-08 20:30 UTC [Shopping Cart other](https://gambatracker.com/items/shopping-cart) Hidden $1.22 $80.00 65.57x 2026-11-06 15:32 UTC [Shopping Cart other](https://gambatracker.com/items/shopping-cart) Hidden $1.22 $80.00 65.57x 2026-11-06 13:15 UTC [Shopping Cart other](https://gambatracker.com/items/shopping-cart) Hidden $1.22 $80.00 65.57x 2026-11-06 03:32 UTC [Shopping Cart other](https://gambatracker.com/items/shopping-cart) Hidden $1.22 $80.00 65.57x 2026-11-04 16:47 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=penny-pincher) [Empty Toilet Paper Roll other](https://gambatracker.com/items/empty-toilet-paper-roll) Hidden $1.22 $0.06 0.05x 2026-11-11 22:36 UTC [United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $1.22 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:36 UTC [United States Dollar Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-dollar-coin) Hidden $1.22 $1.00 0.82x 2026-11-11 22:36 UTC [United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) [SarahwiththeDgn\_code](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/SarahwiththeDgn_code) $1.22 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:36 UTC [Empty Toilet Paper Roll other](https://gambatracker.com/items/empty-toilet-paper-roll) Hidden $1.22 $0.06 0.05x 2026-11-11 22:36 UTC [United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $1.22 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:36 UTC [United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $1.22 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:36 UTC [United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) [SarahwiththeDgn\_code](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/SarahwiththeDgn_code) $1.22 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:36 UTC [United States Dollar Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-dollar-coin) Hidden $1.22 $1.00 0.82x 2026-11-11 22:36 UTC [Empty Toilet Paper Roll other](https://gambatracker.com/items/empty-toilet-paper-roll) Hidden $1.22 $0.06 0.05x 2026-11-11 22:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.22 | 88.79% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $80.00 (65.57x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.79 on average: an expected loss of $11.21 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt