--- title: "Penthouse Case case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Penthouse Case ($44.45) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.48% from 10 items with odds, observed 144.06% over 206 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/penthouse-case rendered: 2026-11-11T17:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Penthouse Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/penthouse-case) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Penthouse Case A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/penthouse-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/penthouse-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/penthouse-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/penthouse-case?window=all) Price · $44.45 Advertised RTP · 89.48% · EV $39.77 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 144.06% · 206 openings, odds method Variance · 12.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 155 openings · below min 7 days · 144.06% ±48.20 206 openings 30 days · 144.06% ±48.20 206 openings since tracking started · 144.06% ±48.20 206 openings 78.5% 135.8% 193.0% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 89.48% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (95.86% – 192.25%, 206 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/penthouse-case?window=24h) | 155 | 134.64% ±55.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/penthouse-case?window=7d) | 206 | 144.06% ±48.2 | +2.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/penthouse-case) | 206 | 144.06% ±48.2 | +2.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/penthouse-case?window=all) | 206 | 144.06% ±48.2 | +2.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 206 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [iPad Pro, 13-inch, Space Black, 2TB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ipad-pro-13-inch-space-black-2tb) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,800 | 7.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [Château Margaux 2010 (750ml) (Fake) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chateau-margaux-2010-750ml-fake) | 1 in 500 | $1,600 | 8.0% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [KitchenAid - Front Control Built-In Dishwasher with Stainless Steel Tub other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kitchenaid-front-control-built-in-dishwasher-with-stainless-steel-tub) | 1 in 500 | $1,200 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Breville BES870XL Espresso Machine other](https://gambatracker.com/items/breville-bes870xl-espresso-machine) | 1 in 100 | $825 | 20.7% | 5 | 2.1 | 2.43× | | [JBL Professional 305P MkII 5-Inch 2-Way Powered, Active Monitor Speakers for Near Field Music Production other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jbl-professional-305p-mkii-5-inch-2-way-powered-active-monitor-speakers-for-near-field-music-production) | 1 in 67 | $360 | 13.6% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.65× | | [15 Piece High Carbon Stainless Steel Knife Block Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/15-piece-high-carbon-stainless-steel-knife-block-set) | 1 in 50 | $225 | 11.3% | 5 | 4.1 | 1.21× | | [BELLA XL Electric Ceramic Titanium Griddle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bella-xl-electric-ceramic-titanium-griddle) | 10.0% | $64.00 | 16.1% | 20 | 20.6 | 0.97× | | [Living Room Rug other](https://gambatracker.com/items/living-room-rug) | 10.0% | $40.00 | 10.1% | 25 | 20.6 | 1.21× | | [Crypto Millionaire Loading... Ceramic Coffee Mug other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crypto-millionaire-loading-ceramic-coffee-mug) | 35.0% | $8.00 | 7.0% | 67 | 72.1 | 0.93× | | [Empty Toilet Paper Roll other](https://gambatracker.com/items/empty-toilet-paper-roll) | 40.0% | $0.06 | 0.1% | 80 | 82.4 | 0.97× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [iPad Pro, 13-inch, Space Black, 2TB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ipad-pro-13-inch-space-black-2tb) Hidden $44.45 $2,800 62.99x 2026-11-10 06:21 UTC [Château Margaux 2010 (750ml) (Fake) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chateau-margaux-2010-750ml-fake) Hidden $44.45 $1,600 36.00x 2026-11-11 04:41 UTC [Breville BES870XL Espresso Machine other](https://gambatracker.com/items/breville-bes870xl-espresso-machine) Hidden $44.45 $825 18.56x 2026-11-11 07:06 UTC [Breville BES870XL Espresso Machine other](https://gambatracker.com/items/breville-bes870xl-espresso-machine) Hidden $44.45 $825 18.56x 2026-11-11 04:43 UTC [Breville BES870XL Espresso Machine other](https://gambatracker.com/items/breville-bes870xl-espresso-machine) Hidden $44.45 $825 18.56x 2026-11-11 04:42 UTC [Breville BES870XL Espresso Machine other](https://gambatracker.com/items/breville-bes870xl-espresso-machine) Hidden $44.45 $825 18.56x 2026-11-11 04:40 UTC [Breville BES870XL Espresso Machine other](https://gambatracker.com/items/breville-bes870xl-espresso-machine) [Ncthcfoodie code DGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Ncthcfoodie%20code%20DGN) $44.45 $825 18.56x 2026-11-11 04:34 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=penthouse-case) [Empty Toilet Paper Roll other](https://gambatracker.com/items/empty-toilet-paper-roll) Hidden $44.45 $0.06 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [Empty Toilet Paper Roll other](https://gambatracker.com/items/empty-toilet-paper-roll) Hidden $44.45 $0.06 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [Crypto Millionaire Loading... Ceramic Coffee Mug other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crypto-millionaire-loading-ceramic-coffee-mug) Hidden $44.45 $8.00 0.18x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [BELLA XL Electric Ceramic Titanium Griddle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bella-xl-electric-ceramic-titanium-griddle) Hidden $44.45 $64.00 1.44x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [Crypto Millionaire Loading... Ceramic Coffee Mug other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crypto-millionaire-loading-ceramic-coffee-mug) Hidden $44.45 $8.00 0.18x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [Crypto Millionaire Loading... Ceramic Coffee Mug other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crypto-millionaire-loading-ceramic-coffee-mug) [Trecky](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Trecky) $44.45 $8.00 0.18x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [Crypto Millionaire Loading... Ceramic Coffee Mug other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crypto-millionaire-loading-ceramic-coffee-mug) Hidden $44.45 $8.00 0.18x 2026-11-11 08:27 UTC [Crypto Millionaire Loading... Ceramic Coffee Mug other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crypto-millionaire-loading-ceramic-coffee-mug) Hidden $44.45 $8.00 0.18x 2026-11-11 08:27 UTC [Crypto Millionaire Loading... Ceramic Coffee Mug other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crypto-millionaire-loading-ceramic-coffee-mug) [Vaniooo](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Vaniooo) $44.45 $8.00 0.18x 2026-11-11 08:27 UTC [Living Room Rug other](https://gambatracker.com/items/living-room-rug) Hidden $44.45 $40.00 0.90x 2026-11-11 07:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 17:50 UTC | $44.45 | 89.48% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $2,800 (62.99x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.48 on average: an expected loss of $10.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt