--- title: "Phone Expert case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Phone Expert ($89.96) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 52.08% over 154 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/phone-expert rendered: 2026-11-11T18:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Phone Expert](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/phone-expert) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Phone Expert A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/phone-expert?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/phone-expert?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/phone-expert) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/phone-expert?window=all) Price · $89.96 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $80.51 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 52.08% · 154 openings, odds method Variance · 5.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 21 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 83.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 10 openings · below min 7 days · 52.08% ±37.02 154 openings 30 days · 52.08% ±37.02 154 openings since tracking started · 52.08% ±37.02 154 openings -0.5% 77.0% 154.5% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 89.49% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (15.06% – 89.11%, 154 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/phone-expert?window=24h) | 10 | 8.37% ±145.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/phone-expert?window=7d) | 154 | 52.08% ±37.0 | −2.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/phone-expert) | 154 | 52.08% ±37.0 | −2.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/phone-expert?window=all) | 154 | 52.08% ±37.0 | −2.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 154 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [OnePlus Open, 16GB RAM+512GB, Dual-SIM, Voyager Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/oneplus-open-16gb-ram-512gb-dual-sim-voyager-black) | 1 in 333 | $1,570 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [ASUS ROG Phone 8 Pro other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-rog-phone-8-pro) | 1 in 222 | $1,320 | 7.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Honor Magic6 Pro Dual SIM 512GB ROM + 12GB RAM other](https://gambatracker.com/items/honor-magic6-pro-dual-sim-512gb-rom-12gb-ram) | 1 in 154 | $1,080 | 8.7% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× | | [OnePlus 12,16GB RAM+512GB,Dual-SIM other](https://gambatracker.com/items/oneplus-12-16gb-ram-512gb-dual-sim) | 1 in 133 | $980 | 9.1% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.73× | | [Google Pixel 8 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/google-pixel-8) | 1 in 125 | $860 | 8.5% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [OnePlus 12R other](https://gambatracker.com/items/oneplus-12r) | 1 in 111 | $660 | 7.4% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [Honor 90 Dual-SIM 512GB ROM + 12GB RAM other](https://gambatracker.com/items/honor-90-dual-sim-512gb-rom-12gb-ram) | 1 in 100 | $480 | 6.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.65× | | [Xiaomi Redmi Note 13 PRO 5G + 4G LTE (256GB + 8GB) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xiaomi-redmi-note-13-pro-5g-4g-lte-256gb-8gb) | 1 in 67 | $365 | 6.8% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.43× | | [OnePlus 10T 8+128GB 5G other](https://gambatracker.com/items/oneplus-10t-8-128gb-5g) | 1 in 50 | $324 | 8.0% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.65× | | [Xiaomi Poco M6 Pro other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xiaomi-poco-m6-pro) | 1 in 33 | $275 | 10.2% | 3 | 4.6 | 0.65× | | [Samsung Galaxy A15 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-galaxy-a15) | 1 in 20 | $215 | 13.4% | 4 | 7.7 | 0.52× | | [PopSocket Phone Wallet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/popsocket-phone-wallet) | 10.2% | $25.00 | 3.2% | 12 | 15.6 | 0.77× | | [Powerbank other](https://gambatracker.com/items/powerbank) | 10.0% | $14.00 | 1.7% | 18 | 15.4 | 1.17× | | [Wired Headphones other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wired-headphones) | 11.0% | $12.99 | 1.8% | 17 | 16.9 | 1.00× | | [2 Pack USB C Charger Block other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2-pack-usb-c-charger-block) | 12.5% | $6.00 | 0.9% | 19 | 19.3 | 0.99× | | [USB-C Cable other](https://gambatracker.com/items/usb-c-cable) | 12.5% | $5.00 | 0.8% | 15 | 19.3 | 0.78× | | [Micro SD Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/micro-sd-card) | 12.5% | $1.00 | 0.2% | 26 | 19.3 | 1.35× | | [Popsocket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/popsocket) | 15.0% | $0.30 | 0.1% | 33 | 23.1 | 1.43× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Honor Magic6 Pro Dual SIM 512GB ROM + 12GB RAM other](https://gambatracker.com/items/honor-magic6-pro-dual-sim-512gb-rom-12gb-ram) Hidden $89.96 $1,080 12.01x 2026-11-10 06:34 UTC [OnePlus 12,16GB RAM+512GB,Dual-SIM other](https://gambatracker.com/items/oneplus-12-16gb-ram-512gb-dual-sim) Hidden $89.96 $980 10.89x 2026-11-10 06:34 UTC [OnePlus 12,16GB RAM+512GB,Dual-SIM other](https://gambatracker.com/items/oneplus-12-16gb-ram-512gb-dual-sim) Hidden $89.96 $980 10.89x 2026-11-06 19:31 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=phone-expert) [Micro SD Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/micro-sd-card) Hidden $89.96 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:59 UTC [Wired Headphones other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wired-headphones) Hidden $89.96 $12.99 0.14x 2026-11-11 08:59 UTC [Powerbank other](https://gambatracker.com/items/powerbank) Hidden $89.96 $14.00 0.16x 2026-11-11 08:59 UTC [Popsocket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/popsocket) Hidden $89.96 $0.30 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:59 UTC [Wired Headphones other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wired-headphones) Hidden $89.96 $12.99 0.14x 2026-11-11 08:59 UTC [Micro SD Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/micro-sd-card) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $89.96 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:59 UTC [Powerbank other](https://gambatracker.com/items/powerbank) Hidden $89.96 $14.00 0.16x 2026-11-11 07:01 UTC [USB-C Cable other](https://gambatracker.com/items/usb-c-cable) Hidden $89.96 $5.00 0.06x 2026-11-11 07:01 UTC [Wired Headphones other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wired-headphones) Hidden $89.96 $12.99 0.14x 2026-11-11 07:01 UTC [Micro SD Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/micro-sd-card) [Friendly Chipmunk](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Friendly%20Chipmunk) $89.96 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 07:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $89.96 | 89.49% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $1,080 (12.01x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt