--- title: "Pikachu Power Pack case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Pikachu Power Pack ($44.33) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 85.37% over 487 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pikachu-power-pack rendered: 2026-11-11T19:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Pikachu Power Pack](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pikachu-power-pack) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Pikachu Power Pack A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pikachu-power-pack?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pikachu-power-pack?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pikachu-power-pack) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pikachu-power-pack?window=all) Price · $44.33 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $39.67 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.37% · 487 openings, odds method Variance · 19.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 57 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 72 openings · below min 7 days · 98.13% ±44.93 365 openings 30 days · 85.37% ±38.90 487 openings since tracking started · 85.37% ±38.90 487 openings -0.5% 90.3% 181.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pikachu-power-pack?window=24h) | 72 | 79.10% ±101.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pikachu-power-pack?window=7d) | 365 | 98.13% ±44.9 | +0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pikachu-power-pack) | 487 | 85.37% ±38.9 | −0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pikachu-power-pack?window=all) | 487 | 85.37% ±38.9 | −0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 487 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Pikachu (SM-P 288) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-sm-p-288) | 1 in 133 | $2,090 | 39.5% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.10× | | [Yokohama's Pikachu (SM-P 280) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yokohamas-pikachu-sm-p-280) | 1 in 100 | $500 | 12.6% | 2 | 4.9 | 0.41× | | [Pikachu Gold Star (HP 104) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-gold-star-hp-104) | 1 in 100 | $425 | 10.7% | 5 | 4.9 | 1.03× | | [Hakama Pikachu (SM-P 208) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hakama-pikachu-sm-p-208) | 1 in 100 | $423 | 10.7% | 5 | 4.9 | 1.03× | | [Gentleman Pikachu (SM-P 210) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gentleman-pikachu-sm-p-210) | 1 in 40 | $85.00 | 5.4% | 6 | 12.2 | 0.49× | | [Detective Pikachu: Charizard GX Case File other](https://gambatracker.com/items/detective-pikachu-charizard-gx-case-file) | 1 in 33 | $50.00 | 3.8% | 15 | 14.6 | 1.03× | | [Rescue Team DX's Pikachu (S-P 36) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rescue-team-dxs-pikachu-s-p-36) | 1 in 33 | $45.00 | 3.4% | 13 | 14.6 | 0.89× | | [Pokémon 12" Large Pikachu Plush other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pokemon-12-large-pikachu-plush) | 1 in 33 | $30.00 | 2.3% | 18 | 14.6 | 1.23× | | [Detective Pikachu (SM 170) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/detective-pikachu-sm-170) | 1 in 33 | $22.70 | 1.7% | 16 | 14.6 | 1.10× | | [Shibuya's Pikachu (S-P 2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/shibuyas-pikachu-s-p-2) | 1 in 20 | $19.00 | 2.4% | 26 | 24.4 | 1.07× | | [Pikachu (CEC 241) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-cec-241) | 1 in 20 | $16.00 | 2.0% | 33 | 24.4 | 1.36× | | [Pikachu EX (XYPR 124) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-ex-xypr-124) | 1 in 20 | $13.00 | 1.6% | 25 | 24.4 | 1.03× | | [Pikachu (SWSH 020) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-swsh-020) | 1 in 13 | $8.00 | 1.5% | 35 | 36.5 | 0.96× | | [Surfing Pikachu (WP 28) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/surfing-pikachu-wp-28) | 1 in 13 | $7.00 | 1.3% | 35 | 36.5 | 0.96× | | [Ash's Pikachu (SM 108) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ashs-pikachu-sm-108) | 10.0% | $2.25 | 0.6% | 62 | 48.7 | 1.27× | | [Detective Pikachu (SM 190) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/detective-pikachu-sm-190) | 10.0% | $2.00 | 0.5% | 33 | 48.7 | 0.68× | | [Pikachu (JU 60) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-ju-60) | 15.0% | $0.03 | 0.0% | 69 | 73.0 | 0.94× | | [Pikachu (BS 58) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-bs-58) | 16.8% | $0.02 | 0.0% | 85 | 81.6 | 1.04× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Pikachu (SM-P 288) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-sm-p-288) Hidden $44.33 $2,090 47.15x 2026-11-07 19:34 UTC [Pikachu (SM-P 288) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-sm-p-288) Hidden $44.33 $2,090 47.15x 2026-11-06 20:47 UTC [Pikachu (SM-P 288) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-sm-p-288) Hidden $44.33 $2,090 47.15x 2026-11-06 07:09 UTC [Pikachu (SM-P 288) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-sm-p-288) Hidden $44.33 $2,090 47.15x 2026-11-05 23:36 UTC [Yokohama's Pikachu (SM-P 280) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yokohamas-pikachu-sm-p-280) [Axio](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Axio) $44.33 $500 11.28x 2026-11-03 02:30 UTC [Yokohama's Pikachu (SM-P 280) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yokohamas-pikachu-sm-p-280) Hidden $44.33 $500 11.28x 2026-11-02 23:04 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=pikachu-power-pack) [Pikachu (CEC 241) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-cec-241) Hidden $44.33 $16.00 0.36x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [Pikachu (BS 58) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-bs-58) Hidden $44.33 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [Surfing Pikachu (WP 28) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/surfing-pikachu-wp-28) Hidden $44.33 $7.00 0.16x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [Ash's Pikachu (SM 108) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ashs-pikachu-sm-108) Hidden $44.33 $2.25 0.05x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [Pikachu (JU 60) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-ju-60) Hidden $44.33 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [Pikachu (SWSH 020) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-swsh-020) [Trecky](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Trecky) $44.33 $8.00 0.18x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [Rescue Team DX's Pikachu (S-P 36) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rescue-team-dxs-pikachu-s-p-36) Hidden $44.33 $45.00 1.02x 2026-11-11 07:05 UTC [Pikachu (JU 60) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-ju-60) Hidden $44.33 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-11 07:05 UTC [Pikachu (CEC 241) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-cec-241) Hidden $44.33 $16.00 0.36x 2026-11-11 07:05 UTC [Pikachu (BS 58) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-bs-58) Hidden $44.33 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 07:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $44.33 | 89.49% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $2,090 (47.15x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt