---
title: "pirate-token case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "pirate-token ($0.29) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 96.49% over 628 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pirate-token
rendered: 2026-11-13T04:00Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [pirate-token](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pirate-token)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · pirate-token

A box on Cases.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pirate-token?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pirate-token?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pirate-token) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pirate-token?window=all)

Price · $0.29

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 96.49% · 628 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 426 openings · below min

30 days · 628 openings · below min

since tracking started · 628 openings · below min

2.0% 101.3% 200.5%

**Small sample.** 628 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pirate-token?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pirate-token?window=7d) | 426 | 101.21% ±98.5 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pirate-token) | 628 | 96.49% ±70.9 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pirate-token?window=all) | 628 | 96.49% ±70.9 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · none published

**No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Shrouded Fable: Mini Tin Display other](https://gambatracker.com/items/shrouded-fable-mini-tin-display) Hidden $0.29 $60.00 206.9x 2026-11-07 06:31 UTC

[YU NAGABA × Pokémon Card Game Eeveelution Promo Pack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yu-nagaba-pokemon-card-game-eeveelution-promo-pack) Hidden $0.29 $20.00 68.97x 2026-11-05 20:52 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=pirate-token)

[Crown Zenith Dice Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crown-zenith-dice-set) Hidden $0.29 $0.02 0.07x 2026-11-07 11:02 UTC

[Crown Zenith Dice Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crown-zenith-dice-set) Hidden $0.29 $0.02 0.07x 2026-11-07 11:02 UTC

[Crown Zenith Dice Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crown-zenith-dice-set) Hidden $0.29 $0.02 0.07x 2026-11-07 11:02 UTC

[10 Ultimate Guard Dividers (White) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-ultimate-guard-dividers-white) Hidden $0.29 $1.49 5.14x 2026-11-07 11:02 UTC

[Crown Zenith Dice Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crown-zenith-dice-set) Hidden $0.29 $0.02 0.07x 2026-11-07 11:02 UTC

[Pokemon Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pokemon-cards) [WhipMasterSolo](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/WhipMasterSolo) $0.29 $3.00 10.34x 2026-11-07 11:02 UTC

[Crown Zenith Dice Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crown-zenith-dice-set) Hidden $0.29 $0.02 0.07x 2026-11-07 11:02 UTC

[Crown Zenith Dice Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crown-zenith-dice-set) Hidden $0.29 $0.02 0.07x 2026-11-07 11:02 UTC

[Pokemon Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pokemon-cards) Hidden $0.29 $3.00 10.34x 2026-11-07 11:02 UTC

[Crown Zenith Dice Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crown-zenith-dice-set) Hidden $0.29 $0.02 0.07x 2026-11-07 11:02 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $60.00 (206.9x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 96.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $96.49 on average: an expected loss of $3.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
