--- title: "Play Time case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Play Time ($9.89) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 68.45% over 366 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/play-time rendered: 2026-11-11T16:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Play Time](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/play-time) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Play Time A box on Cases.gg (Steam), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/play-time?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/play-time?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/play-time) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/play-time?window=all) Price · $9.89 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $8.85 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 68.45% · 366 openings, odds method Variance · 3.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 28 openings · below min 7 days · 65.51% ±19.97 292 openings 30 days · 68.45% ±17.84 366 openings since tracking started · 68.45% ±17.84 366 openings 38.5% 103.8% 169.0% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 89.49% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (50.61% – 86.30%, 366 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/play-time?window=24h) | 28 | 103.77% ±64.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/play-time?window=7d) | 292 | 65.51% ±20.0 | −2.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/play-time) | 366 | 68.45% ±17.8 | −2.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/play-time?window=all) | 366 | 68.45% ±17.8 | −2.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 366 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [EA SPORTS FC 24 Ultimate - Steam PC \[Online Game Code\] other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-24-ultimate-steam-pc-online-game-code) | 1 in 1,000 | $130 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [EA SPORTS College Football 25 - PlayStation 5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-college-football-25-playstation-5) | 1 in 200 | $87.00 | 4.9% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× | | [Playstation PS5 Marvel Spider-Man Miles Morales Ultimate Edition Video Ga other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-ps5-marvel-spider-man-miles-morales-ultimate-edition-video-ga) | 1 in 500 | $80.00 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - US Version other](https://gambatracker.com/items/super-smash-bros-ultimate-us-version) | 1 in 143 | $75.00 | 5.9% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.17× | | [Pokémon Legends: Arceus - US Version other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pokemon-legends-arceus-us-version) | 1 in 100 | $64.00 | 7.2% | 1 | 3.7 | 0.27× | | [Minecraft Dungeons Ultimate Edition - Nintendo Switch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/minecraft-dungeons-ultimate-edition-nintendo-switch) | 1 in 80 | $60.00 | 8.5% | 2 | 4.6 | 0.44× | | [God of War Standard - PC \[Online Game Code\] other](https://gambatracker.com/items/god-of-war-standard-pc-online-game-code) | 1 in 80 | $55.00 | 7.8% | 5 | 4.6 | 1.09× | | [Horizon Zero Dawn Complete Edition - PC \[Online Game Code\] other](https://gambatracker.com/items/horizon-zero-dawn-complete-edition-pc-online-game-code) | 1 in 80 | $54.99 | 7.8% | 2 | 4.6 | 0.44× | | [THE LAST OF US PART I - DELUXE EDITION - PC \[Online Game Code\] other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-last-of-us-part-i-deluxe-edition-pc-online-game-code) | 1 in 500 | $50.00 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Just Cause 4: Reloaded - Steam PC \[Online Game Code\] other](https://gambatracker.com/items/just-cause-4-reloaded-steam-pc-online-game-code) | 1 in 80 | $48.00 | 6.8% | 5 | 4.6 | 1.09× | | [Minecraft: Switch Edition - Nintendo Switch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/minecraft-switch-edition-nintendo-switch) | 1 in 67 | $32.99 | 5.6% | 3 | 5.5 | 0.55× | | [Stray for PlayStation 5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stray-for-playstation-5) | 1 in 67 | $28.00 | 4.7% | 5 | 5.5 | 0.91× | | [Red Dead Redemption 2 - PC \[Online Game Code\] other](https://gambatracker.com/items/red-dead-redemption-2-pc-online-game-code) | 1 in 50 | $26.00 | 5.9% | 5 | 7.3 | 0.68× | | [Mortal Kombat Arcade Kollection - Steam PC \[Online Game Code\] other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mortal-kombat-arcade-kollection-steam-pc-online-game-code) | 1 in 40 | $22.00 | 6.2% | 13 | 9.2 | 1.42× | | [Sonic Frontiers - PlayStation 5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sonic-frontiers-playstation-5) | 1 in 50 | $19.99 | 4.5% | 3 | 7.3 | 0.41× | | [The Outer Worlds: Standard - Steam PC other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-outer-worlds-standard-steam-pc) | 1 in 40 | $15.00 | 4.2% | 8 | 9.2 | 0.87× | | [Battlefield Hardline - PC other](https://gambatracker.com/items/battlefield-hardline-pc) | 1 in 19 | $8.99 | 5.4% | 24 | 19.4 | 1.24× | | [Fallout 76 (PC) - Microsoft Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fallout-76-pc-microsoft-key-global) | 75.0% | $1.20 | 10.2% | 286 | 274.5 | 1.04× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=play-time) [Stray for PlayStation 5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stray-for-playstation-5) Hidden $9.89 $28.00 2.83x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC [Battlefield Hardline - PC other](https://gambatracker.com/items/battlefield-hardline-pc) [Graceful Dragon](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Graceful%20Dragon) $9.89 $8.99 0.91x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC [Fallout 76 (PC) - Microsoft Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fallout-76-pc-microsoft-key-global) Hidden $9.89 $1.20 0.12x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC [Fallout 76 (PC) - Microsoft Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fallout-76-pc-microsoft-key-global) Hidden $9.89 $1.20 0.12x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC [Fallout 76 (PC) - Microsoft Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fallout-76-pc-microsoft-key-global) Hidden $9.89 $1.20 0.12x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC [Fallout 76 (PC) - Microsoft Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fallout-76-pc-microsoft-key-global) Hidden $9.89 $1.20 0.12x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC [Fallout 76 (PC) - Microsoft Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fallout-76-pc-microsoft-key-global) Hidden $9.89 $1.20 0.12x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC [Fallout 76 (PC) - Microsoft Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fallout-76-pc-microsoft-key-global) [J4xX](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/J4xX) $9.89 $1.20 0.12x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC [Fallout 76 (PC) - Microsoft Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fallout-76-pc-microsoft-key-global) Hidden $9.89 $1.20 0.12x 2026-11-11 08:13 UTC [Battlefield Hardline - PC other](https://gambatracker.com/items/battlefield-hardline-pc) Hidden $9.89 $8.99 0.91x 2026-11-11 08:13 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $9.89 | 89.49% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt