--- title: "Playhouse case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Playhouse ($35.85) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.48% from 13 items with odds, observed 82.44% over 137 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/playhouse rendered: 2026-11-12T09:06Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Playhouse](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/playhouse) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Playhouse A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/playhouse?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/playhouse?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/playhouse) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/playhouse?window=all) Price · $35.85 Advertised RTP · 89.48% · EV $32.08 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.44% · 137 openings, odds method Variance · 2.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 3 openings · below min 7 days · 81.19% ±26.75 131 openings 30 days · 82.44% ±26.16 137 openings since tracking started · 82.44% ±26.16 137 openings -0.5% 114.3% 229.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/playhouse?window=24h) | 3 | 51.51% ±176.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/playhouse?window=7d) | 131 | 81.19% ±26.7 | −0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/playhouse) | 137 | 82.44% ±26.2 | −0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/playhouse?window=all) | 137 | 82.44% ±26.2 | −0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 137 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Delta Children Lightning McQueen Bed other](https://gambatracker.com/items/delta-children-lightning-mcqueen-bed) | 1 in 100 | $550 | 17.1% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.73× | | [KRIDDO Toddler Balance Bike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kriddo-toddler-balance-bike) | 1 in 33 | $90.00 | 8.4% | 5 | 4.1 | 1.22× | | [Black+Decker Kids Workbench - Power Tools Workshop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/black-decker-kids-workbench-power-tools-workshop) | 1 in 33 | $80.00 | 7.5% | 2 | 4.1 | 0.49× | | [Lakeshore Build-It-Yourself Woodworking Kit other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lakeshore-build-it-yourself-woodworking-kit) | 1 in 33 | $70.00 | 6.5% | 3 | 4.1 | 0.73× | | [HOLYFUN Kids Kitchen Playset other](https://gambatracker.com/items/holyfun-kids-kitchen-playset) | 1 in 20 | $53.00 | 8.3% | 9 | 6.9 | 1.31× | | [LeapFrog Scoop and Learn Ice Cream Cart other](https://gambatracker.com/items/leapfrog-scoop-and-learn-ice-cream-cart) | 1 in 20 | $50.00 | 7.8% | 6 | 6.9 | 0.88× | | [Calculator Cash Register Toy for Kids other](https://gambatracker.com/items/calculator-cash-register-toy-for-kids) | 1 in 13 | $30.00 | 7.0% | 7 | 10.3 | 0.68× | | [LeapFrog My Own Laptop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/leapfrog-my-own-laptop) | 1 in 13 | $25.00 | 5.8% | 11 | 10.3 | 1.07× | | [Casdon Dyson Cordless Vacuum Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casdon-dyson-cordless-vacuum-toy) | 10.0% | $23.00 | 7.2% | 13 | 13.7 | 0.95× | | [KidKraft 27-Piece Pastel Cookware Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kidkraft-27-piece-pastel-cookware-set) | 10.0% | $20.00 | 6.2% | 20 | 13.7 | 1.46× | | [Bluey The Shopping Trolley other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bluey-the-shopping-trolley) | 12.5% | $20.00 | 7.8% | 12 | 17.1 | 0.70× | | [Fisher-Price Preschool Pretend Play Medical Kit other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fisher-price-preschool-pretend-play-medical-kit) | 15.0% | $12.70 | 5.9% | 20 | 20.6 | 0.97× | | [Hape Wooden Doll House Furniture Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hape-wooden-doll-house-furniture-set) | 17.5% | $8.00 | 4.4% | 28 | 24.0 | 1.17× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Delta Children Lightning McQueen Bed other](https://gambatracker.com/items/delta-children-lightning-mcqueen-bed) Hidden $35.85 $550 15.34x 2026-11-06 00:21 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=playhouse) [Fisher-Price Preschool Pretend Play Medical Kit other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fisher-price-preschool-pretend-play-medical-kit) Hidden $35.85 $12.70 0.35x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [Calculator Cash Register Toy for Kids other](https://gambatracker.com/items/calculator-cash-register-toy-for-kids) Hidden $35.85 $30.00 0.84x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [Fisher-Price Preschool Pretend Play Medical Kit other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fisher-price-preschool-pretend-play-medical-kit) [rekack](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/rekack) $35.85 $12.70 0.35x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [Hape Wooden Doll House Furniture Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hape-wooden-doll-house-furniture-set) Hidden $35.85 $8.00 0.22x 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC [Casdon Dyson Cordless Vacuum Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casdon-dyson-cordless-vacuum-toy) Hidden $35.85 $23.00 0.64x 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC [LeapFrog My Own Laptop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/leapfrog-my-own-laptop) Hidden $35.85 $25.00 0.70x 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC [Fisher-Price Preschool Pretend Play Medical Kit other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fisher-price-preschool-pretend-play-medical-kit) Hidden $35.85 $12.70 0.35x 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC [Casdon Dyson Cordless Vacuum Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casdon-dyson-cordless-vacuum-toy) Hidden $35.85 $23.00 0.64x 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC [KRIDDO Toddler Balance Bike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kriddo-toddler-balance-bike) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $35.85 $90.00 2.51x 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC [Hape Wooden Doll House Furniture Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hape-wooden-doll-house-furniture-set) Hidden $35.85 $8.00 0.22x 2026-11-11 07:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $35.85 | 89.48% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $550 (15.34x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.48 on average: an expected loss of $10.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt