--- title: "POP! SHOP case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "POP! SHOP ($45.57) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 94.11% over 386 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pop-shop rendered: 2026-11-11T20:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [POP! SHOP](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pop-shop) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · POP! SHOP A box on Cases.gg (Funko Pop), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pop-shop?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pop-shop?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pop-shop) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pop-shop?window=all) Price · $45.57 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $40.78 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.11% · 386 openings, odds method Variance · 9.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 50 openings · below min 7 days · 90.05% ±31.90 364 openings 30 days · 94.11% ±30.98 386 openings since tracking started · 94.11% ±30.98 386 openings -0.5% 79.0% 158.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pop-shop?window=24h) | 50 | 71.93% ±86.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pop-shop?window=7d) | 364 | 90.05% ±31.9 | +0.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pop-shop) | 386 | 94.11% ±31.0 | +0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pop-shop?window=all) | 386 | 94.11% ±31.0 | +0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 386 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Funko Pop! Rides One Piece Luffy with Thousand Sunny 2022 CCXP Exclusive Figure #114 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-rides-one-piece-luffy-with-thousand-sunny-2022-ccxp-exclusive-figure-114) | 1 in 200 | $893 | 10.9% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.04× | | [Funko Pop! Harry Potter LA Comic Con Exclusive Figure (Edition of 2000) #137 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-harry-potter-la-comic-con-exclusive-figure-edition-of-2000-137) | 1 in 200 | $870 | 10.7% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.52× | | [Funko Pop! Animation Bleach Ichigo Kurosaki (Hollow) (Black and White) Gamestop Exclusive Figure #96 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-bleach-ichigo-kurosaki-hollow-black-and-white-gamestop-exclusive-figure-96) | 1 in 200 | $795 | 9.7% | 4 | 1.9 | 2.07× | | [Funko Pop! Animation Attack on Titan Beast Titan Hot Topic Exclusive 6 inch Figure #504 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-attack-on-titan-beast-titan-hot-topic-exclusive-6-inch-figure-504) | 1 in 133 | $620 | 11.4% | 6 | 2.9 | 2.07× | | [Funko Pop! Animation Naruto Shippuden Kurama Mode (Glow) GameStop Exclusive 6 Inch Figure #97 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-naruto-shippuden-kurama-mode-glow-gamestop-exclusive-6-inch-figure-97) | 1 in 133 | $557 | 10.2% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.69× | | [Funko Pop! Star Wars Grogu Diamond Collection 2022 Star Wars Celebration Exclusive (Edition of 5000) Figure #368 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-star-wars-grogu-diamond-collection-2022-star-wars-celebration-exclusive-edition-of-5000-figure-368) | 1 in 200 | $536 | 6.6% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.04× | | [Funko Pop! Movies The Muppets Kermit the Frog (Superhero) Emerald City Comic Con, Funko Shop Exclusive Figure #11 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-movies-the-muppets-kermit-the-frog-superhero-emerald-city-comic-con-funko-shop-exclusive-figure-11) | 1 in 100 | $415 | 10.2% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.04× | | [Funko Pop! Marvel Guardians of the Galaxy Groot 18 Inch Flocked Funko Shop Exclusive Figure #01 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-marvel-guardians-of-the-galaxy-groot-18-inch-flocked-funko-shop-exclusive-figure-01) | 1 in 100 | $400 | 9.8% | 0 | 3.9 | 0.00× | | [Funko Pop! Games Pokémon Vaporeon Diamond Collection 2021 Spring Convention Exclusive Figure #627 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-games-pokemon-vaporeon-diamond-collection-2021-spring-convention-exclusive-figure-627) | 1 in 100 | $165 | 4.0% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.04× | | [Funko Pop! Movies 8 Mile B-Rabbit Figure #1052 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-movies-8-mile-b-rabbit-figure-1052) | 1 in 100 | $150 | 3.7% | 5 | 3.9 | 1.30× | | [Funko Pop! Animation My Hero Academia Dabi Fall Convention Figure #637 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-my-hero-academia-dabi-fall-convention-figure-637) | 1 in 100 | $90.00 | 2.2% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.78× | | [Funko Pop! Football New England Patriots Tom Brady (Color Rush Jersey) Figure #59 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-football-new-england-patriots-tom-brady-color-rush-jersey-figure-59) | 1 in 100 | $88.00 | 2.2% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.78× | | [Funko Pop! Deluxe Moment U2's The Zoo TV Tour 1993 2022 Walmart Exclusive Figure #05 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-deluxe-moment-u2s-the-zoo-tv-tour-1993-2022-walmart-exclusive-figure-05) | 1 in 100 | $66.00 | 1.6% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.04× | | [Funko Pop! Games Pokemon Grumpy Pikachu (Flocked) Fall Convention Exclusive Figure #598 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-games-pokemon-grumpy-pikachu-flocked-fall-convention-exclusive-figure-598) | 1 in 100 | $61.00 | 1.5% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.78× | | [Funko Pop! Animation Naruto Shippuden Kotetsu Hagane Figure #1197 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-naruto-shippuden-kotetsu-hagane-figure-1197) | 1 in 100 | $45.00 | 1.1% | 2 | 3.9 | 0.52× | | [Funko Pop! Television The Office Dwight Schrute Funko Shop Exclusive Figure #1009 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-television-the-office-dwight-schrute-funko-shop-exclusive-figure-1009) | 1 in 100 | $37.00 | 0.9% | 5 | 3.9 | 1.30× | | [Funko Pop! Animation Naruto Shippuden Kakashi (Lightning Blade) Hot Topic Exclusive Figure #548 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-naruto-shippuden-kakashi-lightning-blade-hot-topic-exclusive-figure-548) | 1 in 67 | $31.00 | 1.1% | 5 | 5.8 | 0.86× | | [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) | 85.0% | $1.00 | 2.1% | 331 | 328.1 | 1.01× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Funko Pop! Rides One Piece Luffy with Thousand Sunny 2022 CCXP Exclusive Figure #114 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-rides-one-piece-luffy-with-thousand-sunny-2022-ccxp-exclusive-figure-114) Hidden $45.57 $893 19.60x 2026-11-06 02:30 UTC [Funko Pop! Rides One Piece Luffy with Thousand Sunny 2022 CCXP Exclusive Figure #114 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-rides-one-piece-luffy-with-thousand-sunny-2022-ccxp-exclusive-figure-114) Hidden $45.57 $893 19.60x 2026-11-05 06:16 UTC [Funko Pop! Harry Potter LA Comic Con Exclusive Figure (Edition of 2000) #137 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-harry-potter-la-comic-con-exclusive-figure-edition-of-2000-137) Hidden $45.57 $870 19.09x 2026-11-09 22:11 UTC [Funko Pop! Animation Bleach Ichigo Kurosaki (Hollow) (Black and White) Gamestop Exclusive Figure #96 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-bleach-ichigo-kurosaki-hollow-black-and-white-gamestop-exclusive-figure-96) [SnupsBar](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/SnupsBar) $45.57 $795 17.45x 2026-11-10 06:18 UTC [Funko Pop! Animation Bleach Ichigo Kurosaki (Hollow) (Black and White) Gamestop Exclusive Figure #96 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-bleach-ichigo-kurosaki-hollow-black-and-white-gamestop-exclusive-figure-96) Hidden $45.57 $795 17.45x 2026-11-09 22:10 UTC [Funko Pop! Animation Bleach Ichigo Kurosaki (Hollow) (Black and White) Gamestop Exclusive Figure #96 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-bleach-ichigo-kurosaki-hollow-black-and-white-gamestop-exclusive-figure-96) Hidden $45.57 $795 17.45x 2026-11-06 02:31 UTC [Funko Pop! Animation Bleach Ichigo Kurosaki (Hollow) (Black and White) Gamestop Exclusive Figure #96 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-bleach-ichigo-kurosaki-hollow-black-and-white-gamestop-exclusive-figure-96) Hidden $45.57 $795 17.45x 2026-11-04 19:29 UTC [Funko Pop! Animation Attack on Titan Beast Titan Hot Topic Exclusive 6 inch Figure #504 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-attack-on-titan-beast-titan-hot-topic-exclusive-6-inch-figure-504) [Vaniooo](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Vaniooo) $45.57 $620 13.61x 2026-11-11 08:24 UTC [Funko Pop! Animation Attack on Titan Beast Titan Hot Topic Exclusive 6 inch Figure #504 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-attack-on-titan-beast-titan-hot-topic-exclusive-6-inch-figure-504) Hidden $45.57 $620 13.61x 2026-11-10 18:57 UTC [Funko Pop! Animation Attack on Titan Beast Titan Hot Topic Exclusive 6 inch Figure #504 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-attack-on-titan-beast-titan-hot-topic-exclusive-6-inch-figure-504) [vioreltoma](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/vioreltoma) $45.57 $620 13.61x 2026-11-10 18:57 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=pop-shop) [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) Hidden $45.57 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) Hidden $45.57 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) Hidden $45.57 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) Hidden $45.57 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) Hidden $45.57 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) [Trecky](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Trecky) $45.57 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [Funko Pop! Movies 8 Mile B-Rabbit Figure #1052 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-movies-8-mile-b-rabbit-figure-1052) Hidden $45.57 $150 3.29x 2026-11-11 08:24 UTC [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) Hidden $45.57 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 08:24 UTC [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) Hidden $45.57 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 08:24 UTC [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) Hidden $45.57 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 08:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $45.57 | 89.49% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $893 (19.60x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt