--- title: "Porsche Centre case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Porsche Centre ($2,510.81) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 13.74% over 48 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/porsche-centre rendered: 2026-11-11T21:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Porsche Centre](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/porsche-centre) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Porsche Centre A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/porsche-centre?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/porsche-centre?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/porsche-centre) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/porsche-centre?window=all) Price · $2,510.81 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $2,247.17 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 13.74% · 48 openings, odds method Variance · 30.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 97 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 48 openings · below min 30 days · 48 openings · below min since tracking started · 48 openings · below min -0.5% 130.3% 261.0% **Small sample.** 48 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/porsche-centre?window=24h) | 18 | 7.32% ±253.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/porsche-centre?window=7d) | 48 | 13.74% ±155.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/porsche-centre) | 48 | 13.74% ±155.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/porsche-centre?window=all) | 48 | 13.74% ±155.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 48 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [2022 Porsche 911 GT3 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2022-porsche-911-gt3) | 1 in 2,500 | $312K | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2022 Porsche 911 Carrera 4S other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2022-porsche-911-carrera-4s) | 1 in 1,667 | $186K | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2022 Porsche 718 Boxster Spyder other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2022-porsche-718-boxster-spyder) | 1 in 1,250 | $161K | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2016 Porsche Cayman GT4 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2016-porsche-cayman-gt4) | 1 in 1,000 | $128K | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2024 Porsche Cayenne Coupe other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-porsche-cayenne-coupe) | 1 in 800 | $115K | 6.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [2023 Porsche Cayenne S other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2023-porsche-cayenne-s) | 1 in 800 | $110K | 6.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [2024 Porsche Taycan Base other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-porsche-taycan-base) | 1 in 714 | $108K | 6.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [2021 Porsche Taycan 4S other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2021-porsche-taycan-4s) | 1 in 606 | $91.2K | 6.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [2013 Porsche 911 Carrera other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2013-porsche-911-carrera) | 1 in 500 | $68.6K | 6.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [2018 Porsche Panamera 4S other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2018-porsche-panamera-4s) | 1 in 400 | $65.7K | 7.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [2008 Porsche 911 Carrera 4S other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2008-porsche-911-carrera-4s) | 1 in 222 | $49.2K | 9.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [2004 Porsche Boxster S other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2004-porsche-boxster-s) | 1 in 133 | $23.9K | 8.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Aime Leon Dore x Porsche 356 Crochet Driving Gloves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/aime-leon-dore-x-porsche-356-crochet-driving-gloves) | 10.0% | $1,860 | 8.3% | 2 | 4.8 | 0.42× | | [Aime Leon Dore x Porsche 356 Victory Grille Badge other](https://gambatracker.com/items/aime-leon-dore-x-porsche-356-victory-grille-badge) | 10.0% | $1,540 | 6.9% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.04× | | [Aime Leon Dore x Porsche 356 Plaid Wool Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/aime-leon-dore-x-porsche-356-plaid-wool-hat) | 10.0% | $550 | 2.4% | 2 | 4.8 | 0.42× | | [Hot Wheels 2020 Porsche 918 Spyder other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hot-wheels-2020-porsche-918-spyder) | 15.0% | $180 | 1.2% | 7 | 7.2 | 0.97× | | [Hot Wheels x Daniel Arsham Porsche 356 Bonsai Speedster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hot-wheels-x-daniel-arsham-porsche-356-bonsai-speedster) | 20.0% | $130 | 1.2% | 11 | 9.6 | 1.15× | | [Hot Wheels RLC Exclusive 1986 Porsche 959 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hot-wheels-rlc-exclusive-1986-porsche-959) | 32.5% | $64.38 | 0.9% | 21 | 15.6 | 1.35× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Aime Leon Dore x Porsche 356 Crochet Driving Gloves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/aime-leon-dore-x-porsche-356-crochet-driving-gloves) Hidden $2,511 $1,860 0.74x 2026-11-10 00:38 UTC [Aime Leon Dore x Porsche 356 Crochet Driving Gloves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/aime-leon-dore-x-porsche-356-crochet-driving-gloves) [Jaydendown](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Jaydendown) $2,511 $1,860 0.74x 2026-11-09 17:57 UTC [Aime Leon Dore x Porsche 356 Victory Grille Badge other](https://gambatracker.com/items/aime-leon-dore-x-porsche-356-victory-grille-badge) Hidden $2,511 $1,540 0.61x 2026-11-11 00:13 UTC [Aime Leon Dore x Porsche 356 Victory Grille Badge other](https://gambatracker.com/items/aime-leon-dore-x-porsche-356-victory-grille-badge) [Jaydendown](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Jaydendown) $2,511 $1,540 0.61x 2026-11-09 18:00 UTC [Aime Leon Dore x Porsche 356 Victory Grille Badge other](https://gambatracker.com/items/aime-leon-dore-x-porsche-356-victory-grille-badge) Hidden $2,511 $1,540 0.61x 2026-11-09 17:57 UTC [Aime Leon Dore x Porsche 356 Victory Grille Badge other](https://gambatracker.com/items/aime-leon-dore-x-porsche-356-victory-grille-badge) Hidden $2,511 $1,540 0.61x 2026-11-09 17:57 UTC [Aime Leon Dore x Porsche 356 Victory Grille Badge other](https://gambatracker.com/items/aime-leon-dore-x-porsche-356-victory-grille-badge) Hidden $2,511 $1,540 0.61x 2026-11-06 23:14 UTC [Aime Leon Dore x Porsche 356 Plaid Wool Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/aime-leon-dore-x-porsche-356-plaid-wool-hat) Hidden $2,511 $550 0.22x 2026-11-10 00:39 UTC [Aime Leon Dore x Porsche 356 Plaid Wool Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/aime-leon-dore-x-porsche-356-plaid-wool-hat) Hidden $2,511 $550 0.22x 2026-11-04 23:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=porsche-centre) [Hot Wheels RLC Exclusive 1986 Porsche 959 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hot-wheels-rlc-exclusive-1986-porsche-959) Hidden $2,511 $64.38 0.03x 2026-11-11 00:13 UTC [Hot Wheels RLC Exclusive 1986 Porsche 959 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hot-wheels-rlc-exclusive-1986-porsche-959) Hidden $2,511 $64.38 0.03x 2026-11-11 00:13 UTC [Hot Wheels x Daniel Arsham Porsche 356 Bonsai Speedster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hot-wheels-x-daniel-arsham-porsche-356-bonsai-speedster) Hidden $2,511 $130 0.05x 2026-11-11 00:13 UTC [Aime Leon Dore x Porsche 356 Victory Grille Badge other](https://gambatracker.com/items/aime-leon-dore-x-porsche-356-victory-grille-badge) Hidden $2,511 $1,540 0.61x 2026-11-11 00:13 UTC [Hot Wheels x Daniel Arsham Porsche 356 Bonsai Speedster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hot-wheels-x-daniel-arsham-porsche-356-bonsai-speedster) Hidden $2,511 $130 0.05x 2026-11-11 00:13 UTC [Hot Wheels RLC Exclusive 1986 Porsche 959 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hot-wheels-rlc-exclusive-1986-porsche-959) [Code:666 800$ LB FREE](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Code%3A666%20800%24%20LB%20FREE) $2,511 $64.38 0.03x 2026-11-11 00:13 UTC [Hot Wheels x Daniel Arsham Porsche 356 Bonsai Speedster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hot-wheels-x-daniel-arsham-porsche-356-bonsai-speedster) Hidden $2,511 $130 0.05x 2026-11-11 00:13 UTC [Hot Wheels 2020 Porsche 918 Spyder other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hot-wheels-2020-porsche-918-spyder) Hidden $2,511 $180 0.07x 2026-11-11 00:13 UTC [Hot Wheels RLC Exclusive 1986 Porsche 959 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hot-wheels-rlc-exclusive-1986-porsche-959) Hidden $2,511 $64.38 0.03x 2026-11-11 00:13 UTC [Hot Wheels 2020 Porsche 918 Spyder other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hot-wheels-2020-porsche-918-spyder) Hidden $2,511 $180 0.07x 2026-11-11 00:13 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $2,511 | 89.50% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $1,860 (0.74x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt