--- title: "Prepare for Trouble case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Prepare for Trouble ($619.65) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 15 items with odds, observed 85.05% over 42 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prepare-for-trouble rendered: 2026-11-11T20:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Prepare for Trouble](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prepare-for-trouble) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Prepare for Trouble A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prepare-for-trouble?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prepare-for-trouble?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prepare-for-trouble) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prepare-for-trouble?window=all) Price · $619.65 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $554.58 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.05% · 42 openings, odds method Variance · 41.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 36 openings · below min 30 days · 42 openings · below min since tracking started · 42 openings · below min -0.5% 234.0% 468.5% **Small sample.** 42 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prepare-for-trouble?window=24h) | 12 | 104.27% ±363.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prepare-for-trouble?window=7d) | 36 | 83.19% ±210.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prepare-for-trouble) | 42 | 85.05% ±194.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prepare-for-trouble?window=all) | 42 | 85.05% ±194.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 42 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Here Comes Team Rocket! (XY-P 278) PSA 10 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/here-comes-team-rocket-xy-p-278-psa-10) | 1 in 500 | $69.6K | 25.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Team Rocket Booster Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/team-rocket-booster-box) | 1 in 333 | $45K | 24.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [EX Team Rocket Returns Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ex-team-rocket-returns-booster) | 1 in 67 | $3,000 | 8.1% | 4 | 0.6 | — | | [Team Rocket's Meowth (UNP) NM other](https://gambatracker.com/items/team-rockets-meowth-unp-nm) | 1 in 67 | $2,778 | 7.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Movie Commemoration Random Pack Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/movie-commemoration-random-pack-booster) | 1 in 67 | $1,752 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [ADV Expansion Pack Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adv-expansion-pack-booster) | 1 in 50 | $1,440 | 5.2% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [2000 Pokemon Base 2 Foil Pack Pidgeot PSA 9 MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2000-pokemon-base-2-foil-pack-pidgeot-psa-9-mint) | 1 in 50 | $1,100 | 4.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [POKEMON TCG: SCARLET AND VIOLET: PALDEAN FATES: ELITE TRAINER BOX other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pokemon-tcg-scarlet-and-violet-paldean-fates-elite-trainer-box) | 1 in 33 | $740 | 4.0% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.59× | | [Darkness Ablaze Booster Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/darkness-ablaze-booster-box) | 1 in 33 | $600 | 3.2% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [Base Set 2 Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/base-set-2-booster) | 1 in 20 | $445 | 4.0% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.95× | | [Scarlet & Violet Booster Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/scarlet-and-violet-booster-box) | 1 in 20 | $245 | 2.2% | 4 | 2.1 | 1.90× | | [POKEMON TCG: SCARLET AND VIOLET SHROUDED FABLE ELITE TRAINER BOX other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pokemon-tcg-scarlet-and-violet-shrouded-fable-elite-trainer-box) | 1 in 20 | $190 | 1.7% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× | | [Obsidian Flames Booster Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/obsidian-flames-booster-box) | 10.0% | $85.00 | 1.5% | 3 | 4.2 | 0.71× | | [Paradox Rift Booster Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/paradox-rift-booster-box) | 15.0% | $61.00 | 1.6% | 3 | 6.3 | 0.48× | | [Stellar Crown Elite Trainer Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stellar-crown-elite-trainer-box) | 45.0% | $32.79 | 2.7% | 21 | 18.9 | 1.11× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [EX Team Rocket Returns Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ex-team-rocket-returns-booster) Hidden $620 $3,000 4.84x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [EX Team Rocket Returns Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ex-team-rocket-returns-booster) Hidden $620 $3,000 4.84x 2026-11-09 19:37 UTC [EX Team Rocket Returns Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ex-team-rocket-returns-booster) Hidden $620 $3,000 4.84x 2026-11-05 14:26 UTC [EX Team Rocket Returns Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ex-team-rocket-returns-booster) Hidden $620 $3,000 4.84x 2026-11-03 20:29 UTC [Team Rocket's Meowth (UNP) NM other](https://gambatracker.com/items/team-rockets-meowth-unp-nm) Hidden $620 $2,778 4.48x 2026-11-11 15:52 UTC [ADV Expansion Pack Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adv-expansion-pack-booster) Hidden $620 $1,440 2.32x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [ADV Expansion Pack Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adv-expansion-pack-booster) Hidden $620 $1,440 2.32x 2026-11-09 19:37 UTC [POKEMON TCG: SCARLET AND VIOLET: PALDEAN FATES: ELITE TRAINER BOX other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pokemon-tcg-scarlet-and-violet-paldean-fates-elite-trainer-box) Hidden $620 $740 1.19x 2026-11-09 17:56 UTC [POKEMON TCG: SCARLET AND VIOLET: PALDEAN FATES: ELITE TRAINER BOX other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pokemon-tcg-scarlet-and-violet-paldean-fates-elite-trainer-box) Hidden $620 $740 1.19x 2026-11-05 14:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=prepare-for-trouble) [Stellar Crown Elite Trainer Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stellar-crown-elite-trainer-box) Hidden $620 $32.79 0.05x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [EX Team Rocket Returns Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ex-team-rocket-returns-booster) Hidden $620 $3,000 4.84x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [Stellar Crown Elite Trainer Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stellar-crown-elite-trainer-box) Hidden $620 $32.79 0.05x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [ADV Expansion Pack Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adv-expansion-pack-booster) Hidden $620 $1,440 2.32x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [Stellar Crown Elite Trainer Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stellar-crown-elite-trainer-box) Hidden $620 $32.79 0.05x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [Stellar Crown Elite Trainer Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stellar-crown-elite-trainer-box) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $620 $32.79 0.05x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [Stellar Crown Elite Trainer Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stellar-crown-elite-trainer-box) Hidden $620 $32.79 0.05x 2026-11-11 15:52 UTC [Stellar Crown Elite Trainer Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stellar-crown-elite-trainer-box) Hidden $620 $32.79 0.05x 2026-11-11 15:52 UTC [Stellar Crown Elite Trainer Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stellar-crown-elite-trainer-box) Hidden $620 $32.79 0.05x 2026-11-11 15:52 UTC [Paradox Rift Booster Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/paradox-rift-booster-box) Hidden $620 $61.00 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $620 | 89.50% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $3,000 (4.84x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt