--- title: "Prestige Timekeeper case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Prestige Timekeeper ($1,700.56) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 20 items with odds, observed 17.87% over 30 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prestige-timekeeper rendered: 2026-11-11T18:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Prestige Timekeeper](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prestige-timekeeper) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Prestige Timekeeper A box on Cases.gg (Watches), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prestige-timekeeper?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prestige-timekeeper?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prestige-timekeeper) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prestige-timekeeper?window=all) Price · $1,700.56 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $1,521.99 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · 17.87% · 30 openings, odds method Variance · 14.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 52 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 30 openings · below min 30 days · 30 openings · below min since tracking started · 30 openings · below min -0.5% 156.0% 312.5% **Small sample.** 30 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prestige-timekeeper?window=24h) | 6 | 9.95% ±302.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prestige-timekeeper?window=7d) | 30 | 17.87% ±135.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prestige-timekeeper) | 30 | 17.87% ±135.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prestige-timekeeper?window=all) | 30 | 17.87% ±135.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 30 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Audemars Piguet Royal Oak other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audemars-piguet-royal-oak) | 1 in 1,000 | $101K | 6.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Patek Philippe Nautilus Blue Dial Stainless Steel 37.5mm other](https://gambatracker.com/items/patek-philippe-nautilus-blue-dial-stainless-steel-37-5mm) | 1 in 909 | $67.7K | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Rolex Day-Date 40 Yellow Gold other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-day-date-40-yellow-gold) | 1 in 769 | $52.5K | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PATEK PHILIPPE - TWENTY~4 - 7300/1201R-010 - ROSE GOLD other](https://gambatracker.com/items/patek-philippe-twenty-4-7300-1201r-010-rose-gold) | 1 in 667 | $46.5K | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Audemars Piguet Royal Oak Chronograph other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audemars-piguet-royal-oak-chronograph) | 1 in 357 | $42.1K | 7.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Rolex Submariner Date other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-submariner-date) | 1 in 333 | $40K | 7.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Rolex Yacht-Master II other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-yacht-master-ii) | 1 in 278 | $31.3K | 7.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Rolex Sea-Dweller Deepsea 136660 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-sea-dweller-deepsea-136660) | 1 in 200 | $21.8K | 7.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Audemars Piguet Royal Oak Offshore Diver other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audemars-piguet-royal-oak-offshore-diver) | 1 in 167 | $21K | 8.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Omega Seamaster Planet Ocean other](https://gambatracker.com/items/omega-seamaster-planet-ocean) | 1 in 91 | $8,700 | 6.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Omega Seamaster 300 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/omega-seamaster-300) | 1 in 80 | $7,260 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Omega Seamaster Aqua Terra other](https://gambatracker.com/items/omega-seamaster-aqua-terra) | 1 in 67 | $7,000 | 6.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Omega Seamaster Planet Ocean other](https://gambatracker.com/items/omega-seamaster-planet-ocean) | 1 in 45 | $5,300 | 7.7% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Tudor Hydronaut 99090 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tudor-hydronaut-99090) | 1 in 40 | $2,570 | 4.2% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [Seiko Alpinist other](https://gambatracker.com/items/seiko-alpinist) | 1 in 17 | $636 | 2.5% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× | | [Seiko Presage other](https://gambatracker.com/items/seiko-presage) | 1 in 14 | $634 | 2.9% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.48× | | [Casio G-Shock GA2100SR-1A other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ga2100sr-1a) | 1 in 13 | $200 | 1.1% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× | | [Casio G-Shock LTP-V300D-2A other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ltp-v300d-2a) | 15.0% | $89.00 | 0.9% | 8 | 4.5 | 1.78× | | [Casio G-Shock LTP-V007G-9B other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ltp-v007g-9b) | 20.0% | $73.00 | 1.0% | 5 | 6.0 | 0.83× | | [Casio G-Shock MTP-1302D-7A1V other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-mtp-1302d-7a1v) | 32.9% | $72.00 | 1.6% | 11 | 9.9 | 1.11× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Tudor Hydronaut 99090 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tudor-hydronaut-99090) Hidden $1,701 $2,570 1.51x 2026-11-07 17:20 UTC [Tudor Hydronaut 99090 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tudor-hydronaut-99090) Hidden $1,701 $2,570 1.51x 2026-11-07 17:20 UTC [Seiko Alpinist other](https://gambatracker.com/items/seiko-alpinist) Hidden $1,701 $636 0.37x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC [Seiko Alpinist other](https://gambatracker.com/items/seiko-alpinist) Hidden $1,701 $636 0.37x 2026-11-07 17:20 UTC [Seiko Presage other](https://gambatracker.com/items/seiko-presage) Hidden $1,701 $634 0.37x 2026-11-09 16:21 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=prestige-timekeeper) [Casio G-Shock LTP-V007G-9B other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ltp-v007g-9b) Hidden $1,701 $73.00 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC [Casio G-Shock MTP-1302D-7A1V other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-mtp-1302d-7a1v) Hidden $1,701 $72.00 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC [Casio G-Shock LTP-V007G-9B other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ltp-v007g-9b) Hidden $1,701 $73.00 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC [Casio G-Shock MTP-1302D-7A1V other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-mtp-1302d-7a1v) Hidden $1,701 $72.00 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC [Seiko Alpinist other](https://gambatracker.com/items/seiko-alpinist) Hidden $1,701 $636 0.37x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC [Casio G-Shock LTP-V300D-2A other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ltp-v300d-2a) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $1,701 $89.00 0.05x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC [Casio G-Shock LTP-V007G-9B other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ltp-v007g-9b) Hidden $1,701 $73.00 0.04x 2026-11-09 16:21 UTC [Seiko Presage other](https://gambatracker.com/items/seiko-presage) Hidden $1,701 $634 0.37x 2026-11-09 16:21 UTC [Casio G-Shock LTP-V300D-2A other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ltp-v300d-2a) Hidden $1,701 $89.00 0.05x 2026-11-09 16:21 UTC [Casio G-Shock MTP-1302D-7A1V other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-mtp-1302d-7a1v) Hidden $1,701 $72.00 0.04x 2026-11-09 16:21 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,701 | 89.50% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $2,570 (1.51x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt