--- title: "Pro or Blow case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Pro or Blow ($214.12) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 94.20% over 84 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pro-or-blow rendered: 2026-11-11T21:16Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Pro or Blow](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pro-or-blow) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Pro or Blow A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pro-or-blow?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pro-or-blow?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pro-or-blow) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pro-or-blow?window=all) Price · $214.12 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $191.63 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.20% · 84 openings, odds method Variance · 5.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 48 openings · below min 30 days · 84 openings · below min since tracking started · 84 openings · below min 43.5% 107.3% 171.0% **Small sample.** 84 openings and 8.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pro-or-blow?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pro-or-blow?window=7d) | 48 | 107.28% ±63.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pro-or-blow) | 84 | 94.20% ±47.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/pro-or-blow?window=all) | 84 | 94.20% ±47.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 84 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sony PlayStation 5 PS5 Pro 30th Anniversary Limited Edition Bundle (US Plug) CFI-7019 B30 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-playstation-5-ps5-pro-30th-anniversary-limited-edition-bundle-us-plug-cfi-7019-b30) | 1 in 400 | $6,120 | 8.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [DJI Mavic 3 Pro with DJI RC, Flagship Triple-Camera Drone other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dji-mavic-3-pro-with-dji-rc-flagship-triple-camera-drone) | 1 in 200 | $2,419 | 6.3% | 2 | 0.4 | — | | [ASUS ROG Phone 8 Pro other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-rog-phone-8-pro) | 1 in 100 | $1,320 | 6.9% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [iPhone 16 Pro, Desert Titanium, 128 GB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/iphone-16-pro-desert-titanium-128-gb) | 1 in 100 | $1,200 | 6.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [Microsoft Surface Pro 9 Tablet - 13" - Core i7 12th Gen i7-1265U other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microsoft-surface-pro-9-tablet-13-core-i7-12th-gen-i7-1265u) | 1 in 67 | $1,104 | 8.6% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.59× | | [Breville Nespresso Creatista Pro BNE900BSS other](https://gambatracker.com/items/breville-nespresso-creatista-pro-bne900bss) | 1 in 50 | $1,020 | 10.6% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× | | [PlayStation 5 Pro Console other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-5-pro-console) | 1 in 31 | $900 | 15.3% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.73× | | [Dyson V15 Detect Pro​ Cordless Vacuum Cleaner other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dyson-v15-detect-pro-cordless-vacuum-cleaner) | 1 in 25 | $839 | 17.5% | 5 | 3.4 | 1.49× | | [Apple iPhone 15 Pro, 256GB, Natural Titanium other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-iphone-15-pro-256gb-natural-titanium) | 1 in 67 | $760 | 5.9% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.59× | | [Beats Studio Pro - Wireless Bluetooth Noise Cancelling Headphones other](https://gambatracker.com/items/beats-studio-pro-wireless-bluetooth-noise-cancelling-headphones) | 1 in 20 | $430 | 11.2% | 2 | 4.2 | 0.48× | | [Toysmith Tech Gear Multi Voice Changer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/toysmith-tech-gear-multi-voice-changer) | 10.0% | $16.00 | 0.8% | 5 | 8.4 | 0.60× | | [AnnoyingPCB - The Prank Device That Won't Stop Beeping for Years other](https://gambatracker.com/items/annoyingpcb-the-prank-device-that-wont-stop-beeping-for-years) | 10.0% | $12.00 | 0.6% | 9 | 8.4 | 1.07× | | [Squishy Monkey Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/squishy-monkey-toy) | 10.0% | $10.00 | 0.5% | 9 | 8.4 | 1.07× | | [3D Men Beer Belly Waist Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/3d-men-beer-belly-waist-bag) | 10.0% | $7.50 | 0.4% | 6 | 8.4 | 0.71× | | [Spider Box Prank other](https://gambatracker.com/items/spider-box-prank) | 10.0% | $6.25 | 0.3% | 13 | 8.4 | 1.55× | | [Classic Whoopie Cushion other](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-whoopie-cushion) | 10.0% | $5.00 | 0.3% | 6 | 8.4 | 0.71× | | [Shock Gum other](https://gambatracker.com/items/shock-gum) | 10.0% | $4.00 | 0.2% | 9 | 8.4 | 1.07× | | [POPLAY Rubber Chicken other](https://gambatracker.com/items/poplay-rubber-chicken) | 10.0% | $3.00 | 0.2% | 11 | 8.4 | 1.31× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [DJI Mavic 3 Pro with DJI RC, Flagship Triple-Camera Drone other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dji-mavic-3-pro-with-dji-rc-flagship-triple-camera-drone) Hidden $214 $2,419 11.30x 2026-11-10 07:07 UTC [DJI Mavic 3 Pro with DJI RC, Flagship Triple-Camera Drone other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dji-mavic-3-pro-with-dji-rc-flagship-triple-camera-drone) [KICK/JUSTSAN666](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/KICK%2FJUSTSAN666) $214 $2,419 11.30x 2026-11-03 12:00 UTC [Microsoft Surface Pro 9 Tablet - 13" - Core i7 12th Gen i7-1265U other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microsoft-surface-pro-9-tablet-13-core-i7-12th-gen-i7-1265u) Hidden $214 $1,104 5.16x 2026-11-08 11:41 UTC [Microsoft Surface Pro 9 Tablet - 13" - Core i7 12th Gen i7-1265U other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microsoft-surface-pro-9-tablet-13-core-i7-12th-gen-i7-1265u) Hidden $214 $1,104 5.16x 2026-11-08 11:41 UTC [Breville Nespresso Creatista Pro BNE900BSS other](https://gambatracker.com/items/breville-nespresso-creatista-pro-bne900bss) Hidden $214 $1,020 4.76x 2026-11-05 06:22 UTC [PlayStation 5 Pro Console other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-5-pro-console) Hidden $214 $900 4.20x 2026-11-10 06:48 UTC [PlayStation 5 Pro Console other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-5-pro-console) Hidden $214 $900 4.20x 2026-11-10 06:39 UTC [Dyson V15 Detect Pro​ Cordless Vacuum Cleaner other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dyson-v15-detect-pro-cordless-vacuum-cleaner) Hidden $214 $839 3.92x 2026-11-10 06:39 UTC [Dyson V15 Detect Pro​ Cordless Vacuum Cleaner other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dyson-v15-detect-pro-cordless-vacuum-cleaner) Hidden $214 $839 3.92x 2026-11-08 11:41 UTC [Dyson V15 Detect Pro​ Cordless Vacuum Cleaner other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dyson-v15-detect-pro-cordless-vacuum-cleaner) [Code:666 800$ LB FREE](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Code%3A666%20800%24%20LB%20FREE) $214 $839 3.92x 2026-11-05 06:22 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=pro-or-blow) [AnnoyingPCB - The Prank Device That Won't Stop Beeping for Years other](https://gambatracker.com/items/annoyingpcb-the-prank-device-that-wont-stop-beeping-for-years) Hidden $214 $12.00 0.06x 2026-11-10 07:07 UTC [Toysmith Tech Gear Multi Voice Changer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/toysmith-tech-gear-multi-voice-changer) Hidden $214 $16.00 0.07x 2026-11-10 07:07 UTC [DJI Mavic 3 Pro with DJI RC, Flagship Triple-Camera Drone other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dji-mavic-3-pro-with-dji-rc-flagship-triple-camera-drone) Hidden $214 $2,419 11.30x 2026-11-10 07:07 UTC [Squishy Monkey Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/squishy-monkey-toy) Hidden $214 $10.00 0.05x 2026-11-10 07:07 UTC [POPLAY Rubber Chicken other](https://gambatracker.com/items/poplay-rubber-chicken) Hidden $214 $3.00 0.01x 2026-11-10 07:07 UTC [Squishy Monkey Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/squishy-monkey-toy) [Nie](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Nie) $214 $10.00 0.05x 2026-11-10 07:07 UTC [Spider Box Prank other](https://gambatracker.com/items/spider-box-prank) Hidden $214 $6.25 0.03x 2026-11-10 06:48 UTC [PlayStation 5 Pro Console other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-5-pro-console) Hidden $214 $900 4.20x 2026-11-10 06:48 UTC [Classic Whoopie Cushion other](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-whoopie-cushion) Hidden $214 $5.00 0.02x 2026-11-10 06:48 UTC [Shock Gum other](https://gambatracker.com/items/shock-gum) Hidden $214 $4.00 0.02x 2026-11-10 06:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $214 | 89.50% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $2,419 (11.30x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt