--- title: "PRODIGY 5% case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "PRODIGY 5% ($10.49) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 512.91% over 18 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prodigy-5percent rendered: 2026-11-12T12:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [PRODIGY 5%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prodigy-5percent) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · PRODIGY 5% A box on Cases.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prodigy-5percent?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prodigy-5percent?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prodigy-5percent) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prodigy-5percent?window=all) Price · $10.49 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 512.91% · 18 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 18 openings · below min since tracking started · 18 openings · below min -0.5% 722.8% 1446.0% **Small sample.** 18 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prodigy-5percent?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prodigy-5percent?window=7d) | 6 | 0.29% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prodigy-5percent) | 18 | 512.91% ±932.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/prodigy-5percent?window=all) | 18 | 512.91% ±932.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [1993 Magic The Gathering MTG Beta Rare Thoughtlace PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1993-magic-the-gathering-mtg-beta-rare-thoughtlace-psa-10-gem-mint) Hidden $10.49 $900 85.80x 2026-11-03 00:23 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=prodigy-5percent) [151 Dice Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/151-dice-set) Hidden $10.49 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-08 15:55 UTC [151 Dice Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/151-dice-set) Hidden $10.49 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-08 15:55 UTC [151 Dice Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/151-dice-set) Hidden $10.49 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-08 15:55 UTC [151 Dice Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/151-dice-set) Hidden $10.49 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-08 15:55 UTC [Playstation Circle Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-circle-sticker) Hidden $10.49 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-08 15:55 UTC [151 Dice Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/151-dice-set) [Emirate](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Emirate) $10.49 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-08 15:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $900 (85.80x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 512.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $512.91 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt