--- title: "Professor's Gift case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Professor's Gift ($492.60) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 16 items with odds, observed 17.50% over 153 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/professors-gift rendered: 2026-11-11T19:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Professor's Gift](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/professors-gift) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Professor's Gift A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/professors-gift?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/professors-gift?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/professors-gift) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/professors-gift?window=all) Price · $492.60 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $440.87 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 17.50% · 153 openings, odds method Variance · 278.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 1,000 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 114 openings · below min 30 days · 153 openings · below min since tracking started · 153 openings · below min -0.5% 162.5% 325.5% **Small sample.** 153 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/professors-gift?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/professors-gift?window=7d) | 114 | 18.18% ±306.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/professors-gift) | 153 | 17.50% ±264.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/professors-gift?window=all) | 153 | 17.50% ±264.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 153 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [1999 Pokemon Base Set Shadowless 1st Edition Holo Charizard #4 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1999-pokemon-base-set-shadowless-1st-edition-holo-charizard-4-psa-10-gem-mint) | 1 in 1,000 | $253K | 57.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Pikachu (PCCP 5) PSA 9 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-pccp-5-psa-9) | 1 in 500 | $41.8K | 19.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [1999 Pokemon Base Set Shadowless 1st Edition Booster Pack Charizard PSA 10 GEM other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1999-pokemon-base-set-shadowless-1st-edition-booster-pack-charizard-psa-10-gem) | 1 in 500 | $10.7K | 4.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [1999 Pokemon Base Set Shadowless 1st Edition Bulbasaur #44 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1999-pokemon-base-set-shadowless-1st-edition-bulbasaur-44-psa-10-gem-mint) | 1 in 200 | $2,370 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [1999 Pokemon Base Set Shadowless 1st Edition Charmeleon #24 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1999-pokemon-base-set-shadowless-1st-edition-charmeleon-24-psa-10-gem-mint) | 1 in 100 | $1,550 | 3.5% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.31× | | [1999 Pokemon Base Set Shadowless 1st Edition Squirtle #63 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1999-pokemon-base-set-shadowless-1st-edition-squirtle-63-psa-10-gem-mint) | 1 in 100 | $1,350 | 3.1% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.31× | | [1999 Pokemon Jungle 1st Edition W Stamp Duelist Promo Pikachu #60 PSA 10 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1999-pokemon-jungle-1st-edition-w-stamp-duelist-promo-pikachu-60-psa-10) | 1 in 67 | $715 | 2.4% | 4 | 2.3 | 1.74× | | [Base Set 2 Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/base-set-2-booster) | 1 in 67 | $445 | 1.5% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× | | [Base Set Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/base-set-booster) | 1 in 67 | $355 | 1.2% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.87× | | [Pikachu 1999 Pokemon TCG Jungle 1st Edition #60 (PSA 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-1999-pokemon-tcg-jungle-1st-edition-60-psa-9) | 1 in 67 | $192 | 0.7% | 4 | 2.3 | 1.74× | | [Bulbasaur (pcgL 001B) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bulbasaur-pcgl-001b) | 11.0% | $60.00 | 1.5% | 21 | 16.8 | 1.25× | | [Bulbasaur (EC1 S01) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bulbasaur-ec1-s01) | 10.0% | $35.00 | 0.8% | 7 | 15.3 | 0.46× | | [Bulbasaur (MCDP 001) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bulbasaur-mcdp-001) | 10.0% | $27.00 | 0.6% | 22 | 15.3 | 1.44× | | [My First Battle: Charmander & Squirtle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-first-battle-charmander-and-squirtle) | 20.0% | $7.25 | 0.3% | 27 | 30.6 | 0.88× | | [My First Battle: Bulbasaur & Pikachu other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-first-battle-bulbasaur-and-pikachu) | 20.0% | $6.20 | 0.3% | 31 | 30.6 | 1.01× | | [My First Squirtle (sv2a 170)Battle: Charmander & Squirtle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-first-squirtle-sv2a-170-battle-charmander-and-squirtle) | 20.0% | $3.90 | 0.2% | 30 | 30.6 | 0.98× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [1999 Pokemon Base Set Shadowless 1st Edition Charmeleon #24 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1999-pokemon-base-set-shadowless-1st-edition-charmeleon-24-psa-10-gem-mint) Hidden $493 $1,550 3.15x 2026-11-07 03:49 UTC [1999 Pokemon Base Set Shadowless 1st Edition Charmeleon #24 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1999-pokemon-base-set-shadowless-1st-edition-charmeleon-24-psa-10-gem-mint) [Revolut id @woxpro](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Revolut%20id%20%40woxpro) $493 $1,550 3.15x 2026-11-03 07:15 UTC [1999 Pokemon Base Set Shadowless 1st Edition Squirtle #63 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1999-pokemon-base-set-shadowless-1st-edition-squirtle-63-psa-10-gem-mint) Hidden $493 $1,350 2.74x 2026-11-06 06:16 UTC [1999 Pokemon Base Set Shadowless 1st Edition Squirtle #63 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1999-pokemon-base-set-shadowless-1st-edition-squirtle-63-psa-10-gem-mint) Hidden $493 $1,350 2.74x 2026-11-05 19:53 UTC [1999 Pokemon Jungle 1st Edition W Stamp Duelist Promo Pikachu #60 PSA 10 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1999-pokemon-jungle-1st-edition-w-stamp-duelist-promo-pikachu-60-psa-10) Hidden $493 $715 1.45x 2026-11-06 06:32 UTC [1999 Pokemon Jungle 1st Edition W Stamp Duelist Promo Pikachu #60 PSA 10 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1999-pokemon-jungle-1st-edition-w-stamp-duelist-promo-pikachu-60-psa-10) Hidden $493 $715 1.45x 2026-11-06 06:30 UTC [1999 Pokemon Jungle 1st Edition W Stamp Duelist Promo Pikachu #60 PSA 10 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1999-pokemon-jungle-1st-edition-w-stamp-duelist-promo-pikachu-60-psa-10) [Arrrbaccos](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Arrrbaccos) $493 $715 1.45x 2026-11-06 06:28 UTC [1999 Pokemon Jungle 1st Edition W Stamp Duelist Promo Pikachu #60 PSA 10 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1999-pokemon-jungle-1st-edition-w-stamp-duelist-promo-pikachu-60-psa-10) [KICK/JUSTSAN666](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/KICK%2FJUSTSAN666) $493 $715 1.45x 2026-11-04 20:37 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=professors-gift) [My First Battle: Bulbasaur & Pikachu other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-first-battle-bulbasaur-and-pikachu) Hidden $493 $6.20 0.01x 2026-11-07 22:51 UTC [Bulbasaur (MCDP 001) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bulbasaur-mcdp-001) Hidden $493 $27.00 0.05x 2026-11-07 22:51 UTC [Bulbasaur (MCDP 001) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bulbasaur-mcdp-001) Hidden $493 $27.00 0.05x 2026-11-07 22:51 UTC [My First Battle: Charmander & Squirtle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-first-battle-charmander-and-squirtle) Hidden $493 $7.25 0.01x 2026-11-07 22:51 UTC [Bulbasaur (MCDP 001) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bulbasaur-mcdp-001) Hidden $493 $27.00 0.05x 2026-11-07 22:51 UTC [My First Battle: Bulbasaur & Pikachu other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-first-battle-bulbasaur-and-pikachu) [Oliveira16](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Oliveira16) $493 $6.20 0.01x 2026-11-07 22:51 UTC [My First Battle: Charmander & Squirtle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-first-battle-charmander-and-squirtle) Hidden $493 $7.25 0.01x 2026-11-07 22:50 UTC [Pikachu 1999 Pokemon TCG Jungle 1st Edition #60 (PSA 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-1999-pokemon-tcg-jungle-1st-edition-60-psa-9) Hidden $493 $192 0.39x 2026-11-07 22:50 UTC [Pikachu 1999 Pokemon TCG Jungle 1st Edition #60 (PSA 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-1999-pokemon-tcg-jungle-1st-edition-60-psa-9) Hidden $493 $192 0.39x 2026-11-07 22:50 UTC [My First Squirtle (sv2a 170)Battle: Charmander & Squirtle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-first-squirtle-sv2a-170-battle-charmander-and-squirtle) Hidden $493 $3.90 0.01x 2026-11-07 22:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $493 | 89.50% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $1,550 (3.15x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt