--- title: "Redcap Ruckus case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Redcap Ruckus ($4.36) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.45% from 15 items with odds, observed 87.35% over 1,115 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/redcap-ruckus rendered: 2026-11-12T04:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Redcap Ruckus](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/redcap-ruckus) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Redcap Ruckus A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/redcap-ruckus?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/redcap-ruckus?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/redcap-ruckus) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/redcap-ruckus?window=all) Price · $4.36 Advertised RTP · 89.45% · EV $3.90 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.35% · 1,115 openings, odds method Variance · 5.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 82.67% ±34.92 162 openings 7 days · 93.43% ±15.15 860 openings 30 days · 87.35% ±13.31 1,115 openings since tracking started · 87.35% ±13.31 1,115 openings 47.0% 82.5% 118.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/redcap-ruckus?window=24h) | 162 | 82.67% ±34.9 | −0.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/redcap-ruckus?window=7d) | 860 | 93.43% ±15.2 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/redcap-ruckus) | 1,115 | 87.35% ±13.3 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/redcap-ruckus?window=all) | 1,115 | 87.35% ±13.3 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,115 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Duel Decks: Elves vs. Goblins Full Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/duel-decks-elves-vs-goblins-full-set) | 1 in 286 | $90.00 | 8.1% | 2 | 3.9 | 0.51× | | [Secret Lair Drop Series: Summer Superdrop 2023: Goblin & Squabblin' Rainbow Foil Edition other](https://gambatracker.com/items/secret-lair-drop-series-summer-superdrop-2023-goblin-and-squabblin-rainbow-foil-edition) | 1 in 100 | $60.00 | 15.4% | 7 | 11.2 | 0.63× | | [Secret Lair Drop Series: Summer Superdrop 2023: Goblin & Squabblin' Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/secret-lair-drop-series-summer-superdrop-2023-goblin-and-squabblin-set) | 1 in 100 | $55.00 | 14.1% | 14 | 11.2 | 1.26× | | [Goblin Settler other](https://gambatracker.com/items/goblin-settler) | 1 in 33 | $15.00 | 11.5% | 32 | 33.4 | 0.96× | | [Goblin Soldier Token (Red and White 1/1) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/goblin-soldier-token-red-and-white-1-1) | 1 in 33 | $11.00 | 8.5% | 40 | 33.4 | 1.20× | | [Tokens for MTG: Goblin Shaman Plamat Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tokens-for-mtg-goblin-shaman-plamat-bag) | 1 in 33 | $10.00 | 7.7% | 44 | 33.4 | 1.32× | | [Goblin Sharpshooter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/goblin-sharpshooter) | 1 in 33 | $9.80 | 7.5% | 38 | 33.4 | 1.14× | | [Tokens for MTG: Goblin Shaman Dice Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tokens-for-mtg-goblin-shaman-dice-bag) | 1 in 20 | $4.00 | 5.1% | 56 | 55.8 | 1.00× | | [Goblin/Squirrel Token other](https://gambatracker.com/items/goblin-squirrel-token) | 1 in 20 | $2.25 | 2.9% | 54 | 55.8 | 0.97× | | [Goblin Shaman Token (Red 2/2) (V.3) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/goblin-shaman-token-red-2-2-v-3) | 1 in 13 | $2.00 | 3.8% | 86 | 83.6 | 1.03× | | [Secret Lair Drop: Goblin Settler other](https://gambatracker.com/items/secret-lair-drop-goblin-settler) | 10.0% | $1.87 | 4.8% | 89 | 111.5 | 0.80× | | [Goblin Shaman Lifepad (15 A7 Sheets) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/goblin-shaman-lifepad-15-a7-sheets) | 10.0% | $1.39 | 3.6% | 118 | 111.5 | 1.06× | | [Jumpstart Pack Summary Card: Goblins other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jumpstart-pack-summary-card-goblins) | 12.5% | $0.99 | 3.2% | 132 | 139.4 | 0.95× | | [The Space Family Goblinson (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-space-family-goblinson-v-2) | 15.0% | $0.51 | 2.0% | 152 | 167.3 | 0.91× | | [Rise of the Hobgoblins other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rise-of-the-hobgoblins) | 20.6% | $0.35 | 1.9% | 251 | 230.2 | 1.09× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=redcap-ruckus) [Jumpstart Pack Summary Card: Goblins other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jumpstart-pack-summary-card-goblins) Hidden $4.36 $0.99 0.23x 2026-11-12 02:05 UTC [Tokens for MTG: Goblin Shaman Dice Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tokens-for-mtg-goblin-shaman-dice-bag) Hidden $4.36 $4.00 0.92x 2026-11-12 02:05 UTC [Rise of the Hobgoblins other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rise-of-the-hobgoblins) Hidden $4.36 $0.35 0.08x 2026-11-12 02:05 UTC [The Space Family Goblinson (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-space-family-goblinson-v-2) Hidden $4.36 $0.51 0.12x 2026-11-12 02:05 UTC [Goblin Shaman Token (Red 2/2) (V.3) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/goblin-shaman-token-red-2-2-v-3) Hidden $4.36 $2.00 0.46x 2026-11-12 02:05 UTC [Goblin Shaman Lifepad (15 A7 Sheets) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/goblin-shaman-lifepad-15-a7-sheets) [PaschaC420](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/PaschaC420) $4.36 $1.39 0.32x 2026-11-12 02:05 UTC [Tokens for MTG: Goblin Shaman Dice Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tokens-for-mtg-goblin-shaman-dice-bag) Hidden $4.36 $4.00 0.92x 2026-11-12 02:04 UTC [The Space Family Goblinson (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-space-family-goblinson-v-2) Hidden $4.36 $0.51 0.12x 2026-11-12 02:04 UTC [Goblin Shaman Lifepad (15 A7 Sheets) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/goblin-shaman-lifepad-15-a7-sheets) Hidden $4.36 $1.39 0.32x 2026-11-12 02:04 UTC [Goblin Shaman Token (Red 2/2) (V.3) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/goblin-shaman-token-red-2-2-v-3) Hidden $4.36 $2.00 0.46x 2026-11-12 02:04 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $4.36 | 89.45% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.45 on average: an expected loss of $10.55 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt