---
title: "Retro Gamer case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Retro Gamer ($65.49) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 86.76% over 144 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/retro-gamer
rendered: 2026-11-11T22:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Retro Gamer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/retro-gamer)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Retro Gamer

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/retro-gamer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/retro-gamer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/retro-gamer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/retro-gamer?window=all)

Price · $65.49

Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $58.61 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.76% · 144 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 70.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 83.83% ±19.81 140 openings

30 days · 86.76% ±19.53 144 openings

since tracking started · 86.76% ±19.53 144 openings

63.5% 85.3% 107.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/retro-gamer?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/retro-gamer?window=7d) | 140 | 83.83% ±19.8 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/retro-gamer) | 144 | 86.76% ±19.5 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/retro-gamer?window=all) | 144 | 86.76% ±19.5 | −0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 144 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sony Playstation Vita Wi-Fi 2000 Series other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-playstation-vita-wi-fi-2000-series) | 1 in 67 | $345 | 8.8% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.46× |
| [Nintendo Wii Console Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nintendo-wii-console-black) | 1 in 50 | $204 | 7.0% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.04× |
| [Nintendo Wii Console with Wii Sports other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nintendo-wii-console-with-wii-sports) | 1 in 33 | $190 | 9.7% | 2 | 4.3 | 0.46× |
| [Sony Playstation 3 160GB System (Renewed) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-playstation-3-160gb-system-renewed) | 1 in 50 | $186 | 6.3% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.04× |
| [Sony Playstation Portable (PSP) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-playstation-portable-psp) | 1 in 50 | $180 | 6.1% | 5 | 2.9 | 1.74× |
| [Nintendo Game Boy - Original (Gray) (Renewed) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nintendo-game-boy-original-gray-renewed) | 1 in 33 | $180 | 9.2% | 4 | 4.3 | 0.93× |
| [Nintendo 64 System - Video Game Console (Renewed) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nintendo-64-system-video-game-console-renewed) | 1 in 33 | $165 | 8.4% | 9 | 4.3 | 2.08× |
| [Sony Original Playstation One Console (Renewed) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-original-playstation-one-console-renewed) | 1 in 20 | $150 | 12.8% | 3 | 7.2 | 0.42× |
| [Nintendo DS Lite Crimson / Black (refurbished) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nintendo-ds-lite-crimson-black-refurbished) | 1 in 20 | $140 | 11.9% | 6 | 7.2 | 0.83× |
| [Game Boy Color - Atomic Purple other](https://gambatracker.com/items/game-boy-color-atomic-purple) | 1 in 33 | $126 | 6.4% | 6 | 4.3 | 1.39× |
| [Playstation 2 Dual Shock Controller Black (Renewed) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-2-dual-shock-controller-black-renewed) | 1 in 20 | $37.00 | 3.2% | 10 | 7.2 | 1.39× |
| [Turtle Beach Recon 50 Wired Gaming Headset other](https://gambatracker.com/items/turtle-beach-recon-50-wired-gaming-headset) | 1 in 18 | $28.00 | 2.6% | 8 | 7.9 | 1.01× |
| [Worm Screen Light Led Lamp for Gameboy Color other](https://gambatracker.com/items/worm-screen-light-led-lamp-for-gameboy-color) | 10.0% | $14.00 | 2.4% | 11 | 14.4 | 0.76× |
| [Sony Playstation Embroidered Logo Patch Gaming Icons Youth Flat Bill Hat Multicolored other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-playstation-embroidered-logo-patch-gaming-icons-youth-flat-bill-hat-multicolored) | 10.0% | $12.95 | 2.2% | 13 | 14.4 | 0.90× |
| [Suncala 256MB Memory Card for PlayStation 2 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/suncala-256mb-memory-card-for-playstation-2) | 10.0% | $8.00 | 1.4% | 9 | 14.4 | 0.62× |
| [Microfiber Cleaning Cloths other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microfiber-cleaning-cloths) | 10.0% | $5.00 | 0.9% | 19 | 14.4 | 1.32× |
| [Gray Replacement Battery Door Cover for Nintendo Original Game Boy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gray-replacement-battery-door-cover-for-nintendo-original-game-boy) | 10.0% | $2.20 | 0.4% | 17 | 14.4 | 1.18× |
| [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) | 10.0% | $1.00 | 0.2% | 15 | 14.4 | 1.04× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=retro-gamer)

[Nintendo Wii Console Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nintendo-wii-console-black) Hidden $65.49 $204 3.11x 2026-11-10 06:26 UTC

[Worm Screen Light Led Lamp for Gameboy Color other](https://gambatracker.com/items/worm-screen-light-led-lamp-for-gameboy-color) Hidden $65.49 $14.00 0.21x 2026-11-10 06:26 UTC

[Playstation 2 Dual Shock Controller Black (Renewed) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-2-dual-shock-controller-black-renewed) Hidden $65.49 $37.00 0.56x 2026-11-10 06:26 UTC

[Nintendo Wii Console Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nintendo-wii-console-black) Hidden $65.49 $204 3.11x 2026-11-10 06:26 UTC

[Playstation 2 Dual Shock Controller Black (Renewed) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-2-dual-shock-controller-black-renewed) Hidden $65.49 $37.00 0.56x 2026-11-10 06:26 UTC

[Gray Replacement Battery Door Cover for Nintendo Original Game Boy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gray-replacement-battery-door-cover-for-nintendo-original-game-boy) [Nie](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Nie) $65.49 $2.20 0.03x 2026-11-10 06:26 UTC

[Playstation 2 Dual Shock Controller Black (Renewed) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-2-dual-shock-controller-black-renewed) Hidden $65.49 $37.00 0.56x 2026-11-10 06:24 UTC

[Sony Playstation Embroidered Logo Patch Gaming Icons Youth Flat Bill Hat Multicolored other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-playstation-embroidered-logo-patch-gaming-icons-youth-flat-bill-hat-multicolored) Hidden $65.49 $12.95 0.20x 2026-11-10 06:24 UTC

[Sony Playstation Embroidered Logo Patch Gaming Icons Youth Flat Bill Hat Multicolored other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-playstation-embroidered-logo-patch-gaming-icons-youth-flat-bill-hat-multicolored) Hidden $65.49 $12.95 0.20x 2026-11-10 06:24 UTC

[Sony Playstation Vita Wi-Fi 2000 Series other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-playstation-vita-wi-fi-2000-series) Hidden $65.49 $345 5.27x 2026-11-10 06:24 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $65.49 | 89.49% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
