---
title: "rgv newish case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "rgv newish ($0.52) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 128.22% over 723 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/rgv-newish
rendered: 2026-11-12T08:01Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [rgv newish](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/rgv-newish)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · rgv newish

A box on Cases.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/rgv-newish?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/rgv-newish?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/rgv-newish) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/rgv-newish?window=all)

Price · $0.52

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 128.22% · 723 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 75 openings · below min

7 days · 588 openings · below min

30 days · 723 openings · below min

since tracking started · 723 openings · below min

-0.5% 123.8% 248.0%

**Small sample.** 723 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/rgv-newish?window=24h) | 75 | 17.28% ±30.1 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/rgv-newish?window=7d) | 588 | 83.63% ±59.5 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/rgv-newish) | 723 | 128.22% ±119.2 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/rgv-newish?window=all) | 723 | 128.22% ±119.2 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · none published

**No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[SMITH NEXUS MIPS HELMET other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smith-nexus-mips-helmet) Hidden $0.52 $209 401.9x 2026-11-02 23:13 UTC

[Zauberhand „Soul“ Deck-Box 440+ other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zauberhand-soul-deck-box-440) Hidden $0.52 $80.00 153.8x 2026-11-09 23:55 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=rgv-newish)

[Steam Gems other](https://gambatracker.com/items/steam-gems) Hidden $0.52 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 23:48 UTC

[Steam Gems other](https://gambatracker.com/items/steam-gems) Hidden $0.52 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 23:48 UTC

[Steam Gems other](https://gambatracker.com/items/steam-gems) [RealGVega](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/RealGVega) $0.52 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 23:48 UTC

[Steam Gems other](https://gambatracker.com/items/steam-gems) Hidden $0.52 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 23:48 UTC

[151: Divider other](https://gambatracker.com/items/151-divider) Hidden $0.52 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 23:48 UTC

[151: Divider other](https://gambatracker.com/items/151-divider) [RealGVega](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/RealGVega) $0.52 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 23:48 UTC

[151: Divider other](https://gambatracker.com/items/151-divider) Hidden $0.52 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 23:48 UTC

[151: Divider other](https://gambatracker.com/items/151-divider) Hidden $0.52 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 23:48 UTC

[151: Divider other](https://gambatracker.com/items/151-divider) [RealGVega](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/RealGVega) $0.52 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 23:48 UTC

[Steam Gems other](https://gambatracker.com/items/steam-gems) Hidden $0.52 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 23:48 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $209 (401.9x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 128.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $128.22 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
