--- title: "Riding Solo case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Riding Solo ($1,308.63) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 13 items with odds, observed 59.33% over 27 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/riding-solo rendered: 2026-11-11T20:06Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Riding Solo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/riding-solo) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Riding Solo A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/riding-solo?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/riding-solo?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/riding-solo) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/riding-solo?window=all) Price · $1,308.63 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $1,171.22 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 59.33% · 27 openings, odds method Variance · 9.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 27 openings · below min 30 days · 27 openings · below min since tracking started · 27 openings · below min -0.5% 86.8% 174.0% **Small sample.** 27 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/riding-solo?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/riding-solo?window=7d) | 27 | 59.33% ±114.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/riding-solo) | 27 | 59.33% ±114.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/riding-solo?window=all) | 27 | 59.33% ±114.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 27 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [2024 Suzuki Hayabusa other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-suzuki-hayabusa) | 1 in 100 | $22.9K | 19.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Yamaha YZF-R1 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yamaha-yzf-r1) | 1 in 100 | $22.1K | 18.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Suzuki Boulevard M109R B.O.S.S. other](https://gambatracker.com/items/suzuki-boulevard-m109r-b-o-s-s) | 1 in 100 | $18.7K | 16.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [2024 KAWASAKI VULCAN® 900 CLASSIC other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-kawasaki-vulcan-900-classic) | 1 in 100 | $11.3K | 9.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [2024 NINJA® 500 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-ninja-500) | 1 in 50 | $7,080 | 12.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Yamaha TW200 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yamaha-tw200) | 1 in 50 | $6,000 | 10.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Yamaha ZUMA 125 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yamaha-zuma-125) | 1 in 50 | $4,560 | 7.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [ScorpionEXO Covert FX Full Face Adult Motorcycle Helmet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/scorpionexo-covert-fx-full-face-adult-motorcycle-helmet) | 10.0% | $350 | 3.0% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.48× | | [ILM Motorcycle Dual Visor Flip up Modular Full Face Helmet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ilm-motorcycle-dual-visor-flip-up-modular-full-face-helmet) | 10.0% | $130 | 1.1% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× | | [Alpinestars Men's SMX-1 Air v2 Motorcycle Riding Gloves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/alpinestars-mens-smx-1-air-v2-motorcycle-riding-gloves) | 10.0% | $85.00 | 0.7% | 5 | 2.7 | 1.85× | | [Motorcycle Backpack,Waterproof Helmet Backpack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/motorcycle-backpack-waterproof-helmet-backpack) | 20.0% | $39.59 | 0.7% | 9 | 5.4 | 1.67× | | [K&N Motorcycle Oil Filter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/k-and-n-motorcycle-oil-filter) | 20.0% | $16.00 | 0.3% | 3 | 5.4 | 0.56× | | [Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/keychain) | 20.0% | $3.00 | 0.1% | 5 | 5.4 | 0.93× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Suzuki Boulevard M109R B.O.S.S. other](https://gambatracker.com/items/suzuki-boulevard-m109r-b-o-s-s) Hidden $1,309 $18.7K 14.31x 2026-11-05 14:21 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=riding-solo) [K&N Motorcycle Oil Filter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/k-and-n-motorcycle-oil-filter) Hidden $1,309 $16.00 0.01x 2026-11-09 16:21 UTC [K&N Motorcycle Oil Filter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/k-and-n-motorcycle-oil-filter) Hidden $1,309 $16.00 0.01x 2026-11-09 16:21 UTC [Alpinestars Men's SMX-1 Air v2 Motorcycle Riding Gloves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/alpinestars-mens-smx-1-air-v2-motorcycle-riding-gloves) Hidden $1,309 $85.00 0.06x 2026-11-09 16:21 UTC [K&N Motorcycle Oil Filter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/k-and-n-motorcycle-oil-filter) Hidden $1,309 $16.00 0.01x 2026-11-09 16:21 UTC [Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/keychain) Hidden $1,309 $3.00 0.00x 2026-11-09 16:21 UTC [ScorpionEXO Covert FX Full Face Adult Motorcycle Helmet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/scorpionexo-covert-fx-full-face-adult-motorcycle-helmet) [Jaydendown](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Jaydendown) $1,309 $350 0.27x 2026-11-09 16:21 UTC [Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/keychain) Hidden $1,309 $3.00 0.00x 2026-11-06 06:33 UTC [Motorcycle Backpack,Waterproof Helmet Backpack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/motorcycle-backpack-waterproof-helmet-backpack) Hidden $1,309 $39.59 0.03x 2026-11-06 06:33 UTC [Motorcycle Backpack,Waterproof Helmet Backpack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/motorcycle-backpack-waterproof-helmet-backpack) Hidden $1,309 $39.59 0.03x 2026-11-06 06:33 UTC [Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/keychain) Hidden $1,309 $3.00 0.00x 2026-11-06 06:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,309 | 89.50% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $18.7K (14.31x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt